中国与东盟产业竞争性与互补性研究

发布时间：2018-04-25 11:31

本文选题：中国与东盟 + 产业竞争性　；参考：《上海海洋大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：中国与东盟都是全球范围内重要的新兴经济体,且互为彼此重要的贸易伙伴,双方经贸联系自2000年以来都十分紧密。2002年11月,中国与东盟签署《中国-东盟全面经济合作框架协议》,正式启动了中国与东盟自由贸易区(CAFTA)的谈判和建设,双边经贸进入了“快车道”。2003年10月,中国与东盟国家签署《中国—东盟面向和平与繁荣的战略伙伴关系联合宣言》,更是成为了双方经贸合作“黄金十年”的起点。2010年1月,CAFTA正式建成,成为了中国与其他国家所建立的第一个自由贸易区。在此期间,中国成为东盟第一大贸易伙伴和第四大外资来源地,而东盟也成为了中国第三大贸易伙伴和第三大外资来源地。近几年,中国与东盟更是不断夯实和深化双边合作。2013年10月,习近平主席在访问印尼时,首次提出“愿与东盟国家共同建设21世纪海上丝绸之路”的倡议,得到了东盟国家的积极响应;2015年11月,中国与东盟正式签订CAFTA升级版议定书。因此,中国与东盟之间的经贸合作对于中国对外贸易的增长,甚至是国民经济的发展都有着不可忽视的重要影响。目前,世界经济形势依然严峻,依然面临许多不稳定因素,复苏艰难,欧美等主要进口国的市场需求依然低迷,以出口导向型为主的中国与东盟在经济发展中面临诸多结构性问题,从而致力于调整产业结构,促进经济转型发展。在此背景下,产业合作在中国与东盟经济合作中必将发挥重要的作用。鉴于此,从对外贸易角度出发,研究中国与东盟的产业竞争性和互补性具有十分重要的实际意义,有利于中国通过区域经济合作而调整产业结构,也为中国与东盟进一步深化产业合作提供了参考价值。本文首先在绪论中阐述了论文的研究背景和意义、研究内容与技术路线、研究方法和可行性分析以及主要创新点和不足。第二章文献综述,对国内外关于中国与东盟贸易问题的研究成果进行了梳理和评论,主要包括中国与东盟自由贸易区贸易问题的研究、中国与东盟产业内贸易问题的研究、中国与东盟农产品贸易竞争性和互补性的研究、综述小结。第三章为中国与东盟贸易发展概况,主要包括中国对外贸易概况、东盟对外贸易概况、中国与东盟双边贸易概况。第四章为中国与东盟产业竞争性分析,本文采用初步竞争性分析、出口相似度指数分析、贸易竞争指数分析对中国与东盟整体、新加坡、马泰印(尼)菲、越老缅柬的农食产品类、机电仪器类、化学矿物类、纺织衣帽类、玩具家具类及木材纸张非金属类产业的竞争性进行研究。第五章为中国与东盟产业互补性分析,本文通过初步互补性分析、双边贸易结合度指数分析和产业内贸易指数分析对中国与东盟七类产业的互补性进行研究。第六章为总结和政策性建议。主要研究结论如下:(1)中国与东盟机电仪器类、纺织衣帽类、橡塑皮革类及玩具家具类产业上存在较强的竞争性,主要是资本密集型、技术密集型和劳动密集型产业,而在资源密集型的农食产品类、化矿金属类和木材纸张非金属类产业上的竞争性较弱;中国与东盟在机电仪器类、纺织衣帽类、橡塑皮革类和木材纸张非金属类产业上具有较强的互补性,而在农食产品类、化矿金属类及玩具家具类产业上具有较弱的互补性;(2)中国与东盟中经济发展相对发达的新加坡的机电仪器类、纺织衣帽类、橡塑皮革类产业存在较强的竞争性,机电仪器类、化矿金属类、橡塑皮革类产业存在较强的互补性;(3)中国与东盟中经济发展中等水平的泰印(尼)菲这类国家的机电仪器类、纺织衣帽类、橡塑皮革类、玩具家具类和木材纸张非金属类产业存在较强的竞争性,农食产品类、机电仪器类、纺织衣帽类、橡塑皮革类和木材纸张非金属类产业上存在较强的互补性;(4)中国与东盟中经济发展相对落后的越老缅柬在农食产品类、机电仪器类、纺织衣帽类、橡塑皮革类、玩具家具类产业具有较强的竞争性,在农食产品类、机电仪器类、纺织衣帽类、橡塑皮革类和木材纸张非金属类产业上具有较强的互补性。(5)中国与东盟的产业竞争性和互补性状况同中国与东盟经济发展中等水平的马泰印(尼)菲这类国家的产业竞争性和互补性状况非常相似,说明东盟整体的产业结构与马泰印(尼)菲这类国家组合更为相似;(6)产业内贸易成为中国与东盟主要贸易形式。最后,本文从三个方面给出政策性建议:第一,促进基础设施互联互通,加强贸易便利化合作,推动区域经济一体化;第二,明确产业竞争互补关系,深化产业合作,建立区域生产网络;第三,加大研发投入,加强自主创新,提高产业国际竞争力。
[Abstract]:Both China and ASEAN are important emerging economies around the world, and they are mutually important trading partners. The economic and trade ties between China and ASEAN have been very close since 2000 in November. China and ASEAN signed the China ASEAN comprehensive economic cooperation framework agreement, which formally initiated the negotiations and construction of the Sino ASEAN Free Trade area (CAFTA). Bilateral trade and trade entered the "fast lane" in October.2003, China and ASEAN countries signed the joint declaration of strategic partnership between China and ASEAN for peace and prosperity. It became the starting point of "gold ten years" in January and CAFTA was formally completed in January. It became the first freedom established by China and other countries. During this period, China became the largest trade partner of ASEAN and the fourth largest source of foreign capital, and ASEAN has also become China's third largest trading partner and the third largest source of foreign investment. In recent years, China and ASEAN have continued to consolidate and deepen bilateral cooperation in October. President Xi Jinping first proposed a "wish" when he visited Indonesia. The initiative of ASEAN countries to jointly build the maritime Silk Road in twenty-first Century has been actively responded to by the ASEAN countries. In November 2015, China and ASEAN signed the CAFTA upgrade protocol. Therefore, the economic and trade cooperation between China and ASEAN has no negligible importance to the growth of China's foreign trade and the development of the national economy. At present, the world economic situation is still grim, still faces many unstable factors, the recovery is difficult, the market demand of the main importing countries, such as Europe and America is still low, and the export oriented China and ASEAN are facing many structural problems in the economic development, so they are committed to adjusting the industrial structure and promoting the economic transformation and development. In this context, industrial cooperation will play an important role in the economic cooperation between China and ASEAN. In view of this, from the perspective of foreign trade, it is of great practical significance to study the competitiveness and complementarity of China and ASEAN. It is beneficial for China to adjust its industrial structure through regional economic cooperation, and also for China and ASEAN. In this paper, the background and significance of the research, the research content and technical route, the research method and feasibility analysis, and the main innovation points and shortcomings are introduced in the introduction, and the second chapters are reviewed, and the research results about China and the East league are reviewed and reviewed at home and abroad. The study mainly includes the research on trade between China and ASEAN Free Trade Area, the research on intra industry trade between China and ASEAN, the research on the competitiveness and complementarity of China and ASEAN trade in agricultural products. The third chapter is the general situation of trade development between China and ASEAN, including the general situation of China's foreign trade and the general situation of ASEAN's foreign trade. An overview of bilateral trade between China and ASEAN. The fourth chapter is the competitive analysis of China and ASEAN. This article adopts the preliminary competitive analysis, the analysis of the export similarity index, the analysis of the trade competition index on the agricultural products of China and ASEAN, Singapore, Ma Tai seal (NEI) Philippines, and the older Burmese Cambodia. The competitiveness of toy furniture and wood and paper non metal industry is studied. The fifth chapter is the analysis of China and ASEAN industry complementarity. This paper studies the complementarity of China and the ASEAN seven industries through the preliminary complementarity analysis, the bilateral trade union index analysis and the intra industry trade index analysis. The sixth chapter is the summary and the policy. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) there are strong competitive characteristics between China and ASEAN mechanical and electrical instruments, textile clothing and caps, rubber and plastic leather and toy furniture industries, mainly capital intensive, technology intensive and labor-intensive industries, and resource intensive agricultural and food products, mineral metals and wood paper nonmetal. The competitiveness of class industries is weak; China and ASEAN have strong complementarity in the non-metallic industries of mechanical and electrical equipment, textile and caps, rubber and plastic leather and wood and paper, but have weak complementarity in agricultural products, mineral metals and toys and furniture industries; (2) the new development of China and ASEAN is relatively developed. The mechanical and mechanical equipment, textile and caps, and the rubber and leather industries have strong competitiveness. There is a strong complementarity between the mechanical and electrical instruments, the mineral metals and the rubber and leather industries. (3) the mechanical and electrical instruments, textile, clothing and leather, rubber and leather, and toy houses in the countries of middle level of China and ASEAN economic development. There is a strong competition in non-metallic industries with class and wood paper. There are strong complementarities in agricultural food products, mechanical and electrical instruments, textile and caps, rubber and plastic leather and wood and paper. (4) the older Burmese Cambodia, which are relatively backward in the development of China and ASEAN, are in the category of agricultural food products, mechanical and electrical instruments, textile clothing and caps, Rubber and leather, toys and furniture industries have strong competitiveness. They have strong complementarity in agricultural and food products, mechanical and electrical instruments, textile and caps, rubber and plastic leather and wood and paper. (5) the competitive and complementary characteristics of China and ASEAN are at the middle level of the Chinese and ASEAN Economic Development. The industrial competitiveness and complementarity of such countries are very similar, indicating that the industrial structure of the ASEAN as a whole is more similar to that of the Ma Tai India (Ni) Philippines, and (6) intra industry trade has become the main form of trade between China and ASEAN. Finally, this article gives policy suggestions from three aspects: first, to promote the interconnection and interoperability of infrastructure, Strengthen trade facilitation cooperation and promote regional economic integration; second, clarify the complementary relationship between industrial competition, deepen industrial cooperation and establish regional production networks; third, increase investment in R & D, strengthen independent innovation, and improve the international competitiveness of industry.

【学位授予单位】：上海海洋大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F742

【参考文献】