人民币实际有效汇率对我国FDI流入的影响研究

发布时间：2018-04-03 04:30

本文选题：实际有效汇率　切入点：FDI　出处：《西安科技大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：中国共产党十八届三中全会在《中共中央关于全面深化改革若干问题的决定》中明确提出：完善人民币汇率市场化形成机制，推动资本市场双向开放，放宽投资准入，推进服务业领域有序开放，放开服务业领域外资准入限制。继续推进人民币汇率市场化形成机制，更为重要的是经济增长以侧重GDP为主转变为内涵式发展、扩大外商投资领域、有力推进经济结构战略性调整。在这样的背景下，人民币实际有效汇率对我国FDI流入将产生什么样的影响，对不同产业结构FDI流入的影响是否相同，研究这些问题对我国合理利用外资促进经济发展以及优化产业结构具有重大的现实意义。论文在总结国内外相关研究现状的基础上，对人民币汇率、FDI及产业结构的相关理论进行了研究和总结；运用宏观、微观经济学理论、计量经济学以及统计学方法，基于资源配置的视角，以劳动力及资本要素在产品市场和要素市场的流动为切入点，分别构建“汇率-FDI”传导和“汇率-FDI-产业结构”传导两个理论模型。应用相关统计软件，采用单位根检验、ADF检验、Johansen协整检验、格兰杰因果检验方法，就人民币实际有效汇率对我国FDI流入从宏观主体和产业结构两个角度进行定量分析，，最终确定了实际汇率与FDI流入的相互关系，以及实际汇率对不同产业结构FDI流入的影响。最后，在理论与实证研究的基础上，进行全面系统的分析，提出相关对策建议，促使人民币实际有效汇率的变动能更好的提升FDI规模，并借此手段优化我国产业结构。
[Abstract]:The third Plenary session of the 18th CPC Central Committee clearly stated in the "decision of the CPC Central Committee on comprehensively deepening the Reform" that: to perfect the mechanism for the marketization of the RMB exchange rate, to promote the two-way opening of the capital market, and to relax the access to investment.We will open up the service sector in an orderly manner and liberalize restrictions on access to foreign capital in the service sector.What is more important is that the economic growth should focus on GDP and be transformed into connotative development expand the field of foreign investment and push forward the strategic adjustment of economic structure.Against this background, what kind of impact will the real effective exchange rate of RMB have on the inflow of FDI in China, and whether the impact on the inflow of FDI in different industrial structures will be the same or not?The study of these problems is of great practical significance to the rational use of foreign capital to promote economic development and optimize the industrial structure.On the basis of summarizing the current situation of domestic and foreign research, this paper studies and summarizes the relevant theories of RMB exchange rate FDI and industrial structure, and applies macroeconomics, microeconomics, econometrics and statistical methods.Based on the perspective of resource allocation, two theoretical models of "exchange-FDI" transmission and "exchange-FDI- industrial structure" transmission are constructed by starting from the flow of labor and capital elements in the product market and factor market.By using the relevant statistical software, using the unit root test and Johansen cointegration test and Granger causality test, this paper makes a quantitative analysis of the actual effective exchange rate of RMB on the inflow of FDI in China from two angles of macro subject and industrial structure.Finally, the relationship between the real exchange rate and the inflow of FDI and the influence of the real exchange rate on the inflow of FDI in different industrial structures are determined.Finally, on the basis of theoretical and empirical research, this paper makes a comprehensive and systematic analysis, and puts forward relevant countermeasures and suggestions to promote the change of the real effective exchange rate of RMB to better enhance the scale of FDI, and to optimize the industrial structure of our country by this means.
【学位授予单位】：西安科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.6

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