稀土出口配额最优设计及产业政策优化
发布时间:2018-09-08 11:04
【摘要】:稀土资源是现代工业的重要原材料,具有非常可观的工业价值和经济价值。我国是最大的稀土出口国,中国稀土产品的一半以上出口国外,占世界市场90%以上的销售份额。但是,相对稳定的市场结构却未能稳定稀土的市场价格,而稀土价格的不稳定导致了我国稀土产业的不健康发展。这对我国稀土产业结构的完善,以及整体产业向产业链高端的升级非常不利。针对这一问题,学术界主要着眼于我国稀土出口管制政策,研究其对我国稀土产业发展所能产生的各类影响。本文以稀土出口管制政策中的出口配额制度为切入点,理论分析我国稀土产业对出口配额制度的需求,并通过动态最优化模型解决稀土出口配额的最优设计问题。然后,通过对模型结果的解读,对我国现行的出口配额设计进行简单评价。最后,根据以上分析,对我国稀土出口管制政策的完善提出一些建议。 本文结构可分为以下六个章节: 第一章是导言部分,旨在奠定本文的理论基础与现实基础。首先通过对现有稀土产业背景的概述,引出了出口配额设计问题。然后在明确本文拟解决的问题的基础上,对相关领域的研究及文献做了一定的梳理。同时,简单介绍了稀土产业概况。最后,总结了本文的结构以及可能的创新点。 第二章对现有稀土出口配额设计的困境进行了分析。分别分析了在低稀土出口配额时期以及高稀土出口配额时期我国稀土产业所面临的状况,引导出我国稀土出口配额最优设计的问题,为之后的模型分析探索了理论价值。 第三章主要分析了稀土产品理想状态下的价格,以及理想价格与我国现下稀土产品实际价格的差别,并以此为基础建立了我国稀土出口配额静态最优设计模型。模型目的在于通过对稀土出口配额的合理设计,短期内提高我国稀土产品的整体出口价格,从而保证我国稀土产业的利益。 第四章基于动态最优化模型探究了出口配额最优动态设计的问题。首先明确了出口配额最优动态设计的目的,基于此目的提出了通过控制稀土出口配额保证稀土厂商长期收益最大化这一经济问题。然后选择动态最优化模型,解出了出口配额最优设计的路径。 第五章主要对前文模型分析中的部分内容进行了补充,并提出相关产业政策优化的建议。其中主要可分为以下三个部分。第一部分是对动态模型中,对世界稀土市场结构的判断。第二部分研究了在不同的稀土市场结构下,动态模型的设计结果相应的变化。第三部分是结合现下我国稀土市场整体情况,探讨动态模型的设计结果对我国稀土出口配额设计思路的指示作用。 第六章在前文的基础上,对当前稀土出口管制政策的不足之处提出了一些建议。在现有稀土出口管制政策基础上,政府应该加强对稀土产品的分类管理,严厉打击稀土走私,推广稀土高端应用,以完善我国稀土出口管制政策,保证稀土产业健康发展。 本文的可能创新点主要包括: 1.本文以出口配额为特定视角对中国稀土产业出口管制政策作了专门研究。现有的文献大多聚焦在我国稀土产品国际定价权之上,,较少去专门研究我国政府实施的出口配额这一政策措施。而本文通过梳理分析我国稀土产业对出口配额的需求以及最优配额的设计问题,提出我国出口配额设计中需要考虑的理论思路。 2.本文构思并求解了基于动态最优化的出口配额最优设计的理论模型。现有文献中所研究的问题大多未考虑出口配额的定量设计。本文针对如何保障我国稀土厂商长期利益最大化的问题,利用动态最优化模型,求解了稀土出口配额最优设计路径,明确了现阶段我国稀土出口配额的设计应主要依据稀土国际市场的需求状况。为我国稀土出口配额制度的具体实施提供了一定的借鉴意义。
[Abstract]:Rare earth resources are important raw materials for modern industry and have considerable industrial and economic value. China is the largest exporter of rare earth. More than half of China's rare earth products are exported abroad, accounting for more than 90% of the world market share. However, the relatively stable market structure has not stabilized the market price of rare earth, and the rare earth price. The instability of rare earth industry leads to the unhealthy development of China's rare earth industry, which is not conducive to the improvement of China's rare earth industry structure and the upgrading of the whole industry to the high end of the industrial chain. Taking the export quota system of rare earth export control policy as the breakthrough point, this paper theoretically analyzes the demand of rare earth industry for export quota system in China, and solves the problem of optimum design of rare earth export quota through dynamic optimization model. Then, through the interpretation of the results of the model, it makes a simple evaluation of the current export quota design in China. Finally, based on the above analysis, some suggestions on the improvement of China's rare earth export control policy are put forward.
The structure of this paper can be divided into six chapters.
The first chapter is the introduction part, aiming to lay the theoretical foundation and practical foundation of this paper. First, through the overview of the existing rare earth industry background, the export quota design problem is introduced. Then, on the basis of the clear problems to be solved in this paper, the research and literature in related fields are sorted out. At the same time, the rare earth industry is briefly introduced. Finally, the paper summarizes the structure and possible innovations.
In the second chapter, the predicament of the present export quota design of rare earth is analyzed, and the situation faced by the rare earth industry in China during the period of low export quota and high export quota is analyzed respectively. The problem of optimum design of export quota of rare earth in China is introduced, and the theoretical value is explored for the subsequent model analysis.
The third chapter mainly analyzes the price of rare earth products under the ideal state and the difference between the ideal price and the actual price of rare earth products in China. Based on this, a static optimal design model of rare earth export quota in China is established. The overall export price, thereby ensuring the interests of China's rare earth industry.
Chapter 4 explores the optimal dynamic design of export quotas based on the dynamic optimization model. Firstly, the purpose of the optimal dynamic design of export quotas is clarified. Based on this purpose, the economic problem of ensuring the maximization of long-term profits of rare earth manufacturers by controlling the export quotas of rare earth elements is put forward. The path of optimal design of mouth quotas.
The fifth chapter mainly complements the previous model analysis and puts forward some suggestions on the optimization of industrial policy. The first part is the judgment of the world rare earth market structure in the dynamic model. The second part studies the establishment of dynamic model under different rare earth market structure. The third part is to discuss the effect of the design result of dynamic model on the design idea of export quota of rare earth in China.
Chapter 6 puts forward some suggestions on the shortcomings of the current export control policies of rare earth. On the basis of the existing export control policies of rare earth, the government should strengthen the classified management of rare earth products, crack down on rare earth smuggling and promote the high-end application of rare earth, so as to perfect the export control policies of rare earth and ensure the production of rare earth. Healthy development of the industry.
The possible innovations of this paper include:
1. This paper makes a special study on the export control policy of China's rare earth industry from the perspective of export quota. Most of the existing literature focuses on the international pricing power of China's rare earth products, but seldom on the policy measure of export quota implemented by the Chinese government. The demand and the design of the optimal quota are discussed, and the theoretical ideas that should be considered in the design of export quota in China are put forward.
2. This paper conceives and solves the theoretical model of optimal design of export quota based on dynamic optimization. Most of the problems studied in the existing literature do not consider the quantitative design of export quota. The optimal design path makes it clear that the design of rare earth export quota in China at present should be mainly based on the demand of the international market of rare earth, which provides a certain reference for the implementation of the export quota system of rare earth in China.
【学位授予单位】:浙江财经大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F426;F752.62
本文编号:2230337
[Abstract]:Rare earth resources are important raw materials for modern industry and have considerable industrial and economic value. China is the largest exporter of rare earth. More than half of China's rare earth products are exported abroad, accounting for more than 90% of the world market share. However, the relatively stable market structure has not stabilized the market price of rare earth, and the rare earth price. The instability of rare earth industry leads to the unhealthy development of China's rare earth industry, which is not conducive to the improvement of China's rare earth industry structure and the upgrading of the whole industry to the high end of the industrial chain. Taking the export quota system of rare earth export control policy as the breakthrough point, this paper theoretically analyzes the demand of rare earth industry for export quota system in China, and solves the problem of optimum design of rare earth export quota through dynamic optimization model. Then, through the interpretation of the results of the model, it makes a simple evaluation of the current export quota design in China. Finally, based on the above analysis, some suggestions on the improvement of China's rare earth export control policy are put forward.
The structure of this paper can be divided into six chapters.
The first chapter is the introduction part, aiming to lay the theoretical foundation and practical foundation of this paper. First, through the overview of the existing rare earth industry background, the export quota design problem is introduced. Then, on the basis of the clear problems to be solved in this paper, the research and literature in related fields are sorted out. At the same time, the rare earth industry is briefly introduced. Finally, the paper summarizes the structure and possible innovations.
In the second chapter, the predicament of the present export quota design of rare earth is analyzed, and the situation faced by the rare earth industry in China during the period of low export quota and high export quota is analyzed respectively. The problem of optimum design of export quota of rare earth in China is introduced, and the theoretical value is explored for the subsequent model analysis.
The third chapter mainly analyzes the price of rare earth products under the ideal state and the difference between the ideal price and the actual price of rare earth products in China. Based on this, a static optimal design model of rare earth export quota in China is established. The overall export price, thereby ensuring the interests of China's rare earth industry.
Chapter 4 explores the optimal dynamic design of export quotas based on the dynamic optimization model. Firstly, the purpose of the optimal dynamic design of export quotas is clarified. Based on this purpose, the economic problem of ensuring the maximization of long-term profits of rare earth manufacturers by controlling the export quotas of rare earth elements is put forward. The path of optimal design of mouth quotas.
The fifth chapter mainly complements the previous model analysis and puts forward some suggestions on the optimization of industrial policy. The first part is the judgment of the world rare earth market structure in the dynamic model. The second part studies the establishment of dynamic model under different rare earth market structure. The third part is to discuss the effect of the design result of dynamic model on the design idea of export quota of rare earth in China.
Chapter 6 puts forward some suggestions on the shortcomings of the current export control policies of rare earth. On the basis of the existing export control policies of rare earth, the government should strengthen the classified management of rare earth products, crack down on rare earth smuggling and promote the high-end application of rare earth, so as to perfect the export control policies of rare earth and ensure the production of rare earth. Healthy development of the industry.
The possible innovations of this paper include:
1. This paper makes a special study on the export control policy of China's rare earth industry from the perspective of export quota. Most of the existing literature focuses on the international pricing power of China's rare earth products, but seldom on the policy measure of export quota implemented by the Chinese government. The demand and the design of the optimal quota are discussed, and the theoretical ideas that should be considered in the design of export quota in China are put forward.
2. This paper conceives and solves the theoretical model of optimal design of export quota based on dynamic optimization. Most of the problems studied in the existing literature do not consider the quantitative design of export quota. The optimal design path makes it clear that the design of rare earth export quota in China at present should be mainly based on the demand of the international market of rare earth, which provides a certain reference for the implementation of the export quota system of rare earth in China.
【学位授予单位】:浙江财经大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2014
【分类号】:F426;F752.62
【参考文献】
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