山西省FDI、对外贸易与经济增长关系的研究

发布时间：2018-01-15 08:42

本文关键词：山西省FDI、对外贸易与经济增长关系的研究　出处：《长春工业大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：在经济全球化的背景下,对外贸易与FDI在一国或地区经济的发展中扮演着越来越重要的角色,呈现出自由化、全球化的趋势。对外经济的发展好坏成为一国家或地区提升经济竞争力的关键所在,尤其对发展中国家或地区就更为重要,所以,对FDI、对外贸易与经济增长关系的研究就具有重要价值。当前,对外贸易与FDI在全国范围内蓬勃发展,而山西省近年来吸收FDI与发展对外贸易势头强劲,因此本文立足山西省,研究FDI、对外贸易与经济增长的关系对于山西省及欠发达省份对外经济的发展具有重要的现实意义。针对山西省发展对外贸易、FDI与经济增长的关系问题,本文运用了外汇缺口与储蓄缺口模型、外生经济增长模型、绝对成本说、比较成本贸易理论、H-O理论、对外贸易乘数理论、Mundell投资与贸易替代理论、小岛清投资与贸易互补理论,采用定性分析法详细分析了山西省经济增长、FDI及对外贸易的现状、结构特征等,此外与定量分析相结合对山西省FDI、对外贸易与经济增长的关系进行了实证研究。研究结果表明:从山西省宏观方向上来看,山西省经济增长是FDI的格兰杰原因,对外贸易是山西省经济增长的格兰杰原因,FDI是对外贸易的格兰杰原因,但是FDI影响经济增长与经济增长影响对外贸易这两项关系只有在长期的时间条件下才能实现;从微观方向上来看,朔州FDI的发展带动经济的作用最大,大同、临汾、晋中、阳泉次之;忻州与太原对外贸易的发展最能促进当地经济的增长,晋城、长治次之。最后,在定性分析与定量分析的基础上对山西省对外经济的发展提出了五点可供参考的对策建议,可以为山西省对外经济的可持续发展提供一定的科学依据。
[Abstract]:Under the background of economic globalization, foreign trade and FDI plays a more and more important role in the economic development of a country or region, showing the trend of globalization, liberalization, foreign economic development quality has become the key to enhance the economic competitiveness of a country or region, especially for developing countries or regions is more important. So, for FDI, study on the relationship between foreign trade and economic growth is of great value. At present, the foreign trade and the rapid development of FDI in the country, and Shanxi Province in recent years, with the development of foreign trade FDI absorption momentum strong, so this thesis is based on Shanxi Province, the research of FDI, the relationship between foreign trade and economic growth is the reality significance for the development of Shanxi province and the underdeveloped provinces in Shanxi province. The foreign economic development of foreign trade, the relationship between FDI and economic growth, this paper uses the foreign exchange gap and storage Storage gap model, exogenous economic growth model, the theory of absolute cost, trade cost comparison theory, H-O theory, the theory of foreign trade multiplier, Mundell investment and trade substitution theory, Kojima investment and trade complementary theory, using the method of qualitative analysis a detailed analysis of the economy growth of Shanxi Province, the status quo of FDI and foreign trade, structural characteristics in addition, combined with the quantitative analysis of FDI in Shanxi Province, the relationship between foreign trade and economic growth in the empirical research. The results show that: in Shanxi province from the macro direction of view, the economic growth of Shanxi province is Grainger FDI, foreign trade and economic growth in Shanxi province is the Grainger reason, Grainger FDI is the cause of foreign trade FDI, but the impact of economic growth and economic growth impact of the two foreign trade only in time can be achieved under the condition of long-term; from the microcosmic direction of view, Shuozhou FDI. Exhibition to promote economic role, Datong, Linfen, Jinzhong, Yangquan; Xinzhou and Taiyuan the development of foreign trade can promote the local economic growth, Jincheng, Changzhi. Finally, on the basis of qualitative analysis and quantitative analysis on the development of foreign economy in Shanxi province put forward five points of reference suggestions can provide a scientific basis for the sustainable development of foreign economy in Shanxi province.

【学位授予单位】：长春工业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F752.8;F127;F832.6

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