我国润滑油基础油贸易竞争力研究

发布时间：2018-05-04 05:23

本文选题：润滑油基础油贸易 + 竞争力评价　；参考：《对外经济贸易大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：目前,经济与润滑油基础油出现快速的交互融合,润滑油基础油产业得到了越来越多的关注,而包涵润滑油基础油交流和润滑油基础油影响力传播的润滑油基础油贸易也在国际经济交流中扮演着越来越重要的角色。各国纷纷制定和实施促进本国润滑油基础油产业发展和润滑油基础油贸易发展的政策措施,我国也提出要实施润滑油基础油走出去战略,增强国家“润滑油基础油软实力”。在此背景下,我国润滑油基础油贸易越来越多为学者所关注。本文在润滑油基础油贸易竞争力基本概念与理论介绍的基础上,搜集了16个主要国家的润滑油基础油贸易的相关指标数据进行国别比较,较为客观地评价了我国润滑油基础油贸易竞争力现状,认为我国润滑油基础油贸易在国际市场上具有一定的竞争力,但润滑油基础油贸易结构仍不合理,核心润滑油基础油贸易占比较低,需要进一步优化润滑油基础油贸易结构。然后,本文利用波特的“钻石模型”构建了润滑油基础油贸易竞争力影响因素体系,并利用SPSS分析软件做相关性分析,发现模型的其他回归分析结果并不理想,故采用各变量与因变量间的一元回归方法试图分析其影响水平,同时结合各因素的经济意义加以解释,只有同时符合回归模型和经济解释的变量才作为最终影响因素。其中可以作为解释变量的因素为石油供应量和石化产业直接投资额这两个生产要素,不可以作为解释变量的因素为全社会交通运输工具保有量、旅客周转量、货物周转量以及汇率,我们从中国经济发展非常态化、变量与因变量相关性较差以及变量自身的数据可靠性等角度进行了不可信性解释。最终我们给出关于保障石油供给能力和合理优化产业投资的建议,以促进基础油产业发展和出口能力提升。
[Abstract]:At present, there is a rapid interaction between economy and lube base oil, and more and more attention has been paid to the lube base oil industry. The lube base oil trade, which includes lube base oil exchange and lube base oil influence transmission, also plays an increasingly important role in international economic exchanges. Many countries have formulated and implemented policies and measures to promote the development of lube base oil industry and the development of lube base oil trade. China has also put forward the strategy of going out of lube base oil to strengthen the national "soft strength of lube base oil". Under this background, our country lube base oil trade more and more is concerned by the scholar. On the basis of the basic concept and theory introduction of the trade competitiveness of lube base oil, this paper collects the relevant index data of lube base oil trade of 16 major countries for country comparison. This paper objectively evaluates the present situation of the trade competitiveness of lube base oil in China, and thinks that the trade of lube base oil in China has certain competitiveness in the international market, but the trade structure of lube base oil is still unreasonable. Core lube base oil trade is relatively low, need to further optimize lube base oil trade structure. Then, using Porter's "Diamond Model" to construct the influencing factors system of lube base oil trade competitiveness, and using SPSS software to do correlation analysis, it is found that other regression analysis results of the model are not ideal. Therefore, the univariate regression method between variables and dependent variables is used to analyze the level of influence, and the economic significance of each factor is explained. Only the variables that accord with the regression model and the economic interpretation can be regarded as the final influencing factors. Among them, the factors that can be used as explanatory variables are the oil supply and the direct investment in the petrochemical industry. The factors that can not be used as the explanatory variables are the volume of transportation vehicles in the whole society and the turnover of passengers. In terms of the turnover of goods and the exchange rate, we explain it from the point of view of the non-normalization of China's economic development, the poor correlation between variables and dependent variables, and the reliability of variables' own data. Finally, we give some suggestions on ensuring oil supply capacity and optimizing industrial investment, so as to promote the development of base oil industry and the enhancement of export capacity.
【学位授予单位】：对外经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F426.7;F752.6

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