基于FDI视角的中国出口商品结构优化研究

发布时间：2018-02-16 01:59

本文关键词： 出口商品结构优化 FDI　出处：《山东师范大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：在经济全球化和中国改革开放的双重动力下，中国的经济蓬勃发展，取得了骄人成绩。活跃于国际舞台上的跨国公司、日益深化的国际分工使中国不断地融入到国际化的浪潮中。近年来，外商直接投资（FDI）日渐触及到中国各个行业、各个领域，庞大的投资规模，强劲的投资力度，外加惊人的出口数量，使得外商直接投资企业的出口在中国整体对外贸易出口中占极大比重，有力地推动中国对外贸易的发展。但FDI也呈现出了一系列的特点，如投资目的不同、投资流向差异性明显等等，使中国的产业不平衡性加剧、商品结构差异更明显。FDI“功”、“过”的“双重”属性尽显无疑。与此同时，新形势下，中国海外市场屡遭碰壁，“反倾销”、“反调查”的“双反”待遇使中国认识到出口商品结构亟需调整。因此，FDI与中国出口商品结构优化之间的关系性研究迫在眉睫。如其相关性属实，中国招商引资政策必会做出相应的调整，这对中国出口商品结构的优化有积极意义。本文在进行研究时，首先汇总整理1985-2012年长达27年的统计数据，之后采用文献分析法、规范分析与实证研究法、定量分析与定性分析法相结合的研究方式来进行说明、分析与论证。逐一交待27年间中国在FDI实际利用方面的变迁，如FDI发展起步、小幅增长、飞速增长、下降调整、全面开放五大阶段；FDI的产业分布、行业分布、来源结构等特性；27年间中国出口商品结构状况，如工业制成品的比重逐渐高于初级产品比重，机电产品、高新技术产品的比重不断飞速上涨。之后进一步采用定量分析，点明FDI对拉动中国出口商品结构改善方面的贡献，论证FDI与中国出口商品结构优化方面呈现的相关性，及两者之间的直接与间接效应机制。其次，对FDI与出口商品结构优化之间的相关性进行包括ADF检验在内的实证分析。考虑到经济环境的系统性，创新性地突破研究模型的单一化，将影响出口商品结构的外商直接投资FDI、贸易开放度、要素禀赋、产业结构融入模型。最终的实证结果表明，FDI与中国长期的出口商品结构之间具有很强的相关性。FDI每增加一个百分点，商品出口结构相应得到0.451201个百分点的优化。最后，，基于对文献的分析、定量分析与定性分析、规范分析与实证研究，提出了当下FDI过程中存在的如结构失衡等主要问题，以及借助外资的动力，改善出口商品结构的建议。
[Abstract]:Under the dual driving force of economic globalization and China's reform and opening up, China's economy is booming and has made remarkable achievements. In recent years, foreign direct investment (FDI) has increasingly touched all sectors of China, various fields, huge scale of investment, strong investment, In addition to the astonishing export volume, the export of foreign direct investment enterprises accounts for a large proportion of China's overall foreign trade export, and it has a strong impact on the development of China's foreign trade. But FDI also shows a series of characteristics. If the purpose of investment is different, the difference of investment flow is obvious and so on, the industrial imbalance in China is aggravated, the difference of commodity structure is more obvious, the "merit" of FDI and the "double" attribute of "excessive" are obvious. At the same time, under the new situation, there is no doubt that, under the new situation, The treatment of "antidumping" and "anti-investigation" in China's overseas markets makes China realize that the structure of export commodities needs to be adjusted urgently, so it is urgent to study the relationship between FDI and the optimization of China's export commodity structure. If its relevance is true, China's investment policy will be adjusted accordingly, which is of positive significance to the optimization of China's export commodity structure. In this paper, firstly, the statistical data from 1985 to 2012 were collected and sorted out for 27 years, and then the methods of literature analysis, normative analysis and empirical research, quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis were used to explain. Analysis and argumentation. One by one, the changes in the actual utilization of FDI in China during the past 27 years, such as the beginning of the development of FDI, the small growth, the rapid growth, the declining adjustment, the overall opening up of the five stages of the industrial distribution, the industrial distribution, the industrial distribution, Source structure and other characteristics during the past 27 years, the structure of China's export commodities, such as the proportion of manufactured products gradually higher than the proportion of primary products, the proportion of mechanical and electrical products and high-tech products has been rising rapidly. This paper points out the contribution of FDI to the improvement of China's export commodity structure, demonstrates the correlation between FDI and Chinese export commodity structure optimization, and the mechanism of direct and indirect effects between them. Secondly, the correlation between FDI and export commodity structure optimization is analyzed by empirical analysis, including ADF test. Considering the systematization of economic environment, the research model is innovatively broken through. Foreign direct investment (FDI), trade openness, factor endowment, which will affect the structure of export commodities, The final empirical results show that there is a strong correlation between FDI and China's long-term export commodity structure. For each increase of one percentage point of FDI, the commodity export structure is optimized by 0.451201 percentage points. Finally, based on the analysis of literature, quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis, normative analysis and empirical research, the paper points out the main problems existing in the process of FDI, such as structural imbalance, and the power of using foreign capital. Suggestions for improving the structure of export commodities.
【学位授予单位】：山东师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F752.62;F832.6

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