中国对其他金砖国家的出口贸易及影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-09-05 21:10

【摘要】：全球经济由于受到2008年金融危机的影响,陷入衰退之中,国际市场有了不同程度的萎缩,我国对外贸易的发展也不可避免的蒙受了巨大的冲击。然而被称为金砖国家的中国、巴西、印度、俄罗斯、南非这五个国家的良好发展势头一直受到世界的瞩目。为了扩大贸易市场,实现发展的需要,作为新兴经济体代表的金砖国家自然而然的成为我国实施贸易多元化、开拓贸易发展空间的首要目标。如果包括中国在内的金砖国家能加强相互之间的外贸联系,将会对彼此的贸易往来乃至世界经济的发展产生巨大影响。论文先对金砖国家的经济发展状况做了详细的阐述,从金砖国家在世界经济中所处的地位和吸引外资的能力这两方面进行分析,并运用大量数据,从金砖国家在全球货物贸易中的地位,贸易互补性及金砖各国的对外贸易依存度三方面分析了金砖国家对外贸易发展概况,接着从金砖各国自身的角度介绍了其对外贸易的规模与结构。在此之后,论文详细介绍了中国对其他金砖各国贸易合作发展状况以及中国对其他金砖各国出口贸易的特点。在之前分析的基础上,论本利用1998-2013年中国对其他金砖国家贸易的面板数据进行了回归分析,探究了各因素对中国对其出口的影响,结果表明,其他金砖国家的开放程度和双边良好的经济基础为我国的出口提供了保障,其他金砖国家的经济发展速度会显著提升对我国产品的需求,而距离和汇率的变动则会抑制中国对其的出口。最后论文进一步对中国对其他金砖国家贸易的出口贸易潜力进行了分析,并在此基础上提出了相应的对策建议。
[Abstract]:Due to the impact of the 2008 financial crisis, the global economy has fallen into recession, the international market has contracted to varying degrees, and the development of China's foreign trade has inevitably suffered a huge impact. However, China, Brazil, India, Russia and South Africa, the BRICS countries, have been attracting the attention of the world. In order to expand the trade market and realize the need of development, the BRICS countries, as the representatives of the emerging economies, naturally become the primary goal of our country to carry out the diversification of trade and open up the space for the development of trade. If the BRICS, including China, can strengthen their foreign trade ties, they will have a huge impact on each other's trade and the development of the world economy. The paper first elaborates the economic development of the BRICS countries, analyzes the status of the BRICS countries in the world economy and their ability to attract foreign investment, and makes use of a large number of data. This paper analyzes the development of BRICS countries' foreign trade from three aspects: the position of BRICS countries in global trade in goods, the complementarity of trade and the dependence of BRICS countries on foreign trade. Then it introduces the scale and structure of BRICS foreign trade from its own point of view. After that, the paper introduces in detail the development of China's trade cooperation with other BRICS countries and the characteristics of China's export trade to other BRICS countries. Based on the previous analysis, this paper makes a regression analysis using panel data of China's trade with other BRICS countries from 1998 to 2013, and explores the impact of various factors on China's exports. The degree of openness of the other BRICS countries and the sound economic basis of the two countries provide a guarantee for China's exports. The economic development rate of the other BRICS countries will significantly increase the demand for our products. Changes in distance and exchange rates will restrain China's exports to it. Finally, the paper analyzes the potential of China's export trade to other BRICS countries, and puts forward corresponding countermeasures and suggestions.
【学位授予单位】：天津财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F752.62

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