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中国沿边开放中进出口贸易的边界效应分析

发布时间:2018-10-29 13:53
【摘要】:自改革开放以来,我国逐渐形成了从沿海到沿江沿边,从东部到中西部的全方位、多层次、宽领域的开放格局。随着沿边开放的深入实施,沿边开放的重要性与日俱增,国家对其给予了高度重视,党的十八届三中全会特别强调要扩大内陆沿边开放,可见沿边开放已成为我国对外开放中不可或缺的组成部分,但在不断推进我国沿边开放政策实施的进程中,不难发现我国的沿边开放水平普遍较低,我国与周边国家的进出口贸易在我国对外贸易中所占的比重小,并且沿边开放与沿海开放的差距并未缩小。这些问题引起了学界不同层面的研究,由于我国周边复杂的地理形势,边界问题引起了学界的关注,分析沿边开放中进出口贸易的边界效应对提升我国的沿边开放水平意义重大。 本文运用贸易引力模型,分析我国沿边开放中进出口贸易的边界效应,实证结果表明我国沿边开放中存在显著的边界屏蔽效应,我国的国内贸易远远高于与周边国家的贸易,并且边界对我国与周边国家出口贸易的屏蔽强度远高于进口贸易,出口贸易的屏蔽效应强度是进口贸易的32倍;考虑基础设施后,我国与周边国家进出口贸易的边界屏蔽效应显著下降,其中增加的基础设施变量可以解释出口贸易中边界效应下降的87.3%,进口贸易中边界效应下降的94.04%,显然基础设施建设可以从很大程度上减弱我国沿边开放中进出口贸易的边界屏蔽效应。进一步地,考虑边界作为我国与周边国家经贸合作的窗口,分析其在我国与周边国家的进出口贸易中所带来的中介效应,实证检验得出我国与周边国家的进出口贸易中边界的中介效应不强,我国与周边接壤国家的进出口贸易并不明显优于非接壤国家,考虑基础设施的影响,边界的中介效应并没有显著变化,可见在基础设施建设下,是否接壤对我国与周边国家的进出口贸易没有显著影响。 基于实证分析的基础上,文中提出通过基础设施建设、创新制度及增加边民交往来减弱边界的屏蔽效应,而通过建立跨境经济合作区、沿边金融综合改革试验区及产业园区来发挥边界的中介效应,进而提升我国的沿边开放水平。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China has gradually formed an all-directional, multi-level and wide-field opening pattern from the coast to the border along the Yangtze River and from the east to the central and western regions. With the deepening implementation of the opening up along the border, the importance of the opening up along the border has increased day by day, and the state has attached great importance to it. The third Plenary session of the 18th CPC Central Committee especially emphasized the need to expand the opening up of the inland border. It can be seen that border opening has become an indispensable part of China's opening to the outside world, but in the process of continuously promoting the implementation of our border opening policy, it is not difficult to find that the level of border opening in our country is generally low. The import and export trade between China and the neighboring countries accounts for a small proportion in China's foreign trade, and the gap between the border opening and coastal opening has not been narrowed. These problems have aroused different levels of research in academic circles. Due to the complex geographical situation around our country, the boundary issues have attracted the attention of the academic community. It is of great significance to analyze the boundary effect of import and export trade in border opening to improve the border opening level of our country. Using the trade gravity model, this paper analyzes the boundary effect of import and export trade in China's border opening. The empirical results show that there is a significant boundary shielding effect in the border opening of our country, and the domestic trade of our country is far higher than that with the neighboring countries. And the shielding intensity of the border to the export trade between China and the neighboring countries is much higher than that of the import trade, and the shielding effect of the export trade is 32 times of that of the import trade. After considering the infrastructure, the border shielding effect of China's import and export trade with neighboring countries has decreased significantly, and the increased infrastructure variables can explain the decrease of 87.3 percent of the boundary effects in export trade. In the case of the decline of border effect in import trade, it is obvious that infrastructure construction can weaken the border shielding effect of import and export trade in China's border opening to a great extent. Further, considering the border as a window of economic and trade cooperation between China and the neighboring countries, the paper analyzes its intermediary effect in the import and export trade between China and the neighboring countries. The empirical test shows that the border intermediary effect is not strong in the import and export trade between China and the neighboring countries, and the import and export trade between China and the neighboring countries is not obviously superior to that of the non-bordering countries. There is no significant change in the intermediary effect of the border. It can be seen that the border has no significant influence on the import and export trade between China and the neighboring countries under the infrastructure construction. Based on the empirical analysis, the paper proposes to weaken the shielding effect of the border by building infrastructure, innovating the system and increasing the contacts between the border people, while establishing the cross-border economic cooperation zone. The borderline financial comprehensive reform experimental area and the industrial park bring into play the intermediary effect of border, and then improve the level of border opening in our country.
【学位授予单位】:云南大学
【学位级别】:硕士
【学位授予年份】:2015
【分类号】:F752.6

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相关期刊论文 前4条

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