生产性服务业规模、效率对出口技术结构影响的实证研究

发布时间：2018-05-28 14:44

本文选题：生产性服务业 + 出口技术结构　；参考：《浙江理工大学》2015年硕士论文

【摘要】：中国由贸易大国向贸易强国转变，需要实现出口技术结构的升级。生产性服务业为生产者提供中间投入，在经济增长和结构调整中具有重要作用。研究生产性服务业是否以及如何影响出口技术结构，既具有丰富国际贸易和产业经济理论的意义，又具有促进中国出口技术结构升级、实现对外贸易转型的现实意义。本文在现有文献基础上，从理论上分析生产性服务业与出口技术结构提升之间的内在影响机制。基于数据包络分析（DEA）的Malmquist指数测算生产性服务业的效率，采用出口技术复杂度指数和出口相似性指数两种测度方法测算出口技术结构，，分析生产性服务业和出口技术结构的现状特征和动态演进。构建动态面板数据模型，运用普通最小二乘法和系统广义矩（sys-GMM）方法检验生产性服务业规模、效率对出口技术结构的影响。得出以下结论：首先，从全国层面来看，中国生产性服务业规模上升，效率呈现出微弱的负增长。各省级区域生产性服务业差异较大；其次，基于两种指标的测算结果均表明，中国各地区出口技术结构整体处于上升通道，其中东部地区远远高于中、西部地区；第三，生产性服务业规模对出口技术结构具有显著的正向影响，生产性服务业效率对出口技术结构具有负向影响，因此现阶段中国生产服务业对出口技术结构的影响更依靠规模推动，而不是效率提升。根据上述研究结论，本文提出了重视我国生产性服务业区域间梯次发展等政策建议。论文最后提出了本研究的局限性以及未来研究的方向。
[Abstract]:China's transformation from a major trading country to a trading power requires upgrading of its export technology structure. Producer services provide intermediate inputs for producers and play an important role in economic growth and structural adjustment. The study of whether and how producer services influence the structure of export technology not only enriches the theory of international trade and industrial economy, but also promotes the upgrading of China's export technology structure and realizes the transformation of foreign trade. Based on the existing literature, this paper theoretically analyzes the internal influence mechanism between producer services and export technology structure. Malmquist index based on data envelopment analysis (DEA) is used to measure the efficiency of producer services, and export technology complexity index and export similarity index are used to measure the structure of export technology. This paper analyzes the current characteristics and dynamic evolution of the structure of producer services and export technology. The dynamic panel data model is constructed and the general least square method and generalized moment GMMM are used to test the scale of producer services and the effect of efficiency on export technology structure. Draw the following conclusions: First of all, at the national level, the scale of producer services in China has increased, and the efficiency has shown a weak negative growth. Secondly, the results based on the two indicators show that the export technology structure of each region of China is on the rise channel, in which the eastern region is far higher than the central and western regions; third, The scale of producer services has a significant positive impact on the export technology structure, and the efficiency of producer services has a negative impact on the export technology structure. Instead of improving efficiency. Based on the above conclusions, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions, such as attaching importance to the interregional development of producer services in China. Finally, the limitations of this study and the direction of future research are proposed.
【学位授予单位】：浙江理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F752.67

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