安徽省城镇化与第三产业互动关联及协调发展关系探究

发布时间：2018-04-22 18:13

本文选题：安徽省 + 城镇化　；参考：《上海社会科学院》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：前人的研究成果和发达国家的发展经验都表明,城镇化水平的高低是衡量一个国家或地区经济发展水平的重要标志,在城镇化发展的后期,由于工业现代化的实现,第二产业对于城镇化的促进作用慢慢减弱,相比之下,第三产业与城镇化之间的互动促进关系不断增强。目前来看,安徽省的城镇化水平正处于30%-70%的快速增长阶段,故而研究安徽省城镇化与第三产业的互动关联及协调发展关系对于安徽省政府制定进一步优化和改善两者之间关系的经济政策具有十分现实和直接的参考意义。本文依据有关城镇化与第三产业的相关理论,选取近年来安徽省统计年鉴中的相关数据,通过定性和定量分析,揭示了安徽省城镇化与第三产业互动关联和协调发展的程度以及其中存在的问题。本文首先依据1990-2015年的相关历史数据,图表化的展现出安徽省城镇化与第三产业的发展历程、现状及存在的问题。接着灰色关联方法计算出安徽省城镇化与三次产业之间的互动关联关系,得出第二产业对安徽省城镇化的推动作用最大,第三产业作用最弱的结论;以及计算出安徽省城镇化与第三产业内部层次之间的互动关联关系,得出第三产业第二层次对城镇化的推动作用最大,第一层次作用最弱的结论;最后通过构建综合体系测算安徽省城镇化与第三产业的协调发展水平,具体测算结果表明:从2000年开始安徽省城镇化的综合测算水平一直处于加速发展的时期,而由于国家和省内相关政策的原因,第三产业的综合测算水平则在近年来产生了波动,从2001年的最高点一直下降到2005年的最低点,自2006年开始缓慢上升,但始终低于城镇化的发展水平。而目前安徽省城镇化与第三产业已经是中级协调发展类关系,但自2005年开始,第三产业的综合发展水平始终低于城镇化的综合发展水平,且二者间的差距呈现出逐渐扩大的趋势,安徽省第三产业的发展滞后于城镇化发展。政府应该加强第三产业相关的市场化改革,确保第三产业能在健康健全的制度环境下成长,大力发展有助于第三产业的软硬件设施,促进第三产业尤其是现代服务业的增长;同时需要深化制度改革,不断推动城镇化进程,最终使二者实现协调健康的稳定发展。
[Abstract]:The previous research results and the development experience of developed countries show that the level of urbanization is an important symbol to measure the level of economic development of a country or region. In the later stage of urbanization development, due to the realization of industrial modernization, The promoting effect of the secondary industry on urbanization is gradually weakened, in contrast, the interaction between the tertiary industry and urbanization is becoming stronger and stronger. At present, the urbanization level in Anhui Province is at a rapid growth stage of 30% to 70%. Therefore, the study of the interaction between urbanization and tertiary industry in Anhui Province and its coordinated development are of practical and direct reference significance for the provincial government to formulate economic policies to further optimize and improve the relationship between the two. Based on the theory of urbanization and tertiary industry, this paper selects the relevant data of Anhui Province Statistical Yearbook in recent years, through qualitative and quantitative analysis, This paper reveals the degree of interaction and coordinated development between urbanization and tertiary industry in Anhui Province and the existing problems. Based on the historical data from 1990 to 2015, this paper presents the history, current situation and existing problems of urbanization and tertiary industry in Anhui Province. Then the grey correlation method calculates the interactive relationship between urbanization and three industries in Anhui Province, and draws the conclusion that the second industry has the most promoting effect on the urbanization of Anhui Province, and the third industry has the weakest role. The interactive relation between urbanization and tertiary industry in Anhui Province is calculated, and the conclusion is drawn that the second level of tertiary industry has the most impelling effect on urbanization, and the first level has the weakest effect on urbanization. Finally, by constructing a comprehensive system to estimate the level of coordinated development of urbanization and tertiary industry in Anhui Province, the specific results show that the level of comprehensive measurement of urbanization in Anhui Province has been in the period of accelerated development since 2000. However, due to the relevant policies of the state and the provinces, the level of comprehensive measurement of the tertiary industry has fluctuated in recent years, from its highest point in 2001 to its lowest point in 2005, and has risen slowly since 2006. But always lower than the level of urbanization development. However, since 2005, the comprehensive development level of the tertiary industry has always been lower than the comprehensive development level of urbanization. The gap between the two shows a trend of gradual expansion, and the development of the tertiary industry in Anhui Province lags behind the development of urbanization. The government should strengthen the market-oriented reform of the tertiary industry, ensure that the tertiary industry can grow in a healthy and sound institutional environment, vigorously develop the hardware and software facilities conducive to the tertiary industry, and promote the growth of the tertiary industry, especially the modern service industry; At the same time, it is necessary to deepen the system reform and push forward the process of urbanization.
【学位授予单位】：上海社会科学院
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F299.27;F719

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