中国与东盟经贸关系实证研究

发布时间：2018-03-04 21:37

本文选题：东盟　切入点：中国　出处：《北京理工大学》2015年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：当前,世界经济复苏过程艰难曲折,国际社会对东亚经济能否保持长期稳定,并继续成为世界经济增长主要推动力量高度关注。中国和东盟作为亚洲重要经济体,双方经济相互依赖度日益增加,中国-东盟自由贸易区顺应而生。目前,中国已成为东盟的第一大贸易伙伴,东盟是中国的第三大贸易伙伴。要进一步促进中国与东盟之间的贸易关系更好的发展,有必要弄清楚中国与东盟各国之间的贸易关系发展趋势如何,这种贸易关系对东盟经济的发展能否起到促进作用,即中国与东盟各国之间的经贸合作是否存在可持续发展的基础。本文首先通过东盟相关的经贸数据和指标分析了东盟各国经济、贸易和投资现状,探讨了东盟区域内各国的发展特征,发现东盟各国的经济发展水平和经济发展速度存在差异,尤其是近十年来柬埔寨、老挝和越南的经济增速十分突出。并通过模型测算出各国的贸易和投资对GDP增长起到不同程度的促进作用。其次,通过分析中国与东盟近年来的贸易现状,发现双边贸易额逐年增加,中国在东盟贸易对象结构中的地位越来越重要,主要表现在东盟对中国日益增加的贸易依存度上,并将中国视为机械和运输设备的重要来源国。最后,采用显性比较优势指数和比较劣势指数来分析双边在各类贸易商品方面的互补性,进而测算出中国与东盟各国的贸易互补性指数,发现中国与东盟无论是在资源性产品方面还是在工业制成品方面都存在互补关系。并且通过模型更深一步的分析表明,双边的贸易互补性对东盟经济增长具备促进作用。基于以上研究结论基础,文章为促进双边持续合作、实现互利多赢提出了相应的政策建议。
[Abstract]:At present, the recovery of the world economy the international community on the East Asia economy arduous and tortuous, can maintain long-term stability, and continue to become the world's economic growth is mainly driven attention. As an important force Chinese and ASEAN economies of Asia, the economic interdependence degree is increasing, Chinese ASEAN Free Trade Zone emerges. At present, ASEAN has become the Chinese the largest trading partner of ASEAN, Chinese is the third largest trading partner. To further promote the development of ASEAN trade relationship between Chinese better, it is necessary to clarify how between China and ASEAN trade development trend, the development of the ASEAN Economic and trade relations can play a role in promoting the economic and trade cooperation between the China foundation with the existence of ASEAN countries for sustainable development. Firstly, through the ASEAN related economic and trade data and index analysis of the ASEAN In the economic, trade and investment situation, discusses the development characteristics of ASEAN countries in the region, found that the ASEAN economic development level and speed of economic development are different, especially in the past ten years in Kampuchea, Laos and Vietnam's economic growth is very prominent. And through the model calculate the national trade and investment to different extent promotion effect on GDP growth. Secondly, through the analysis of the trade status Chinese and ASEAN in recent years, found that the bilateral trade volume increased year by year, China in ASEAN trade object structure in a more and more important role, mainly in ASEAN to China increasing dependence on foreign trade, and will be regarded as an important source of Chinese machinery and transportation the equipment. Finally, the revealed comparative advantage index and comparative advantage index to analyze the bilateral trade complementarity in various aspects, and then calculate the Chinese with ASEAN countries Trade complementarity index, found that Chinese and ASEAN both in terms of resource products or in industrial manufactured goods are complementary. And through the analysis of the model shows that a step deeper, bilateral trade complementarity to Promote ASEAN with economic growth. Based on the above conclusions, this paper continues to promote bilateral cooperation and achieve mutual benefit all put forward the corresponding policy recommendations.

【学位授予单位】：北京理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F752.7

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