中印服务贸易出口结构影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-04-24 19:29

本文选题：服务贸易 + 中印比较　；参考：《海南大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：随着产业结构的不断优化升级,服务行业其潜在的内在优势以及在国际服务行业中的地位凸显,使其成为各国切实参与经济全球化的重要途径。而与之密切联系的服务贸易更是一支潜力无限的新兴力量,已然成为了促进世界各国经济增长的新动力。目前中国服务贸易在获得快速发展的同时却存在着结构失衡、发展不协调的问题。因此,笔者认为对中国服务贸易出口结构进行研究分析有一定的意义,并对比印度,分析了中印服务贸易以及服务贸易出口的现状,中印服务贸易的出口结构-出口商品结构、出口市场机构、出口模式等,继而总结分析出影响中印国服务贸易出口结构的因素,并搜集数据,进行实证与定性分析,得出结论,最后在前面分析的基础上,借鉴印度发展服务贸易的经验,提出优化我国服务贸易出口结构的政策建议,以促进我国服务贸易出口的持续稳定发展。本文在分析研究过程中,采用了多种分析方法,主要得出如下结论： (1)结合与印度的比较,中国服务贸易在出口总量上要占有绝对优势,但在服务贸易顺逆差以及服务贸易出口结构方面却处于明显劣势,中国的新兴服务行业发展过缓,服务贸易结构失衡。 (2)根据对服务贸易出口结构的分析,应用协整检验的实证分析方法,剔除外商直接投资以及人力资本影响因素,得出服务贸易开放度、服务业的科技投入、人均GDP、第三产业产值是影响我国服务贸易出口结构的主要因素。同时,分析得出,政策因素、科技投入、人才因素、对外开放度、服务外包是印度服务贸易获得快速发展的原因。
[Abstract]:With the continuous optimization and upgrading of the industrial structure, the potential inherent advantages of the service industry and its position in the international service industry are highlighted, which makes it an important way for countries to participate in the economic globalization. Trade in services, which is closely related to it, is a new force with unlimited potential and has become a new power to promote the economic growth of all countries in the world. At present, China's trade in services is developing rapidly, but there is a structural imbalance and uncoordinated development at the same time. Therefore, the author thinks that it is of certain significance to study and analyze the export structure of China's service trade. Compared with India, the author analyzes the current situation of Sino-Indian service trade and the export structure of service trade between China and India, and the export commodity structure of Sino-Indian service trade. Export market agencies, export models and so on, then summarize and analyze the factors that affect the export structure of Sino-Indian service trade, collect data, conduct empirical and qualitative analysis, draw a conclusion, and finally, on the basis of the previous analysis, This paper draws lessons from India's experience in developing service trade and puts forward some policy suggestions to optimize the structure of China's service trade exports in order to promote the sustained and stable development of China's service trade exports. In this paper, a variety of analytical methods are used in the process of analysis and research, and the main conclusions are as follows: 1) in comparison with India, China's service trade has an absolute advantage in terms of total export volume, but it is at an obvious disadvantage in terms of the trade deficit in services and the export structure of service trade. China's emerging service industries are developing too slowly. The structure of trade in services is unbalanced. 2) according to the analysis of export structure of service trade, applying the empirical analysis method of cointegration test, excluding the influence factors of foreign direct investment and human capital, we can get the degree of openness of service trade and the investment of science and technology in service industry. GDP per capita and output value of tertiary industry are the main factors influencing the export structure of China's service trade. At the same time, the reasons for the rapid development of India's service trade are the policy factors, scientific and technological input, talent factors, openness and service outsourcing.
【学位授予单位】：海南大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F752.62;F752.68;F753.51

【参考文献】