通胀目标制下我国货币政策操作范式的转型研究
发布时间：2019-07-04 14:16
【摘要】：理论上,通胀目标制是一种限制性相机抉择的货币政策操作范式,兼备了"规则"和"相机抉择"的优点。实践中,相对于货币目标制和汇率目标制,通胀目标制对新兴市场经济体宏观经济绩效的改善效果十分明显。我国货币政策现行的操作范式是货币目标制,这种范式表现出来的种种弊端,不但大大降低了我国货币政策的实施效率,而且极易累积通胀甚至带来滞胀风险。当前,我国应通过增强央行的独立性、提升货币政策的透明度、建立并健全中央银行的问责制度、加快推进利率的市场化进程、改进人民币的汇率制度、完善经济数据的统计调查体系和优化央行通胀预测方法等措施,来促进我国货币政策的操作范式向灵活的通胀目标制转型。
文内图片：
图片说明：显示：2003年之前，，货币供应量（M2增长图1货币供应量与CPI、GDP的相关关系
[Abstract]:In theory, inflation targeting is a kind of restrictive monetary policy operation paradigm, which has the advantages of both "rules" and "discretionary choices". In practice, compared with monetary targeting and exchange rate targeting, inflation targeting has obvious effect on macroeconomic performance of emerging market economies. The current operating paradigm of monetary policy in our country is the monetary targeting system. The disadvantages of this paradigm not only greatly reduce the efficiency of the implementation of monetary policy in our country, but also easily accumulate inflation and even bring stagflation risk. At present, China should promote the transformation of monetary policy paradigm to flexible inflation target system by strengthening the independence of central bank, enhancing the transparency of monetary policy, establishing and perfecting the accountability system of central bank, speeding up the process of promoting the marketization of interest rate, improving the exchange rate system of RMB, perfecting the statistical investigation system of economic data and optimizing the inflation forecasting method of central bank.
【作者单位】： 南京师范大学商学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金项目《我国管理通胀预期与灵活审慎的货币政策研究》(10CJY064) 教育部人文社科基金项目《核心通货膨胀与后危机时期货币政策的转型》(10YJC790358) 江苏省“青蓝工程”项目的研究成果
【分类号】：F822.0
本文编号：2509979
文内图片：
图片说明：显示：2003年之前，，货币供应量（M2增长图1货币供应量与CPI、GDP的相关关系
[Abstract]:In theory, inflation targeting is a kind of restrictive monetary policy operation paradigm, which has the advantages of both "rules" and "discretionary choices". In practice, compared with monetary targeting and exchange rate targeting, inflation targeting has obvious effect on macroeconomic performance of emerging market economies. The current operating paradigm of monetary policy in our country is the monetary targeting system. The disadvantages of this paradigm not only greatly reduce the efficiency of the implementation of monetary policy in our country, but also easily accumulate inflation and even bring stagflation risk. At present, China should promote the transformation of monetary policy paradigm to flexible inflation target system by strengthening the independence of central bank, enhancing the transparency of monetary policy, establishing and perfecting the accountability system of central bank, speeding up the process of promoting the marketization of interest rate, improving the exchange rate system of RMB, perfecting the statistical investigation system of economic data and optimizing the inflation forecasting method of central bank.
【作者单位】： 南京师范大学商学院;
【基金】：国家社科基金项目《我国管理通胀预期与灵活审慎的货币政策研究》(10CJY064) 教育部人文社科基金项目《核心通货膨胀与后危机时期货币政策的转型》(10YJC790358) 江苏省“青蓝工程”项目的研究成果
【分类号】：F822.0
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