外资风险视角下的中国国家经济安全预警指标体系

发布时间：2018-01-10 10:20

本文关键词：外资风险视角下的中国国家经济安全预警指标体系　出处：《世界经济研究》2012年01期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：本文通过对现有国家经济安全预警体系的比较,引入当前国家经济安全研究中被忽视的外资因素,提出核心传导机制和外围传导机制的概念,以及外资影响国家经济安全的关键领域与主要环节。论文指出,由外资引起的国家经济不安全主要通过两级传导机制进行扩散。其中,核心传导机制通过市场结构、国际收支等主要环节直接影响国家经济安全的三个关键领域;外围传导机制通过资源配置、人才争夺、汇率压力等主要环节影响国家经济安全的重要相关领域,使外资风险形成扩散化趋势。在此基础上,论文从三维视角构建中国国家经济安全预警指标体系的基本框架,并对目前中国国家经济安全的综合态势进行评估,得出虽然目前中国国家经济安全受外资风险影响的程度不高,但若干指标已经出现严重不安全迹象的结论。
[Abstract]:By comparing the existing national economic security early warning system, this paper introduces the foreign capital factors which have been neglected in the current national economic security research, and puts forward the concepts of core transmission mechanism and peripheral transmission mechanism. The paper points out that the national economic insecurity caused by foreign investment is mainly spread through the two-level conduction mechanism. The core transmission mechanism directly affects the three key areas of national economic security through the market structure, international payments and other main links; The peripheral transmission mechanism influences the important related fields of national economic security through the allocation of resources, the competition for talents, the pressure of exchange rate and so on, and makes the risk of foreign capital form a diffusive trend. This paper constructs the basic framework of the early warning index system of China's national economic security from a three-dimensional perspective, and evaluates the comprehensive situation of China's national economic security at present. It is concluded that although China's national economic security is not affected by the risk of foreign investment at present, some indicators have already shown serious signs of insecurity.
【作者单位】：上海社会科学院世界经济研究所;
【分类号】：F832.6;F124
【正文快照】： 跨境资本流动日益频繁,跨境投机和跨国公司资本抽逃逆转的潜在风险逐渐上升;一些与外资有关的产业如国家战略资源性产业、信息经济条件下与信息网络相关的产业等以及贸易和产业结构等都受到外资风险的影响。特别是,美国次贷危机爆发以后,金融危机从发达经济体迅速蔓延到新兴

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