中国汇率制度的改革逻辑:强化主权与内生推进

发布时间：2018-04-17 06:12

本文选题：主权货币理论 + 中国汇率制度　；参考：《经济社会体制比较》2012年04期

【摘要】：危机以来,以美国为首的西方发达国家推动人民币升值可谓"表现积极",然而这种求它不求己的政策并未如其所愿地提振其国内经济。就中国而言,汇率制度改革一直内生推进,而建立"超主权货币"的设想由于缺乏有效理论和实践支撑,无法真正改变目前内外受困的被动局面。基于主权货币理论并结合中国汇率制度改革的内在逻辑,文章认为拥有主权货币的经济大国具有不受"汇率制度"约束而自主调控经济的灵活性与弹性,中国合理的汇率制度应该是中外经济交往内生发展的结果,而不是原因。过快推动或人为抑制人民币升值不但无助于贸易均衡的实现,反而会影响国内经济结构的调整和改革进程,而内生、渐进地实施浮动汇率制度改革不但能够强化人民币的"货币主权",保证国内经济稳定可持续发展,还可推动国际经济新秩序的形成。
[Abstract]:Since the crisis, the U.S.-led western developed countries have been "positive" in pushing the yuan to appreciate, but the policy of asking it not to do so has not boosted its domestic economy as much as it had hoped.As far as China is concerned, the reform of the exchange rate system has been carried out endogenously, and the idea of establishing "super sovereign currency" cannot really change the passive situation of being trapped inside and outside because of the lack of effective theoretical and practical support.Based on the theory of sovereign currency and the internal logic of the reform of China's exchange rate system, this paper holds that the economic powers with sovereign currency have the flexibility and flexibility to regulate and control the economy independently of the "exchange rate regime".China's reasonable exchange rate system should be the result of the endogenous development of Chinese and foreign economic exchanges, not the reason.Pushing or artificially curbing RMB appreciation too quickly will not help to achieve the balance of trade, but will affect the process of domestic economic restructuring and reform.The gradual implementation of the reform of floating exchange rate system can not only strengthen the "currency sovereignty" of RMB, guarantee the stable and sustainable development of domestic economy, but also promote the formation of new international economic order.
【作者单位】：陕西师范大学国际商学院金融系;
【基金】：教育部人文社科青年项目(09YJC790176);教育部留学回国人员第42批启动基金“后凯恩斯视角下的财政与货币政策及其对中国启示”
【分类号】：F832.6

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