新兴服务业统计调查制度与增加值核算的研究

发布时间：2018-01-26 00:54

本文关键词： 新兴服务业统计范围统计分类统计调查增加值核算　出处：《东北林业大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：新兴服务业是兼具潜力与活力的服务业未来之星。新兴服务业具有较低的资源需求率和环境破坏力,符合我国可持续发展的战略要求。高效的技术支持、合理的人员配备是降低企业经营成本,提高新兴服务业市场竞争力的保障。新的产业模式使运营过程能够带动更多产业经济的发展。总之,新兴服务业是服务业未来发展的指针,如何用有效的方法来衡量新兴服务业的高速发展成为本文研究的重点。本文首先梳理了新兴服务业统计范围,选取我国服务业发展水平低、中、高地区的代表性地区,浅析国内新兴服务业统计范围的划分状况。结合国内外服务业分类调整与创新的思路以及我国国内服务业发展现状,制定相关新兴服务业分类的目的与原则,针对新兴服务业的发展成熟度和专业性的特点进行分类。然后,探析了新兴服务业统计调查过程中存在的“一套表”问题、行业交叉问题以及抽样回访和抽样框更新等问题。根据新兴服务业行业性质,做到有的放矢的制定抽样调查具体实施方案和模型推算具体方案,以完善新兴服务业统计调查制度。基于新兴服务业分类和调查的探究,研究增加值核算方法的创新。按照2011年的国民经济行业分类,浅析15个服务性行业不变价核算的实质化方法。将新兴服务业按照经营性质,以及产业之间融合的复杂程度分类,对于基于直接获取数据的新兴服务业沿用我国现阶段增加值核算的现价增加值和不变价增加值核算方法；对于基于间接获取数据的新兴服务业核算采用模型推算思想进行系统解释。最后描述基于间接获取数据的新兴服务业增加值模型推算采用的数学方法,灰色关联分析法和偏最小二乘法。分别以房地产业增加值的核算为例,指出房地产业增加值核算过程中存在多种限制服务业增加值核算的因素；以文化产业增加值的模型推算为例,灰色关联的方法,剔除与文化产业关系不大的指标,采用PLS模型建立推算模型,探究模型推算这一方法是否能够适用文化产业,进而推行到新兴服务业的各个行业中。最后,提出新兴服务业增加值核算的建议。对基于直接获取数据的新兴服务业的增加值核算重点落在统计调查过程中基础数据获取上；对基于间接获取数据的新兴服务业的增加值核算从指标选取、数据周期的细化和数量方法的选取上提出相关的建议。
[Abstract]:The emerging service industry is the future star of the service industry with both potential and vitality. The new service industry has low resource demand rate and environmental damage, which meets the strategic requirements of sustainable development in China and efficient technical support. Reasonable staffing is the guarantee to reduce the operating cost and improve the competitiveness of the emerging service market. The new industrial model enables the operation process to promote the development of more industrial economy. The emerging service industry is the guideline of the future development of the service industry. How to measure the rapid development of the emerging service industry with effective methods has become the focus of this paper. Firstly, this paper combs the statistical scope of the emerging service industry. Select our country service industry development level of low, middle, high representative areas. This paper analyzes the classification of the statistical scope of domestic emerging service industry. Combined with the ideas of adjustment and innovation of domestic and foreign service industry classification and the development of domestic service industry in China, the purpose and principles of the classification of emerging service industry are formulated. According to the development maturity and professional characteristics of emerging service industry, the paper analyzes the problem of "a set of tables" in the process of statistical investigation of emerging service industry. According to the nature of the emerging service industry, the specific implementation plan and the model calculation of the specific implementation plan and model of sampling survey can be made. In order to improve the new service industry statistical survey system. Based on the emerging service industry classification and survey research, the innovation of value-added accounting methods. According to the national economic industry classification in 2011. This paper analyzes the substantive methods of fixed price accounting in 15 service industries. It classifies the emerging service industry according to the nature of operation and the complexity of the integration between industries. For the emerging service industry based on the direct acquisition of data, the current value added and the constant price added value accounting method of China's current value-added accounting is adopted. For the accounting of emerging service industry based on indirect acquisition of data, the idea of model reckoning is used to explain systematically. Finally, the mathematical method of calculating the added value model of emerging service industry based on indirect acquisition of data is described. Grey relational analysis method and partial least square method. Taking the value added accounting of real estate industry as an example, this paper points out that there are many factors restricting the value added accounting of service industry in the process of real estate value added accounting. Taking the model calculation of added value of cultural industry as an example, the grey correlation method is used to eliminate the indexes which have little relation with cultural industry, and the PLS model is adopted to establish the model. Explore the model to calculate whether this method can be applied to the cultural industry, and then promote to the emerging service industry in each industry. Finally. The value added accounting of emerging service industry based on direct data acquisition is focused on the basic data acquisition in the process of statistical investigation. This paper puts forward some suggestions on the value added accounting of the emerging service industry based on indirect data acquisition from the selection of indicators, the refinement of data cycle and the selection of quantitative methods.
【学位授予单位】：东北林业大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F719

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