我国区域金融发展与经济发展关系再研究——基于我国三大区域面板数据的检验和分析

发布时间：2018-06-06 00:32

本文选题：区域差异 + 金融塌陷　；参考：《经济经纬》2012年02期

【摘要】：笔者基于我国东、中、西部1978年～2007年省际面板数据,运用面板单位根检验、协整检验及误差修正模型,对我国三大区域金融发展与其经济增长、产业结构、城市化之间的长期和短期关系进行了比较研究。研究表明三大区域金融发展与其经济增长、产业结构、城市化之间的关系具有明显的区域差异。东部的金融发展,不论在长期还是短期,均能助推其经济增长、产业结构优化升级和城市化进程,但在促进经济增长过程中也带来了通货膨胀的负效应;中西部的金融发展虽然在长期能引导其经济增长、产业结构升级及城市化进程,但短期因果关系并不成立;中部金融塌陷明显,而西部金融发展对城市化的边际贡献最小。
[Abstract]:Based on the inter-provincial panel data of east, middle and west China from 1978 to 2007, the author applies the panel unit root test, cointegration test and error correction model to analyze the financial development, economic growth and industrial structure of the three regions in China. The long-term and short-term relationships between urbanization are compared. The results show that there are obvious regional differences between the financial development of the three regions and their economic growth, industrial structure and urbanization. The financial development in the east, whether in the long term or in the short term, can boost its economic growth, optimize and upgrade the industrial structure and urbanization process, but it also brings the negative effect of inflation in the process of promoting economic growth. Although the financial development of the central and western regions can guide its economic growth, industrial structure upgrading and urbanization process in the long run, the short-term causality is not established; the financial collapse in the central part is obvious, while the marginal contribution of the western financial development to urbanization is the least.
【作者单位】：重庆大学经济与工商管理学院;中国社会科学院数量经济与技术经济研究所;
【基金】：国家自然科学基金(70703038) 全国教育科学规划课题(EFA080248)
【分类号】：F224;F832.7;F124

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