上海市服务贸易竞争力评价及影响因素研究

发布时间：2017-12-31 02:33

本文关键词：上海市服务贸易竞争力评价及影响因素研究　出处：《海南大学》2016年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：随着服务贸易的快速增长,服务贸易已经成为推动一国或地区经济增长的“引擎”。服务贸易的竞争力水平正在逐步成为影响一个国家或地区国际竞争力的关键性指标。上海作为我国经济最发达的城市之一,其服务贸易竞争力水平关系到我国服务贸易竞争力水平。因此,本文基于此背景研究上海市服务贸易竞争力水平及影响因素。本文采用规范分析和实证分析相结合的方法,对上海服务贸易竞争力现状与香港、新加坡进行国际比较,找出影响上海服务贸易的因素并进行实证研究。文章具体思路如下：首先,本文先阐述服务贸易竞争力的相关概念及理论基础,主要是传统的比较优势理论和竞争优势理论的核心思想和主要观点,继而论证这两个理论对服务贸易的适用性。其次,利用国际市场占有率、贸易竞争力指数、显示性比较优势指数、显示性竞争优势指数和净出口显性比较优势指数对比分析上海与香港、新加坡服务贸易竞争力水平；再次,基于改进后的以科技创新为核心的“钻石模型”,理论上分析了影响上海市服务贸易竞争力的因素,再应用协整E-G法进行逐步回归分析找出影响上海市服务贸易竞争力的因素。在定性和定量研究相结合的基础上,本文得出如下结论：(1)通过对上海服务贸易现状的研究及利用国际竞争力的评价指标对比分析香港、新加坡服务贸易竞争力发现,近几年上海服务贸易规模不断壮大,但其服务贸易竞争力水平与国际上其他大城市相比仍存在一定的差距。上海急需加快传统服务贸易转型,发展新兴服务贸易。(2)根据改进后的“钻石模型”,选取了6个影响上海服务贸易竞争力的因素。应用协整分析、格兰杰因果检验和误差修正模型分析,发现货物贸易出口额、服务业发展水平、人力资本和服务业科技投入对服务贸易出口额存在显著的正向影响,它们之间存在着一个长期稳定的关系。由此,本文最后提出提升上海服务贸易竞争力的政策建议。
[Abstract]:With the rapid growth of service trade, service trade has become the economic growth of a country or a region "engine". The level of competitiveness of service trade is gradually becoming the key indicators affecting the international competitiveness of a country or region. Shanghai is one of the most developed economy of our country city, related to the competitiveness of China's service trade the service trade competitiveness. Therefore, this paper studies the background factors of Shanghai city based on the level of service trade competitiveness and influence. This paper adopts a method of combining normative analysis and empirical analysis, the Shanghai service trade competitiveness of Hongkong and Singapore, international comparison, find out the influencing factors of the service trade in Shanghai and an empirical study of the article. Ideas: first, this article first elaborates the related concept of service trade competitiveness and theoretical basis, mainly the traditional comparative advantages The core idea and the main points of the theory and the theory of competitive advantage, then the applicability of these two theories on service trade. Secondly, the international market share, trade competitiveness index, revealed comparative advantage index, revealed competitive advantage index and net export revealed comparative advantage index comparative analysis of Shanghai and Hongkong, Singapore service trade the level of competitiveness; thirdly, based on the improved technology and innovation as the core of the "Diamond Model", the theoretical analysis of the factors affecting the competitiveness of trade in services in Shanghai City, using cointegration method E-G stepwise regression analysis was performed to identify factors affecting the competitiveness of trade in services in Shanghai City. Based on a combination of qualitative and quantitative research. This paper draws the following conclusions: (1) through the research and utilization of the status quo of Shanghai service trade comparative evaluation index of the international competitiveness analysis of Hongkong, Singapore. The service trade competitiveness, Shanghai in recent years, the scale of trade in services is constantly growing, but its service trade competitiveness and other international big city in Shanghai. There is still a gap between the urgent need to accelerate the transformation of traditional service trade, the development of emerging service trade. (2) according to the improved "Diamond Model", selected 6 Effects Shanghai services trade competitiveness factors. Using co integration analysis, analysis of the Grainger causality test and error correction model, found that the export of goods, the development level of service industry, service industry and human capital investment in science and technology exports to service trade has a significant positive impact, a long-term stable relationship exists between them. Thus, this paper finally, to enhance the competitiveness of Shanghai service trade policy recommendations.

【学位授予单位】：海南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F752.68

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