重庆市生产性服务业全要素生产率变动及影响因素研究

发布时间：2018-01-03 00:05

本文关键词：重庆市生产性服务业全要素生产率变动及影响因素研究　出处：《西南大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：服务业是带动经济增长的主要部门,目前我国经济增长正由资本驱动型向效率驱动型转变,但服务业增长却一直备受效率较低的困扰。部分学者认为我国服务业效率较低是作为中间投入品的生产性服务业未发挥带动作用所致,部分学者认为市场化竞争将促进生产性服务业效率改进,从而带动服务业效率提升,现有文献对重庆市研究结论与前者说法形成差异,对后者说法给予支持。针对生产性服务业是否发挥带动作用,它的效率情况如何,本文以重庆市为切口,考虑到重庆市独特的产业发展特征,在把握重庆市产业投入产出特征,采用重庆市第二次经济普查后修订数据的基础上,对重庆市生产性服务业全要素生产率(TFP)进行测量。由于生产性服务业细分行业具有一定异质性,文章从细分行业角度进行分析,并对影响重庆市生产性服务业TFP变动的影响因素进行分析,以此为重庆生产性服务业的效率提高与集约型增长转型提供一定的理论依据。在借鉴生产性服务业与TFP的相关理论基础上,文章利用投入产出表对重庆生产性服务业的外延进行界定：通过描述性统计方法,对重庆生产性服务业的产出与投入现状进行分析；通过DEA-Malmquist生产率指数法,对1998-2012年重庆生产性服务业的TFP变动情况进行测量,将其与同期间服务业TFP变动进行比较,并对细分行业TFP变动进行比较分析；通过灰色关联度分析法,对影响生产性服务业TFP的影响因素进行分析。结果发现：(1)重庆生产性服务业已经开始由粗放型发展方式向集约型发展方式进行转变,得益于技术进步的提高,生产性服务业TFP增长率较高,带动作用显现,不再是使服务业效率较低的主要因素；(2)生产性服务业细分行业TFP变动具有较大行业异质性,由于技术效率的行业差异性,交通运输、仓储和邮政业、批发和零售业TFP增长率总体呈下降趋势,租赁与商务服务业、金融业TFP增长率呈上升趋势且增长率最高,科学研究、技术服务与地质勘查业与信息传输、计算机服务和软件业虽有较高的技术进步率,但技术效率整体偏低,使其并未呈现出TFP正增长。从行业异质性的变动趋势来看,技术效率的行业差异性最大,技术进步行业差异性最小。(3)重庆市生产性服务业产出增长、经济发展水平、工业发展进程、社会环境改善、创新投入变动均对生产性服务业TFP变动具有正相关关系。其中工业化发展水平变动率、城市化水平变动率、产出增长、从业人员占比增长率与TFP变动关联度较大,对外开放程度变动率、RD占比变动率与TFP变动关联度较小。结合研究结论,本文提出了几点建议：(1)加强指导与监督,重点提高技术效率；(2)鼓励对外开放与技术创新,促进科技成果转化；(3)明确把握行业异质性,针对性促进TFP提升；(4)加快工业化与城市化建设,配套服务生产性服务业发展。
[Abstract]:The service industry is a major sector driven economic growth, China's economic growth is driven by capital type change to the efficiency of the drive, but the growth of service industry has always been low efficiency problems. Some scholars believe that the efficiency of China's service industry is relatively low as intermediate inputs of producer services did not play a leading role. And some scholars believe that the market competition will promote the efficiency of producer services improved, so as to promote the service industry to enhance the efficiency of the existing literature, difference of Chongqing with the former research conclusion that formed in support of the latter view. According to the production service industry is to play a leading role, how the efficiency of it, this paper takes Chongqing city as the incision considering the unique characteristics of industrial development, the city of Chongqing, in the grasp of the input-output features of Chongqing city industry, the Chongqing based second economic census revised data, the The city productive service industry total factor productivity (TFP) were measured. The sub sectors of producer services has a certain heterogeneity, analyzing from the sub industry perspective, and the influencing factors of producer service industry in Chongqing TFP changes were analyzed, which in order to improve the efficiency and the intensive producer services in Chongqing the growth provides a theoretical basis for the transformation. Based on the relevant theories from producer services and TFP, using the input-output table to define the extension of producer services in Chongqing: by descriptive statistical method, the input and output of producer services in Chongqing are analyzed; through the DEA-Malmquist productivity index method TFP, measured changes in Chongqing for 1998-2012 production services, and the service industry during the same period, TFP changes were compared, and changes in the industry segments TFP Comparative analysis; through the method of grey correlation analysis on the influencing factors of producer services in TFP were analyzed. Results showed that: (1) Chongqing has the production service industry started from extensive development to intensive development mode transformation, thanks to technology improvement, the higher rate of production service industry TFP the leading role of growth, appear, is no longer the main factors make the service efficiency is low; (2) sub sectors of producer services industry has a larger change of TFP heterogeneity, because of the technical efficiency differences, transportation, storage and postal industry, wholesale and retail TFP growth rate of the overall downward trend, leasing business and service industry, financial industry growth rate of TFP increased and the highest growth rate, scientific research, technical services and geological prospecting industry and information transmission, computer services and software industry has high technological progress The rate of technical efficiency, but the overall low, which showed no TFP positive growth. From the trend of industry heterogeneity, the technical efficiency differences, technological progress of industry difference is minimal. (3) the growth of Chongqing producer service industry output, the level of economic development, industrial development process, improve the social environment all the changes, innovation of productive service industry TFP change has a positive correlation. The industrialization rate, city level change rate, output growth, employees accounted for the growth rate and TFP changes associated with larger, opening rate, RD rate and TFP changes in the proportion of change correlation is small. According to the conclusions, this paper puts forward several suggestions: (1) to strengthen the supervision and guidance, focus on improving the technical efficiency; (2) encourage the opening-up and technological innovation, promote the transformation of scientific and technological achievements; (3) a clear grasp of the industry heterogeneity, In order to promote the promotion of TFP, (4) accelerate industrialization and urbanization, and support the development of service industry.

【学位授予单位】：西南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F719

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