中国作为东亚市场提供者的地位与前景研究

发布时间：2018-08-22 15:07

【摘要】：中国已经是东亚最大的初级产品、中间产品和最终资本品市场提供者,但东亚最终消费品市场提供者地位远落后于美国。文章使用面板数据模型重点分析了中国经济增长速度、国内私人消费和政府消费支出等因素对中国东亚市场提供者地位的影响。中国的东亚中间产品和最终资本品市场的提供相对较容易受到这些因素的影响,而中国的东亚初级产品和最终消费品市场提供受到影响的程度相对弱些。而且,国内私人消费支出与政府消费支出对中国的东亚市场提供者地位提升有着不同方向的作用。在中国经济增速和政府消费出现下滑以及私人消费进一步增长的影响下,中国作为东亚最终消费品市场提供者的地位将还会提升,中国作为东亚初级产品和中间产品市场提供者的地位将会下降,中国作为东亚最终资本品市场提供者的地位可能下降或者变化不大。
[Abstract]:China is already the largest provider of primary products, intermediate goods and final capital goods in East Asia, but the final consumer goods market in East Asia lags far behind the United States. In this paper, panel data model is used to analyze the influence of China's economic growth rate, domestic private consumption and government consumption on China's market provider status in East Asia. The supply of China's intermediate and final capital goods markets in East Asia is relatively vulnerable to these factors, while the supply of East Asian primary products and final consumer goods markets in China is relatively weak. Moreover, the domestic private consumption expenditure and the government consumption expenditure have the different direction function to the Chinese East Asia market provider status enhancement. Under the influence of the decline in China's economic growth, government consumption and further growth in private consumption, China's position as the final consumer goods market provider in East Asia will be further enhanced. China's status as a primary and intermediate market provider in East Asia will decline, and China's position as the final capital goods market provider in East Asia may decline or change little.
【作者单位】：吉林大学经济学院;
【基金】：吉林大学哲学社会科学重点研究基地重大项目“中日两国贸易结构变化及作为东亚市场提供者地位问题研究”(项目编号:2016XXJD009)的资助
【分类号】：F752

【参考文献】