中国国际收支失衡对策研究

发布时间：2018-01-15 12:31

本文关键词：中国国际收支失衡对策研究　出处：《广西大学》2014年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：国际收支作为国家宏观调控四大目标之一,而近年来,我国国际收支连年顺差,持续较大的双顺差格局已成为当前我国经济运行的一个突出问题。本文首先从我国国际收支状况入手,分析2001-2008年我国国际收支各项目,进一步阐述我国双顺差的基本特征。近年来,我国国际收支失衡主要表现形式为大规模、持续性的“双顺差”,这对我国经济产生了诸多负面影响,诸如国内市场总供需的失衡、外汇市场动荡、全球贸易稳定健康的发展及在国际上的影响等和对我国政策的有效执行产生了影响,同时对资源在国内国际间有效配置的影响,大量的外汇储备资产引起的潜在风险等等,阻碍了国内经济的发展。本文通过对国内因素和外部原因的分析,得出结论,进而分析我国“双顺差”的深层原因。我国国际收支失衡主要来自贸易的出口和国际投资资本流入。导致此结构的两个主要原因：第一,从国内角度分析,国内储蓄和投资长期失衡对国际收支产生的影响。第二,在经济全球化的背景下,国内经济发展失衡不断累积的外部原因,方面,由于国内大量廉价劳动力和国际产业分工结构作用下的加工贸易出口量大；另一方面,长期外向型经济发展战略下形成的国际投资过热。针对上述原因,本文提出了相应的解决方案：在调整出口结构的同时,改善我国内在结构的脆弱性。具体措施有：第一、协调运用财政和货币政策,完善我国金融市场；第二、适度调整我国对外经济政策,加快产业结构的转型,改变原有的“粗放型”出口模式；第三、提高外资的利用质量和效益；第四、完善外汇管理体制,加强外汇监管；第五、积极实行“走出去”的企业发展战略,为企业海外投资和发展创造良好条件。
[Abstract]:International balance of payments as one of the four major goals of national macro-control, and in recent years, China's balance of payments surplus. The sustained and large double surplus pattern has become a prominent problem in the current economic operation of our country. Firstly, this paper starts with the international balance of payments situation of our country, and analyzes the items of China's international balance of payments from 2001 to 2008. In recent years, the main form of China's international balance of payments imbalance is a large-scale, sustained "double surplus", which has a lot of negative impact on our economy. Such as the imbalance of the total supply and demand in the domestic market, the instability of the foreign exchange market, the stable and healthy development of global trade and its influence on the international market, and the effective implementation of our policies. At the same time, the impact on the effective allocation of resources between domestic and international, the potential risks caused by a large number of foreign exchange reserve assets and so on, has hindered the development of domestic economy. The author draws a conclusion, and then analyzes the deep causes of China's "double surplus". The balance of payments imbalance of our country mainly comes from the export of trade and the inflow of international investment capital. The two main reasons leading to this structure are as follows: first. From the domestic point of view, the long-term imbalance of domestic savings and investment on the impact of the balance of payments. Second, in the context of economic globalization, the external causes of the accumulation of domestic economic development imbalances, aspects. Because of the large amount of cheap labor in China and the large export volume of processing trade under the effect of international industrial division structure; On the other hand, the international investment formed under the long-term export-oriented economic development strategy is overheated. In view of the above reasons, this paper puts forward the corresponding solution: adjusting the export structure at the same time. The specific measures are as follows: first, coordinate the use of fiscal and monetary policies to improve our financial market; Second, adjust our country's foreign economic policy appropriately, accelerate the transformation of industrial structure, change the original "extensive" export mode; Third, improve the utilization quality and benefit of foreign capital; In 4th, we should improve the foreign exchange management system and strengthen foreign exchange supervision and control; In 5th, we actively carried out the development strategy of "going out" to create favorable conditions for overseas investment and development of enterprises.
【学位授予单位】：广西大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.6

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