我国货币供给内外共生性实证研究

发布时间：2018-04-19 05:11

本文选题：货币供给 + 内外共生性　；参考：《广东财经大学》2014年硕士论文

【摘要】：货币供给内生性与外生性问题既是一个重要的理论问题，也是一个重要的现实问题，这一问题直接关系到货币政策的选择和货币政策的有效性问题。二次世界大战以后，以凯恩斯主义和弗里德曼的货币主义为代表主张的货币供给外生性论一直被认为是主流经济学观点，而我国大多数学者认为我国在基础货币方面持续过高的外汇占款使得我国货币供给呈现出内生性的特征。不管是国内还是国外学者，他们在研究货币供给性质的时候一般是从基础货币或者货币乘数的某一方面来分析货币供给的性质，并没有完全否认货币供给同时具有内生性与外生性。本文根据货币供应量的基本公式将货币供给分为基础货币和货币乘数两个方面，对各个方面的影响因素进行了理论分析，再通过考察我国2005年1月—2013年12月的央行统计数据后，提出我国现阶段货币供给在基础货币方面存在内生性，，在货币乘数方面存在外生性，即我国的货币供给具有内外共生性，而总体上呈现强内生、弱外生的特点。根据这个结论本文提出了相应的政策建议来提高我国货币政策的有效性。
[Abstract]:The problem of endogenous and exogenous money supply is not only an important theoretical problem, but also an important practical problem, which is directly related to the choice of monetary policy and the effectiveness of monetary policy.After World War II, the externalism of money supply, represented by Keynesianism and Friedman's monetarism, was always regarded as the mainstream economic view.However, most Chinese scholars believe that our country's monetary supply is endogenetic because of its persistent excessive foreign currency occupation.Whether domestic or foreign scholars, when they study the nature of money supply, they generally analyze the nature of money supply from one aspect of the basic money or money multiplier.There is no complete denial that money supply has both endogenous and exogenous nature.In this paper, according to the basic formula of money supply, the money supply is divided into two aspects: basic money and money multiplier, and the influencing factors of each aspect are analyzed theoretically.After reviewing the central bank statistics from January 2005 to December 2013, the paper points out that the money supply in China is endogenous in the basic money supply and exogenously in the monetary multiplier at the present stage.That is, the money supply of our country has internal and external symbiosis, and generally presents the characteristics of strong endogenous and weak exogenous.According to this conclusion, this paper puts forward corresponding policy suggestions to improve the effectiveness of our monetary policy.
【学位授予单位】：广东财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F822.2

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