中韩FTA谈判焦点议题研究

发布时间：2018-02-09 18:35

本文关键词： 中韩FTA 农产品贸易服务贸易 GTAP　出处：《中国海洋大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：自由贸易区已经成为当今世界经济一体化合作最主要的形式,一直以来中韩两国社会各界对建立中韩FTA的呼声就很高。2012年5月中韩FTA谈判正式开始,并于2015年2月正式签署了FTA文本协议,这标志着中韩FTA谈判实质性的结束。本文以中韩FTA谈判为背景,选取中韩FTA谈判中比较受关注的农产品贸易和服务贸易作为研究对象,对中韩自贸区降税模式进行模拟,从农产品和服务贸易两个方面分析中韩自贸区的关税取消前后的经济效应变化,并就中国企业如何应利用好中韩FTA提出对策建议中韩自贸区是中国目前涉及范围最广、综合水平最高、实现双方利益大体平衡的高水平自由贸易区。中韩自贸区谈判共涉及货物贸易、服务贸易、投资和规则共17个领域。在中韩货物贸易领域农产品贸易一直都是比较敏感的话题,中国是农业大国,韩国从中国进口的产品中农产品比重一直保持在80%以上,由于韩国农产品对外依赖度和对内保护程度都很高,中国出口到韩国的农产品面临着关税和非关税性贸易壁垒等诸多门槛限制,中国韩国最大的农产品进口国,但是韩国并不是中国最大的农产品出口国,在两国双边农产品贸易领域中国处于长顺差。服务业作为第三产业在各国经济中发挥的作用越来越重要,也越来越受到各国的重视,在服务贸易方面,中韩的发展水平都不高,两国部门结构都主要以运输、旅游、建筑、商业服务等传统服务行业为主；韩国在新兴金融、保险等服务贸易行业的发展水平比中国高,但中国服务业总体发展速度高于韩国,两国的服务贸易产业结构都呈现出新兴行业所占比重不断上升与传统行业比重不断下降的不断优化趋势。基于两国农产品和服务贸易发展现状和商品地域结构分析,可知中韩两国未来在农产品的服务贸易领域具有很大的合作空间。通过中韩农产品和服务贸易互补性分析得出,中国在世界农产品出口贸易领域占有比较优势,同时中韩两国在农产品贸易领域涉及的75%以上的商品存在明显互补性：在服务贸易领域,中韩两国在各自的支柱产业内存在较强互补性。中韩自由贸易区的建立能为双边产品贸易和服务贸易存在和合作机遇提供良好的发展空间和环境。中韩FTA谈判立足于两国利益平衡,允许对各自敏感行业进行适度保护的原则,本着把中韩FTA建成全面、高水平自贸区的目标经过历时两年的谈判与2015年11月10结束实质性谈判。中韩自贸区协议规定取消除农产品除大米、辣椒和打算三个种类外90%以上产品的全部关税,本文运用全球贸易分析模型(GTAP)建立包含17个产业部门,六个国家和地区的(17×6 GTAP)模型对FTA下这一关税政策效果进行预测。模型运行结果显示中韩自贸区正式运作后除稻米、蔬菜和水产品这三个行业外其他商品关税完全取消情况下,从中韩农产品贸易商品结构上看,韩国从中国进口的产品中在粮食作物和肉类的进口额变化比率最大,韩国的农产品进口区域结构表现为从世界其他国家和地区进口比例总体下降,从中国进口比率明显增加；服务贸易领域中韩双边贸易受这一政策影响变化较小,在中韩双边服务出口贸易中,中国对韩国的出口增加比率明显低于韩国对中国的出口增加比率。中韩FTA协议有望于2015年下半年正式生效,中国企业应利用好中韩自贸区这个大市场和公平的竞争机制,充分发挥创造才能和企业家精神,在韩方市场赢得更多的份额。
[Abstract]:The free trade zone has become the main form of economic integration and cooperation between China and South Korea, has been the social from all walks of life to establish China Korea FTA voice is high in.2012 in May and South Korea FTA negotiations started in February 2015 and officially signed the FTA agreement text, marking the end of China ROK FTA negotiations. This paper in China and South Korea FTA the negotiations as the background, select the China ROK FTA negotiations more attention in the trade of agricultural products and trade in services as the research object, the China ROK FTA tariff reduction mode simulation, changes in the economic effect of tariff abolition and from the two aspects of trade in agricultural products and services of China ROK FTA, and China how enterprises should make good use of China Korea FTA put forward countermeasures and suggestions China China ROK FTA is currently involved in the widest range, the highest level of comprehensive free trade zone, to achieve a high level of balance in the interests of both sides. South Korea FTA negotiations involving trade in goods, trade in services, a total of 17 areas of investment and rules. China and South Korea in the field of trade in goods trade in agricultural products has always been a sensitive topic, Chinese is a large agricultural country, South Korea imports of agricultural products from the Chinese proportion has remained above 80%, the national agricultural product foreign dependence on and on in the degree of protection is very high, China exports to South Korea's agricultural products are facing tariff and non-tariff barriers to trade such as threshold limit, China South Korea's largest importer of agricultural products, but not Chinese South Korea's largest exporter of agricultural products, agricultural products in Changshun difference in bilateral trade between the two countries. More and Chinese field service industry as the third industry in the national economy plays a more important role, but also more and more attention all over the world, in terms of trade in services, the level of development of China and South Korea are not high, the two country department node Construction mainly in transportation, tourism, construction, business services and other traditional service industries; South Korea in the new financial services trade, the development level of insurance industry than Chinese high, but China service industry overall growth rate higher than that of South Korea, trade in services industry structure in both countries is to optimize the proportion of emerging industry trend with the rise of traditional industries dropunceasingly. Analysis of the agricultural products and service trade development status and regional commodity structure based on the China and South Korea in the future of agricultural products trade in services has great cooperation. Through the China Korea agricultural product and service trade complementarity analysis, China has comparative advantage in the field of export trade of agricultural products in the world at the same time, more involved in the field of agricultural trade between China and South Korea's 75% commodity has obvious complementary: in the field of service trade between China and South Korea. In memory of pillar industry in their strong complementarity. The establishment of China South Korea free trade area can provide a good development environment for existing products and bilateral trade and service trade and cooperation opportunities. China ROK FTA negotiations based on the balance of interests, allow appropriate protection principles of their respective sensitive industries, the spirit of the China Korea FTA completed a comprehensive. The high level of FTA negotiations with the target through November 2015 two years ending in 10 substantive negotiations. China ROK FTA agreement in addition to cancel the agricultural products in addition to rice, pepper and tariffs on all three species to more than 90% products, the global trade analysis model (GTAP) includes the establishment of 17 industrial sectors, six countries and regions the (17 x 6 GTAP) model to predict the effect of the tariff policy under FTA model. The result shows that the China ROK FTA after the formal operation in addition to rice, vegetables and The three industry of aquatic products and other goods tariffs completely cancel the case, from the agricultural trade between China and South Korea from the commodity structure, China imports imports change ratio in grain and meat, imports of agricultural products in South Korea imported regional structure shows the proportion of the overall world from other countries and regions decreased obviously, the ratio of imports increased from China; South Korea bilateral trade service trade by this policy changes little in the bilateral service trade, China exports to South Korea increased ratio was significantly lower than that of South Korea's exports to Chinese. The increasing ratio of FTA between China and South Korea agreement is expected in the second half of 2015 came into effect, China enterprises should make good use of China and South Korea Free Trade Area of the market and fair competition mechanism, give full play to creativity and entrepreneurship, win more share in the market of South Korea.

【学位授予单位】：中国海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F752.7;F753.126

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