竞争情报视角下煤炭企业全面风险预警研究
发布时间：2019-01-27 07:20
【摘要】：煤炭是我国近几十年的主要能源,煤炭企业的生存状况及可持续发展对我国发展电力、化工等产业乃至国家经济增长至关重要。近年来,随着国家能源政策的调整,煤炭企业通过兼并成为较大的集团企业,但一年来煤炭产业不景气,使企业面临诸多风险,外部环境的复杂多变以及内部管理的混乱更是雪上加霜,所以有效识别企业风险、预警并提出相应的应对措施是亟待解决的问题。本文针对煤炭企业的特殊性,结合全面风险管理理论、竞争情报理论和企业预警理论,提出竞争情报视角下的煤炭企业全面风险预警框架和预警体系,并综合运用层次分析法、多级模糊综合评价法建立企业全面风险综合预警模型,对煤炭企业应对风险有重要意义。本文在大量研究国内外企业全面风险管理理论的基础上,首先介绍了风险管理的概念及发展历程,引出全面风险管理,接着阐述企业预警理论,继而详细介绍竞争情报的相关概念、流程及功能,最后找出风险管理理论、企业预警理论和竞争情报理论的结合点,构建出竞争情报视角下的企业全面风险预警框架,详细阐述了煤炭企业风险信息来源及基于竞争情报的风险预警过程。在构建出竞争情报视角下煤炭企业全面风险预警框架之后,本文重点建立了煤炭企业风险预警体系,首先通过仔细研究风险来源,结合竞争情报理论,分企业外部竞争环境风险、企业内部环境风险、竞争对手风险三个维度辨识相应的指标形成风险预警指标体系,然后通过层次分析法对各级指标赋予相应的权重,最后运用多级模糊综合评价法建立煤炭企业全面风险综合预警模型,并对企业所面临的风险等级进行划分,提出相应的风险应对措施。文章结尾选取阳泉煤业为例进行实证分析,通过实践验证全面风险预警框架的可操作性及风险预警体系的可行性,最后指出本文研究的局限性以及对企业全面风险预警的进一步研究和发展提出自己的看法和建议。
[Abstract]:Coal is the main energy of our country in recent decades. The survival condition and sustainable development of coal enterprises are very important for the development of electric power, chemical industry and even the national economic growth. In recent years, with the adjustment of the national energy policy, coal enterprises have become larger conglomerates through mergers. However, the coal industry has been depressed for a year, which has made the enterprises face many risks. The complexity of the external environment and the chaos of internal management are even worse, so it is urgent to effectively identify the enterprise risk, early warning and corresponding countermeasures. According to the particularity of coal enterprises, combined with the theory of comprehensive risk management, the theory of competitive intelligence and the theory of enterprise early warning, this paper puts forward the framework and system of comprehensive risk early warning of coal enterprises from the angle of competitive intelligence, and applies the Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) synthetically. It is of great significance for coal enterprises to deal with risks by setting up a comprehensive early-warning model of comprehensive risk by multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. On the basis of a large number of researches on the theory of comprehensive risk management at home and abroad, this paper first introduces the concept and development of risk management, leads to comprehensive risk management, and then expounds the theory of enterprise early warning. Then it introduces the concept, process and function of competitive intelligence in detail. Finally, it finds out the combination of risk management theory, enterprise early warning theory and competitive intelligence theory, and constructs a comprehensive enterprise risk warning framework from the perspective of competitive intelligence. The risk information sources of coal enterprises and the process of risk warning based on competitive intelligence are described in detail. After constructing a comprehensive risk warning framework for coal enterprises from the perspective of competitive intelligence, this paper focuses on the establishment of a risk early warning system for coal enterprises. Firstly, by carefully studying the sources of risks, combining with the theory of competitive intelligence, Three dimensions of external competitive environmental risk, internal environmental risk and competitor risk are identified to form a risk warning index system, and then the corresponding weights are given to each level index by AHP. Finally, the comprehensive early-warning model of comprehensive risk in coal enterprises is established by using multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, and the risk grades faced by enterprises are divided, and the corresponding risk countermeasures are put forward. At the end of the paper, Yangquan coal industry is selected as an example to analyze the feasibility of the comprehensive risk early warning framework and the feasibility of the risk warning system. Finally, this paper points out the limitations of this study and puts forward some opinions and suggestions on the further research and development of enterprise comprehensive risk warning.
【学位授予单位】：山西大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.21;F272.3
本文编号：2416039
[Abstract]:Coal is the main energy of our country in recent decades. The survival condition and sustainable development of coal enterprises are very important for the development of electric power, chemical industry and even the national economic growth. In recent years, with the adjustment of the national energy policy, coal enterprises have become larger conglomerates through mergers. However, the coal industry has been depressed for a year, which has made the enterprises face many risks. The complexity of the external environment and the chaos of internal management are even worse, so it is urgent to effectively identify the enterprise risk, early warning and corresponding countermeasures. According to the particularity of coal enterprises, combined with the theory of comprehensive risk management, the theory of competitive intelligence and the theory of enterprise early warning, this paper puts forward the framework and system of comprehensive risk early warning of coal enterprises from the angle of competitive intelligence, and applies the Analytic hierarchy process (AHP) synthetically. It is of great significance for coal enterprises to deal with risks by setting up a comprehensive early-warning model of comprehensive risk by multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. On the basis of a large number of researches on the theory of comprehensive risk management at home and abroad, this paper first introduces the concept and development of risk management, leads to comprehensive risk management, and then expounds the theory of enterprise early warning. Then it introduces the concept, process and function of competitive intelligence in detail. Finally, it finds out the combination of risk management theory, enterprise early warning theory and competitive intelligence theory, and constructs a comprehensive enterprise risk warning framework from the perspective of competitive intelligence. The risk information sources of coal enterprises and the process of risk warning based on competitive intelligence are described in detail. After constructing a comprehensive risk warning framework for coal enterprises from the perspective of competitive intelligence, this paper focuses on the establishment of a risk early warning system for coal enterprises. Firstly, by carefully studying the sources of risks, combining with the theory of competitive intelligence, Three dimensions of external competitive environmental risk, internal environmental risk and competitor risk are identified to form a risk warning index system, and then the corresponding weights are given to each level index by AHP. Finally, the comprehensive early-warning model of comprehensive risk in coal enterprises is established by using multi-level fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method, and the risk grades faced by enterprises are divided, and the corresponding risk countermeasures are put forward. At the end of the paper, Yangquan coal industry is selected as an example to analyze the feasibility of the comprehensive risk early warning framework and the feasibility of the risk warning system. Finally, this paper points out the limitations of this study and puts forward some opinions and suggestions on the further research and development of enterprise comprehensive risk warning.
【学位授予单位】：山西大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F426.21;F272.3
【参考文献】
相关期刊论文 前1条
1 张立超;房俊民;唐钦能;;产业竞争情报预警工作中的风险识别研究——以我国光伏发电产业为例[J];情报理论与实践;2011年10期
，本文编号：2416039
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