发展中国家对华反倾销研究
发布时间:2018-02-05 23:40
本文关键词: 发展中国家 反倾销 中国 贸易引力模型 出处:《安徽工业大学》2016年硕士论文 论文类型:学位论文
【摘要】:加入世贸组织(WTO)以来,中国对外经济和贸易取得了巨大的成就,2014年中国继续保持了世界第一货物贸易大国的地位,对世界经济增长的贡献率平均达到了18%。然而,据WTO网站截止到2014年底的反倾销数据库统计,中国共遭反倾销调查1052起,被采取反倾销最终措施759起,连续十九年成为遭反倾销最多的国家。在对华反倾销最多的前7位国家中,发展中国家占据五席,可见发展中国家等新兴市场已经成为对华反倾销的头号力量,应引起高度关注。为此,如何积极、有效应对发展中国家对华反倾销,营造良好、健康的贸易环境,促进中国向发展中国家和地区出口持续、稳定增长具有重要的现实意义。首先,本文对反倾销相关理论作出界定,并分析发展中国家对华反倾销的总体现状,然后详细分析五个主要发展中国家——印度、阿根廷、巴西、土耳其和墨西哥的对华反倾销现状特征,得出如下结论:发展中国家的对华反倾销呈现机制有漏洞、国别分布主要针对中国、双边贸易情况差距大、产品结构过于相似、涉案金额巨大及征收税率过高。发展中国家对华反倾销现状的形势越来越严峻。其次,以贸易引力模型为基础,选取各国国内生产总值、中国遭发展中国家反倾销调查次数、中国从发展中国家的进口额等几个影响出口的因素,实证分析发现只有中国遭发展中国家反倾销调查次数与中国向发展中国家出口呈负相关,且长短期的影响均十分显著。表明发展中国家对华反倾销严重影响我国向发展中国家的贸易出口。最后,提出主要的对策建议:从宏观、中观和微观层面,提出“三体联动”工作机制,来应对发展中国家的对华反倾销,扩大我国向这些国家的出口。从政府角度说,应当转变成服务型、监督型的政府,建立反倾销争端解决机制,加强国家间的合作,平衡进出口,创造一个良好的贸易环境,同时不排除采取报复措施;从行业协会角度说,要扮演好引导者的角色,构建预警机制,培养应诉团队,设立应诉基金;从企业角度说,产品做好差异化,走多元化出口战略,同时积极应诉,必要时对海外直接投资。
[Abstract]:China has made great achievements in its foreign economy and trade since its accession to the WTO. In 2014, China continued to maintain its position as the world's largest trading country in goods. The contribution rate to the world economic growth has reached 18 on average. However, according to the antidumping database statistics of WTO website as of end of 2014, China has been subjected to 1 052 anti-dumping investigations. 759 final measures of anti-dumping were adopted, making them the most anti-dumping countries for 19 consecutive years. Among the seven countries with the largest number of anti-dumping actions against China, developing countries occupied five places. It can be seen that developing countries and other emerging markets have become the number one force of anti-dumping against China and should be highly concerned. Therefore, how to actively and effectively respond to anti-dumping by developing countries against China and create a good one. A healthy trade environment, promote China's exports to developing countries and regions to continue, stable growth has important practical significance. First, this paper defines the relevant theories of anti-dumping. It also analyzes the general situation of developing countries' anti-dumping against China, and then analyzes in detail the characteristics of five major developing countries-India, Argentina, Brazil, Turkey and Mexico. The conclusion is as follows: the anti-dumping mechanism of developing countries against China has loopholes, the distribution of countries is mainly aimed at China, the bilateral trade situation is wide gap, and the product structure is too similar. The situation of developing countries' anti-dumping against China is becoming more and more serious. Secondly, based on the trade gravity model, the gross domestic product of each country is selected. The number of anti-dumping investigations against China by developing countries, the amount of imports from developing countries, and other factors that affect China's exports. The empirical analysis shows that only China is negatively correlated with the number of anti-dumping investigations by developing countries and China's exports to developing countries. The short and long term effects are very significant, indicating that the anti-dumping of developing countries to China seriously affects our trade exports to developing countries. Finally, the main countermeasures and suggestions are put forward: from the macro, meso and micro levels. This paper puts forward a "three-body linkage" working mechanism to deal with the anti-dumping of developing countries against China and to expand the export of our country to these countries. From the government's point of view, it should be transformed into a service-oriented and supervised government. Establish anti-dumping dispute settlement mechanism, strengthen cooperation between countries, balance imports and exports, create a good trade environment, and do not rule out retaliatory measures; From the angle of trade association, we should play the role of guide, build early warning mechanism, train response team and set up response fund. From the enterprise point of view, product differentiation, diversified export strategy, and actively respond to litigation, if necessary, foreign direct investment.
【学位授予单位】:安徽工业大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2016
【分类号】:F741.2
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