生产网络框架下FDI对中国贸易结构影响研究

发布时间：2018-08-11 12:49

【摘要】：近二十多年来,中国作为加工贸易大国,中间品贸易发展越来越迅速,中间品贸易已经成为了中国进出口贸易的重要组成部分。中国的中间品贸易受外商直接投资的影响十分深刻。跨国企业在中间品贸易中起到了重要的作用。因此,在生产网络视角下,研究FDI通过影响中国中间品的进口,进而如何影响最终品的出口这种三角贸易模式就显得十分必要。本文在此基础上,通过生产网络视角,利用一般均衡理论,阐述了FDI对中间品贸易、最终品贸易结构的影响机制。首先用表格和数据等方法阐述了中国近二十年来FDI与贸易结构的发展现状,归纳了其特点,发现了二者之间的内在关系。其次,对前人研究FDI与贸易之间的替代互补关系理论进行了疏理和总结。并运用一般均衡分析,对FDI与最终品,中间品贸易模式做了理论上的阐述。接下来在引力方程基础上,运用最小二乘法和固定效应的面板模型进行了回归,对FDI与中间品贸易、最终品贸易关系做了实证分析。得出结论：在三角贸易模式中,FDI对中间投入品的进口起到了正向的促进作用,而中间品中半成品和零部件的进口促进了最终资本品的出口,中间品中初级产品的进口促进了最终消费品的出口。做为加工贸易大国的中国,FDI通过中间品与最终产品出口形成了互补关系；另外,也发现两国经济水平越相似的国家中间品贸易所占的比重越大。GDP与双边最终品贸易额,中间品贸易存在着显著正向影响。针对此结论本文最后提出了相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:In the past twenty years, as a big country of processing trade, China's intermediate trade has developed more and more rapidly, and intermediate trade has become an important part of China's import and export trade. China's intermediate trade is deeply influenced by foreign direct investment. Multinational enterprises play an important role in the trade of intermediate goods. Therefore, from the perspective of production network, it is necessary to study the triangle trade mode of FDI which influences the import of Chinese intermediate goods and how to influence the export of final goods. On this basis, through the perspective of production network and using the general equilibrium theory, this paper expounds the influence mechanism of FDI on the trade structure of intermediate goods and final goods. In this paper, the development status of China's FDI and trade structure in the past two decades is described by means of tables and data, and its characteristics are summarized, and the internal relations between them are found. Secondly, the theory of substitution and complementarity between FDI and trade is reviewed and summarized. Using the general equilibrium analysis, the trade model of FDI, final product and intermediate goods is expounded theoretically. Then, on the basis of gravity equation, using the least square method and the panel model of fixed effect, the paper makes an empirical analysis on the trade relationship between FDI and intermediate goods and final goods. It is concluded that FDI plays a positive role in promoting the import of intermediate inputs in the triangular trade model, while the import of semi-finished products and components in intermediate goods promotes the export of final capital goods. Imports of primary products in intermediates facilitate the export of final consumer goods. As a big country of processing trade, China FDI forms a complementary relationship through the export of intermediate goods and final products. In addition, it is also found that the more similar the economic level of the two countries is, the larger the proportion of intermediate goods trade between the two countries is. There is a significant positive impact on intermediate trade. In view of this conclusion, this paper finally puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations.
【学位授予单位】：天津财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2014
【分类号】：F832.6;F752

【参考文献】