中日韩资本与技术密集型产品贸易竞争力研究
发布时间:2018-05-10 07:06
本文选题:中日韩 + 资本与技术密集型产品 ; 参考:《山东大学》2017年硕士论文
【摘要】:中日韩同为出口导向型经济体且在产业转移上具有承接关系,60年代以后,韩国接受了来自日本的产业转移从而实现了"汉江奇迹",80年代以后,中国接受来自日本以及韩国等地的产业转移从而实现了改革开放三十多年的飞速发展。金融危机之后,在世界经济发展的新形势下中日韩三国均希望在国际分工体系中占据更加有利的地位,以保持其在贸易竞争力上的优势。资本与技术密集型产品属于可替代性低、技术含量和附加价值均比较高的一类产品,是国际分工体系中的关键一环,中日韩三国想要在国际分工体系中占据有利地位,就必须在资本与技术密集型产品贸易上具备较强的竞争优势。中日韩都是资本与技术密集型产品的贸易大国,截至2014年底,资本与技术密集型产品贸易额占中日韩贸易总额的比重均在50%左右,对中日韩三国的贸易发展具有非常重要的影响。中国明确提出新常态下产业结构需要转型升级,贸易结构也面临着从劳动密集型产品贸易为主向资本与技术密集型产品贸易为主转变的客观需要;日本在2016年曾出现出口连续五个月下滑,资本与技术密集型产品的国际市场占有率进一步受到中国的冲击;韩国在2015和2016年连续两年出现出口下滑,除了劳动力成本上升导致韩国出口减少之外,韩国出口下滑另一个重要原因就是中国的产业结构升级,在高新科技产品的出口上,韩国越来越多地面临来自中国的竞争,可以预见中日韩三国在资本与技术密集型产品贸易上的竞争将日趋激烈。本文的研究目的是在将贸易竞争力水平和国际分工格局相联系的基础之上,探究中日韩在资本与技术密集型产品上的贸易竞争力水平的动态变化;通过影响因素分析,找出影响中日韩资本与技术密集型产品贸易竞争力的具体因素,并进行共性和特性分析;最后提出提高我国资本与技术密集型产品贸易竞争力的政策建议。为实现该研究目标,本文首先对资本与技术密集型产品贸易竞争力相关概念进行了界定;然后从贸易规模和贸易结构两个方面对中日韩资本与技术密集型产品贸易的现状进行了简单描述;其次通过建立竞争力指标体系,主要包括增长率、净出口、贸易依存度、贸易竞争力指数、国际市场占有率、显性比较优势指数以及显性竞争优势指数,对中日韩资本与技术密集型产品贸易的竞争力进行动态比较;再次通过计量模型,对中日韩资本与技术密集型产品贸易竞争力的影响因素进行共性和特性分析;最后提出增强我国资本与技术密集型产品贸易的竞争力的政策建议。研究发现,我国虽然已经在总量和国际市场占有率上赶超了日本和韩国,但是在贸易竞争力指数、显性比较优势指数以及显性竞争优势指数的比较上仍然落后于日本和韩国,说明我国在资本与技术密集型产品上的贸易竞争力水平不高;影响因素方面,研究发现全球总产出,实际有效汇率,产业结构,专利数量,研发投入对资本与技术密集型产品的出口具有正向相关关系,开放程度与资本与技术密集型产品的出口则呈现出倒"U"型关系,其中汇率、RD投入以及开放程度对中国影响较大,汇率和产业结构对日本影响较大,韩国主要的影响因素则是专利数量和RD投入。
[Abstract]:China, Japan and South Korea are export oriented economies and have an undertaking relationship in industrial transfer. After 60s, South Korea accepted the industrial transfer from Japan to realize the "Hanjiang miracle". After 80s, China accepted the rapid development of reform and opening up for more than thirty years. After the crisis, in the new situation of the world economic development, the three countries of China, Japan and South Korea all hope to occupy a more favorable position in the international division of labor system in order to maintain their advantages in the trade competitiveness. The key link is that China, Japan and South Korea, in order to occupy a favorable position in the international division of labor, must have strong competitive advantages in the trade of capital and technology intensive products. China, Japan and South Korea are both a big trading country with capital and technology intensive products. By the end of 2014, the trade in capital and technology intensive products accounted for the general trade of China, Japan and Japan. The proportion of the amount is around 50%, which has a very important influence on the trade development of the three countries in China, Japan and South Korea. China clearly proposed that the industrial structure needs transformation and upgrading under the new normal state, and the trade structure is also facing the objective needs of transforming from labor intensive products trade to capital and technology intensive products. In 2016, Japan had been out of the world. The international market share of capital and technology intensive products has been further impacted by China for five consecutive months, and South Korea's export decline for two consecutive years in 2015 and 2016. In addition to the increase in labor costs, South Korea's export decline is another important reason for the rise of China's industrial structure. In the export of high and new technology products, South Korea is facing more and more competition from China. It can be foreseen that the competition between China, Japan and South Korea in the trade of capital and technology intensive products will be increasingly fierce. The purpose of this study is to explore the investment of China, Japan and Japan on the basis of linking the level of trade competitiveness with the international division of labor. The dynamic changes in the level of trade competitiveness between this and technology intensive products, and through the analysis of the influencing factors, find out the specific factors that affect the competitiveness of China, Japan, Japan and technology intensive products, and carry out the analysis of the commonness and characteristics. Finally, the policy proposals to improve the competitiveness of China's capital and technology intensive products are put forward. The objective of this study is to define the related concepts of trade competitiveness of capital and technology intensive products, and then briefly describe the current situation of China Japan Japan and Japan's capital and technology intensive products trade from two aspects of trade scale and trade structure; secondly, the growth rate is mainly included through the establishment of competitiveness index system. Export, trade dependence, trade competitiveness index, international market share, dominant comparative advantage index and dominant competitive advantage index, make a dynamic comparison of the competitiveness of China Japan Korea capital and technology intensive products trade, and again through the measurement model, the influence factors on the trade competitiveness of Sino Japanese Korean capital and technology intensive products In the end, we put forward the policy suggestions on enhancing the competitiveness of China's capital and technology intensive products trade. The study found that China has overtaken Japan and Korea in the total and international market share, but the ratio of the trade competitiveness index, the dominant comparative advantage index and the dominant competitive advantage index in the trade competitiveness index. It is still lagging behind Japan and Korea, indicating that China's trade competitiveness level on capital and technology intensive products is not high, and the influence factors have found that the global output, the actual effective exchange rate, the industrial structure, the number of patents and the R & D input have a positive correlation with the export of capital and technology intensive products, and the degree of openness is open. The export of capital and technology intensive products shows an inverted "U" relationship, of which exchange rate, RD input and openness have great influence on China, and the exchange rate and industrial structure have great influence on Japan, and the main influencing factors of Korea are the number of patents and RD input.
【学位授予单位】:山东大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2017
【分类号】:F742
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1 杨则正;技术密集型产品创造德国出口[J];管理科学文摘;1994年11期
2 陈霞;技术密集型产品的国际贸易[J];外国经济参考资料;1983年Z1期
3 兰天;俄罗斯创建技术密集型产品出口激励机制[J];全球科技经济w,
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