广西金融对出口贸易发展影响研究
发布时间：2018-08-11 13:34
【摘要】：本文通过对广西的金融和出口贸易发展现状分析和与其他地区的金融与出口贸易的比较分析,同时结合金融发展对贸易的作用机理和模型分析就广西金融对出口贸易发展进行深入的探讨。 论文首先回顾了金融与贸易关系的理论及实证的研究成果,总结得出金融对贸易是存在着显著影响的结论。其次,阐述与贸易发展相关的金融理论及作用机理。然后分别从金融规模、金融效率及金融结构和出口规模及出口结构来分析广西金融与出口贸易发展现状,并分别分析广西金融与出口贸易发展存在问题。且通过与西部地区的金融和出口贸易发展的比较来分析广西是否属于不完善金融市场及欠发达地区。再次,以1985年至2012年的样本数据为基础,基于VAR模型检验方法分析了广西金融对出口贸易的影响。研究结果表明,广西的金融发展对出口规模及出口结构存在长期均衡的影响,主要分为广西出口贸易规模受到金融规模的冲击反应相对较强,短期存在负向影响及长期存在正向影响关系,并以长期的影响关系为主要的发展方向；同时可从检验还看出广西出口规模除了受自身的影响外主要的贡献来自金融规模。而出口贸易结构受到金融效率冲击的反应相对较强,短期存在负向影响关系,且慢慢减弱并有向正向发展的趋势；并且检验结果显示广西出口结构除了受自身的影响外主要的贡献来自金融效率。最后结合广西金融与出口贸易发展现状、对比分析及实证分析的结果,提出与广西出口贸易发展相适应的金融发展对策。
[Abstract]:Through the analysis of the present situation of Guangxi's finance and export trade and the comparative analysis with other regions' finance and export trade, At the same time, based on the analysis of the mechanism and model of financial development to trade, the paper makes a deep discussion on the development of Guangxi finance to export trade. Firstly, the paper reviews the theoretical and empirical research results of the relationship between finance and trade, and concludes that finance has a significant impact on trade. Secondly, it expounds the financial theory and mechanism related to the development of trade. Then it analyzes the present situation of Guangxi's finance and export trade from the aspects of financial scale, financial efficiency, financial structure, export scale and export structure, and analyzes the problems existing in the development of Guangxi's finance and export trade respectively. By comparing with the development of finance and export trade in the western region, this paper analyzes whether Guangxi belongs to the imperfect financial market and the underdeveloped region. Thirdly, based on the sample data from 1985 to 2012, this paper analyzes the impact of Guangxi finance on export trade based on VAR model. The results show that the financial development of Guangxi has a long-term equilibrium effect on the export scale and export structure, mainly divided into that the scale of Guangxi's export trade is relatively strongly impacted by the financial scale. There are negative effects in the short run and positive effects in the long run, and the main development direction is the long-term influence relationship. At the same time, we can also see that the main contribution of Guangxi export scale comes from the financial scale in addition to its own influence. The export trade structure is relatively strong response to the impact of financial efficiency, there is a negative impact on the short-term relationship, and slowly weakened and has a trend of positive development; The results show that the main contribution of Guangxi's export structure comes from financial efficiency in addition to its own influence. Finally, based on the present situation of Guangxi's finance and export trade, the results of comparative analysis and empirical analysis, the author puts forward the financial development countermeasures suitable for Guangxi's export trade development.
【学位授予单位】：广西大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.7;F752.8
本文编号：2177143
[Abstract]:Through the analysis of the present situation of Guangxi's finance and export trade and the comparative analysis with other regions' finance and export trade, At the same time, based on the analysis of the mechanism and model of financial development to trade, the paper makes a deep discussion on the development of Guangxi finance to export trade. Firstly, the paper reviews the theoretical and empirical research results of the relationship between finance and trade, and concludes that finance has a significant impact on trade. Secondly, it expounds the financial theory and mechanism related to the development of trade. Then it analyzes the present situation of Guangxi's finance and export trade from the aspects of financial scale, financial efficiency, financial structure, export scale and export structure, and analyzes the problems existing in the development of Guangxi's finance and export trade respectively. By comparing with the development of finance and export trade in the western region, this paper analyzes whether Guangxi belongs to the imperfect financial market and the underdeveloped region. Thirdly, based on the sample data from 1985 to 2012, this paper analyzes the impact of Guangxi finance on export trade based on VAR model. The results show that the financial development of Guangxi has a long-term equilibrium effect on the export scale and export structure, mainly divided into that the scale of Guangxi's export trade is relatively strongly impacted by the financial scale. There are negative effects in the short run and positive effects in the long run, and the main development direction is the long-term influence relationship. At the same time, we can also see that the main contribution of Guangxi export scale comes from the financial scale in addition to its own influence. The export trade structure is relatively strong response to the impact of financial efficiency, there is a negative impact on the short-term relationship, and slowly weakened and has a trend of positive development; The results show that the main contribution of Guangxi's export structure comes from financial efficiency in addition to its own influence. Finally, based on the present situation of Guangxi's finance and export trade, the results of comparative analysis and empirical analysis, the author puts forward the financial development countermeasures suitable for Guangxi's export trade development.
【学位授予单位】：广西大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.7;F752.8
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