欧美制裁俄罗斯对中俄贸易的影响

发布时间：2018-12-27 07:24

【摘要】：近年来,中俄作为两大新兴的经济体,其发展受到世界各国的广泛关注,它们也都在对方各自的市场中占有重要的地位。中俄两国友好的政治关系、较好的地缘优势以及资源禀赋的互补性是中俄两国合作的基础。随着中俄两国往来越来越频繁、关系越来越密切,中俄两国的贸易关系也得到了进一步的发展,进一步促进两国经济的发展。2014年乌克兰危机的爆发给中俄贸易的发展带来了新的机遇。本文通过分析预测乌克兰危机下欧美对俄的制裁对中俄贸易带来的机遇和挑战,以及如何来抓住机遇应对挑战让中俄贸易关系得到更进一步的发展,使中俄有一个长期稳定的贸易合作伙伴关系。本文通过收集近几年中俄经贸方面的著作和两国政府提出的文件、报告以及政策进行比较分析,总结了中俄合作的基础;运用了统计分析法分析了近年来中国对外贸易概况、俄罗斯对外贸易概况和中俄双边贸易概况。中俄合作的基础和中俄贸易概况的介绍有助于读者对近些年来中俄贸易的发展进行了解。文章是在欧美制裁俄罗斯的背景之下,通过能源合作、高铁项目、农业产业等项目来分析欧美制裁俄罗斯给中俄贸易合作带来的机遇;通过分析欧美制裁俄罗斯带来的卢布的下跌和对外支付能力的下降给中俄贸易在短时间内造成的影响。面对制裁带来的机遇和挑战,中国可以通过提高我国出口产品的竞争力、加强中俄两国的双边交流、与俄罗斯央行建立人民币-卢布互换协议和推进和完善人民币跨境支付和结算体制等措施来抓住机遇应对挑战,来促进中俄贸易更好的发展。本文的创新之处在于时效性较强,选题新颖,在乌克兰危机下欧美对俄罗斯进行多轮制裁的背景下,来研究对中俄贸易发展的影响,具有现实意义。而且采用最新的数据,结合具体的实例进行分析,从能源合作、高铁项目、农业产业等来分析可能遇到的机遇;以及卢布下跌、俄罗斯的支付能力下降带来的负面影响。最后提出了相关的建议对策来抓住机遇应对挑战。俄罗斯作为较大的新兴经济体,在国际上具有很强的影响力,随着经济的发展综合国力的增强,俄罗斯巨大的市场潜力日益凸显,加上俄罗斯丰富的自然资源成为世界各国关注的对象。中俄之间的地缘优势、友好的政治关系和出口产品的互补性不断推进中俄双边贸易的发展。欧美对俄罗斯的制裁推动着俄罗斯向东寻找合作伙伴,这给中俄贸易带来了机会,中国应抓住机会加强两国经贸合作。
[Abstract]:In recent years, China and Russia as two major emerging economies, their development has been widely concerned by the world, they also play an important role in each other's respective markets. The cooperation between China and Russia is based on friendly political relations, good geographical advantages and complementarity of natural resources. With the more frequent exchanges and closer relations between China and Russia, the trade relations between China and Russia have also been further developed. The Ukraine crisis in 2014 opened up new opportunities for trade between China and Russia. This paper analyzes and predicts the opportunities and challenges brought about by the sanctions imposed by Europe and the United States against Russia under the Ukraine crisis, and how to seize the opportunities to deal with the challenges and to further develop the Sino-Russian trade relations. So that China and Russia have a long-term and stable trade partnership. This paper summarizes the basis of Sino-Russian cooperation by collecting the works on Sino-Russian economy and trade in recent years and the documents, reports and policies put forward by the two governments. The general situation of China's foreign trade, Russia's foreign trade and Sino-Russian bilateral trade in recent years are analyzed by means of statistical analysis. The foundation of Sino-Russian cooperation and the introduction of Sino-Russian trade are helpful for readers to understand the development of Sino-Russian trade in recent years. Under the background of sanctions against Russia by Europe and the United States, this paper analyzes the opportunities brought to Sino-Russian trade cooperation by European and American sanctions against Russia through such projects as energy cooperation, high-speed rail project, agricultural industry and so on. This paper analyzes the impact of the fall of the rouble and the decline of the ability to pay on the trade between China and Russia in a short period of time caused by the sanctions imposed by Europe and the United States on Russia. In the face of the opportunities and challenges brought by sanctions, China can strengthen bilateral exchanges between China and Russia by improving the competitiveness of our export products. Measures such as establishing a yuan-rouble swap agreement with the Russian central bank and promoting and improving the RMB cross-border payment and settlement system are aimed at seizing the opportunities and meeting the challenges in order to promote the better development of Sino-Russian trade. The innovation of this paper lies in its strong timeliness and novel selection. It is of practical significance to study the impact on the development of Sino-Russian trade under the background of the multi-round sanctions imposed by Europe and the United States on Russia under the crisis of Ukraine. And using the latest data, combined with concrete examples to analyze the potential opportunities from energy cooperation, high-speed rail projects, agricultural industries, etc., as well as the negative impact of the fall in the rouble and the decline in Russia's ability to pay. Finally, the paper puts forward the relevant suggestions and countermeasures to seize the opportunity to meet the challenges. Russia, as a large emerging economy, has a strong influence in the world. With the economic development and comprehensive national strength increasing, Russia's enormous market potential is becoming increasingly prominent. In addition, Russia's rich natural resources have become the object of concern of all countries in the world. The geographical advantages, friendly political relations and the complementarity of export products between China and Russia continue to promote the development of bilateral trade between China and Russia. Sanctions on Russia from Europe and the United States have pushed Russia eastward in search of partners, which has opened up opportunities for trade between China and Russia, and China should seize the opportunity to strengthen economic and trade cooperation between the two countries.
【学位授予单位】：吉林财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2015
【分类号】：F752.7;F755.12;F741.2

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