外商直接投资对我国服务业内部结构优化研究

发布时间：2018-01-13 16:37

本文关键词：外商直接投资对我国服务业内部结构优化研究　出处：《江西财经大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来,我国经济快速发展,到2001年中国加入到了世界贸易组织当中,服务业在我国开始受到了重视,这也标志着我国开始转变了经济发展战略。截至2013年底,在国内生产总值中我国服务业增加值占比比重达到了46%;在总就业人数中服务业就业人数占比比重达到了38.5%,这两个比重都比第一产业和第二产业要高。虽然服务业得到了快速发展,但是我国服务业内部结构并不是很合理,现代服务业在增加值比重和就业比重上仍然占较低比例。我国三大产业的发展都离不开外商直接投资的流入,影响最大的应属第三产业。同时外商直接投资的流入能够通过技术外溢、物质资本等因素来优化服务业的内部结构。文章一共分成了六个部分,首先第一部分是导论,通过总结我国三大产业发展现状,进而阐述文章的研究意义、研究背景,确定了研究方向之后再介绍文章的研究方法、研究内容,最后介绍了文章研究的创新点以及不足之处、研究框架,并对相关领域文献进行了梳理和总结,最后阐述了自己的研究方向。第二部分首先介绍了外商直接投资的含义和相关外商直接投资理论,然后着重介绍了服务业概念的界定和服务业的分类,并介绍了服务业结构优化标准和服务业结构变动的理论基础。第三部分为现状分析,通过查找数据、列表格,然后在把数据对比,通过数据对比我们可以发现确实存在这个可能性:FDI流入能够通过多方面因素来优化服务业内部结构。文章第四部分是针对外商直接投资对服务业内部结构优化是否存在影响进行了中介效应检验,检验结果显示这种影响确实存在。第五部分为实证分析,首先对数据进行处理,然后用协整检验、平稳性检验、Granger因果检验对服务业FDI与传统服务业增加值比重进行检验。最后构建模型,实证分析服务业FDI对传统服务业就业人数比重和增加值比重的影响。第六部分是相关的政策建议。从本文的研究我们可以得出:(1)我国服务业就业人数和增加值每年呈现递增趋势,并且已经超过第一产业和第二产业,而且现代服务业递增比较明显。(2)我国三大产业在利用外资额和利用FDI合同数方面也存在较大差距,第一产业逐年递减,第三产业逐年递增,但是传统服务业却递增缓慢,甚至某些行业还减少了。(3)外商直接投资流入到服务业,从总体来看服务业得到了快速发展,但是服务业每个行业的发展却又不一样,文章后半部分将服务业分为了传统服务业和现代服务业。通过数据分析得出:传统服务业就业人数比重和增加值比重是降低了的,那么我们也可以得出现代服务业就业人数比重和增加值比重是增加了的,说明外商直接投资确实优化了服务业内部结构。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has developed rapidly. In 2001, China joined the World Trade Organization, and the service industry began to be attached importance in our country. This also indicates that China has begun to change its economic development strategy. As of end of 2013, the proportion of added value of service industry in China's GDP has reached 46%. In the total number of employed, the proportion of service employment reached 38.5%, both of which are higher than the primary industry and the secondary industry, although the service industry has been rapid development. However, the internal structure of our service industry is not very reasonable, the modern service industry still occupies a low proportion in the proportion of added value and employment. The development of the three major industries in China can not be separated from the inflow of foreign direct investment. At the same time, the inflow of foreign direct investment can optimize the internal structure of service industry through technology spillover, material capital and other factors. The article is divided into six parts. The first part is the introduction, through the summary of the development of the three major industries in China, and then elaborated the significance of the article, research background, determine the direction of research and then introduce the research methods, research content. Finally, the article introduces the innovation and shortcomings of the research, the research framework, and the relevant literature review and summary. The second part introduces the meaning of FDI and related FDI theory, and then introduces the definition of service industry concept and the classification of service industry. And introduced the service industry structure optimization standard and the service industry structure change theory foundation. The third part is the present situation analysis, by looking up the data, the list lattice, then compares the data. By comparing the data, we can see that this possibility does exist:. FDI inflow can optimize the internal structure of service industry through many factors. Part 4th is to examine the intermediary effect of FDI on the internal structure optimization of service industry. The test results show that this kind of influence does exist. 5th part is the empirical analysis, first processing the data, then using cointegration test, stability test. Granger causality test is used to test the proportion of added value of service FDI and traditional service industry. Finally, the model is constructed. An empirical analysis of the impact of FDI on the employment and added value of traditional service industries. 6th is the relevant policy advice. The employment and added value of service industry in China is increasing every year. And has already exceeded the primary industry and the secondary industry, and the modern service industry is increasing significantly. 2) China's three major industries in the use of foreign capital and the use of FDI contracts there is also a large gap. The primary industry is decreasing year by year, the tertiary industry is increasing year by year, but the traditional service industry is increasing slowly, and some industries have even reduced the inflow of foreign direct investment to the service industry. As a whole, the service industry has developed rapidly, but the development of each industry is different. The latter part of the article divides the service industry into the traditional service industry and the modern service industry. Through the data analysis, it is concluded that the proportion of employment and added value of the traditional service industry is reduced. Then we can also conclude that the proportion of employment and added value of modern service industry is increasing, which shows that foreign direct investment has really optimized the internal structure of service industry.
【学位授予单位】：江西财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F719;F832.6

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