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中美经济非对称性共生及对我国出口贸易的影响

发布时间:2018-06-20 16:24

  本文选题:非对称共生 + 中美贸易关系 ; 参考:《河北工业大学》2015年硕士论文


【摘要】:经过中国与美国多年来不懈努力,两国彼此间的经济合作日益紧密,中美之间经济共生关系已经形成。然而两国的经济实力决定了两国之间的这种共生关系存在着非对称性。美国作为老牌的资本密集型国家,在世界经济中的地位不容质疑;而中国经济刚刚崛起。因此,美国在两国的共生关系中轻而易举地占据了主导地位。近几年来由于全球性经济危机的影响,各国出口贸易均遭到了不同程度的冲击。我国出口贸易不仅遭到经济危机影响,而且正处于结构调整和产业升级的关键时期。因而,研究中美经济非对称性共生及这种非对称性对我国出口贸易的影响,对我国出口贸易健康、稳定、快速发展具有理论和现实意义。本文从中美两国的贸易、金融两方面着手分析中美经济非对称性共生关系。首先,利用共生基础要素对中美经济关系作出整体阐述,从贸易规模、贸易结合度以及直接投资和金融性资本等角度对两国的经济共生关系给出具体分析。通过对中美共生关系的分析发现两国的共生表现出非对称性。选取了两国贸易结构、国家政策、金融市场体系、本国货币地位等方面进行探讨,试图找到中美经济非对称性共生形成机制。紧接着利用HM指数对中美经济非对称性共生关系指标进行验证,发现中美两国经济共生是非对称性的。这种非对称性共生在中美贸易和金融领域均有体现,且我国在这种非对称性共生中处于被动地位。针对中美经济非对称性共生,从我国出口贸易的角度出发,定性分析中美经济非对称性共生对我国出口贸易的贸易结构、商品类别、竞争能力和利润方面的影响,揭示中美经济非对称性共生会对我国出口贸易产生不利的影响。并在此基础上,结合中美经济非对称性共生指标与我国出口贸易从1990年—2013年数据进行多元回归分析,通过实证结果发现中国与美国贸易非对称性共生对我国出口贸易的影响显著,且主要体现在中国向美国进口贸易方面;中美金融非对称性共生对出口贸易的影响不显著。最后针对中美经济非对称性共生对我国出口贸易的影响提出了相对应的解决对策。
[Abstract]:After years of unremitting efforts by China and the United States, economic cooperation between the two countries has become increasingly close, and the economic symbiotic relationship between China and the United States has formed. However, the economic strength of the two countries determines the symbiotic relationship between the two countries exist asymmetry. The United States, as an established capital-intensive country, cannot be questioned in the world economy; China has just risen. As a result, the US easily dominates the symbiotic relationship between the two countries. In recent years, due to the impact of the global economic crisis, all countries' export trade has been affected to varying degrees. China's export trade is not only affected by economic crisis, but also in the key period of structural adjustment and industrial upgrading. Therefore, it is of theoretical and practical significance to study the symbiotic symbiosis between Chinese and American economy and its influence on China's export trade, which is healthy, stable and rapid development of China's export trade. This paper analyzes the symbiotic relationship between China and the United States in terms of trade and finance. First of all, using symbiotic basic elements to make an overall elaboration of Sino-US economic relations, from the perspective of trade scale, trade integration, direct investment and financial capital, the paper gives a concrete analysis of the economic symbiotic relationship between the two countries. Through the analysis of the symbiotic relationship between China and the United States, it is found that the symbiosis between the two countries shows asymmetry. The trade structure, national policy, financial market system and monetary status of the two countries are discussed in order to find out the symbiotic symbiosis mechanism between China and the United States. Then the HM index is used to verify the economic symbiotic relationship between China and the United States, and it is found that the economic symbiosis between China and the United States is asymmetric. This asymmetric symbiosis is reflected in the trade and financial fields of China and the United States, and China is in a passive position in this asymmetric symbiosis. In view of Sino-US economic asymmetry symbiosis, from the angle of China's export trade, this paper qualitatively analyzes the influence of Sino-US economic asymmetry symbiosis on the trade structure, commodity category, competitiveness and profit of China's export trade. It is revealed that the symbiosis between China and the United States will have a negative impact on China's export trade. On this basis, combining the economic asymmetry symbiosis between China and the United States and China's export trade data from 1990 to 2013, the paper carries out multivariate regression analysis. The empirical results show that the symbiotic symbiosis between China and the United States has a significant impact on China's export trade, which is mainly reflected in China's import trade to the United States, while the financial asymmetry symbiosis between China and the United States has no significant impact on export trade. Finally, the paper puts forward the corresponding solutions to the impact of asymmetric symbiosis of Chinese and American economy on China's export trade.
【学位授予单位】:河北工业大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2015
【分类号】:F752.62;F757.12

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