广东省制造业出口竞争力影响因素的实证分析

发布时间：2018-10-05 13:09

【摘要】：广东省作为我国经济的领军省份和最发达省份，发展环境和综合资源优势极其明显。广东省借势国际产业转移所带来的发展机遇和地理位置的优越性，加之外商直接投资以及省外廉价劳动力的大规模流入，广东省近年来外经贸情势大好，尤其是制造业出口。但是其巨大的出口规模与贸易顺差背后却是与其出口大省地位不相匹配的出口竞争力。广东省制造业传统的依赖于廉价劳动力和外国资本技术的大量投入的经济发展模式已难以为继，其长期研发和营销两头在外的产业发展模式更是无法支撑广东省经济和对外经贸的可持续发展。因此，本文希望通过对相关数据的客观分析来评估现阶段广东省制造业出口竞争力水平并判断其未来走势，及影响其制造业出口的因素有哪些? 基于此，本文先是广泛系统地回顾和梳理了国内外相关研究成果，，接着定性分析了广东省制造业及其出口贸易发展现状及面临的挑战，然后采用定量分析的研究方法，用常用的4个衡量出口竞争力指标即RCA、MS、TC和CEP指标分析了广东省制造业自身还有其内部的机电和高新技术领域的出口竞争力水平，同时又与外贸发展程度很相近的江苏、浙江省对比，进行省际比较，试图解释广东省制造业出口的竞争力水平到底如何，是否具有竞争优势。接着，本文梳理并总结了各主要相关因子，包括产业规模、出口技术结构、进口贸易、所有制结构、研发和技术创新、要素禀赋结构、外资深化的影响机制，据此构建回归模型作了实证分析同时提出了在当今时代背景下进一步改善出口竞争力的较为详细的政策建议和改进措施。
[Abstract]:As the leading province and the most developed province of our country, Guangdong Province has obvious advantages of development environment and comprehensive resources. The development opportunity and advantage of geographical location brought by the opportunity international industrial transfer in Guangdong Province, together with the foreign direct investment and the large-scale inflow of cheap labor force outside the province, have brought about a good foreign economic and trade situation in Guangdong Province in recent years, especially the export of manufacturing industry. But behind its huge export scale and trade surplus is the export competitiveness that does not match its status as a major export province. Guangdong's traditional economic development model, which relies on cheap labor and massive input from foreign capital and technology, is no longer sustainable. Its long-term R & D and marketing industry development model can not support the sustainable development of Guangdong economy and foreign trade. Therefore, this paper hopes to assess the current level of Guangdong manufacturing export competitiveness and judge its future trend through the objective analysis of relevant data, and what are the factors affecting its manufacturing exports? Based on this, this paper firstly reviews and combs the relevant research results at home and abroad, then qualitatively analyzes the present situation and challenges of Guangdong's manufacturing industry and its export trade, and then adopts the quantitative analysis method. Using four commonly used indicators of export competitiveness, namely RCA,MS,TC and CEP, this paper analyzes the level of export competitiveness of Guangdong's manufacturing industry and its internal mechanical, electrical and high-tech fields. At the same time, it is similar to Jiangsu, which has a very similar level of development of foreign trade. In order to explain the competitiveness of Guangdong's manufacturing exports, Zhejiang Province compares with other provinces and tries to explain whether there is a competitive advantage in Guangdong's manufacturing exports. Then, this paper summarizes the main related factors, including industrial scale, export technology structure, import trade, ownership structure, R & D and technological innovation, factor endowment structure, the influence mechanism of foreign capital deepening. On the basis of this, the paper makes an empirical analysis of the regression model and puts forward some detailed policy suggestions and improvement measures for further improving export competitiveness under the background of the present era.
【学位授予单位】：哈尔滨工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F427;F752.8

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