我国生产性服务贸易与货物贸易协同效应研究

发布时间：2019-03-13 16:22

【摘要】：本文结合前人对生产性服务贸易与货物贸易相关性研究,首先回顾了学术界对生产性服务贸易与货物贸易协同发展的研究成果。基于全球价值链理论,深入探讨了我国生产性服务贸易与货物贸易协同效应的理论机制,并分别从供给、需求、政府政策从三个方面来分析我国货物贸易对生产性服务贸易的促进机制。从便利化、国际化、降低贸易成本三个方面论证我国生产性服务贸易对货物贸易的促进机制。然后通过分析我国生产性服务贸易与货物贸易的发展规模、发展速度、贸易依存度、贸易竞争力来阐述我国生产性服务贸易与货物贸易的发展现状。我国生产性服务贸易由于起步晚、起点低、发展速度较慢,所以常年产生巨额逆差。而我国货物贸易总量已经是世界第一,无论是发展规模还是贸易竞争力都要远远高于生产性服务贸易。然后通过计量方法,采用VAR模型对我国生产性服务贸易与货物贸易进行总量上的分析,并且选取了生产性服务业的另外两个部门——运输和金融,将它们分别与货物贸易进行实证分析。结果显示我国货物贸易对生产性服务贸易、运输服务贸易、金融服务贸易都有促进作用,而我国生产性服务贸易、运输服务贸易、金融服务贸易对我国货物贸易没有起到促进作用。而这主要是因为我国生产性服务贸易发展滞后导致的,我国生产性服务贸易提供的服务能力较弱,不能够满足货物贸易对生产性服务的需求。最后根据理论与实证的结果从政府观念与政策的转变、加快货物贸易转型升级、重点发展现代服务业三个方面给出了促进我国生产性服务贸易与货物贸易协同发展的政策建议。
[Abstract]:Based on the previous studies on the relationship between productive service trade and trade in goods, this paper reviews the research results of collaborative development between trade in productive services and trade in goods. Based on the theory of global value chain, this paper probes into the theoretical mechanism of the synergistic effect between productive service trade and goods trade in China, and analyzes the supply and demand respectively. The government policy analyzes the promotion mechanism of the goods trade to the productive service trade in China from three aspects. The promotion mechanism of productive service trade to goods trade in China is demonstrated from three aspects: facilitation, internationalization and reduction of trade cost. Then, through the analysis of the development scale, development speed, trade dependence and trade competitiveness of our country's productive service trade and goods trade, this paper expounds the present development situation of our country's productive service trade and goods trade. The productive service trade of our country starts late, the starting point is low, the speed of development is relatively slow, so there is a huge deficit all the year round. The total volume of goods trade in China is the first in the world, both the scale of development and the competitiveness of trade are much higher than the trade in productive services. Then through the measurement method, the VAR model is used to analyze the total quantity of China's trade in productive services and goods, and the other two sectors of producer services, transport and finance, are selected. They will be separately and goods trade for empirical analysis. The results show that China's trade in goods promotes the trade in productive services, transport services and financial services, while the trade in productive services and transport services in China. The trade in financial services has not played an important role in promoting the trade of goods in our country. This is mainly due to the lag in the development of productive service trade in our country. The service ability provided by our country's productive service trade is weak and cannot meet the demand of goods trade for productive service. Finally, according to the theoretical and empirical results, from the transformation of government concepts and policies, accelerating the transformation and upgrading of goods trade, focusing on the development of modern services, this paper gives policy suggestions to promote the coordinated development of productive services trade and goods trade in China.
【学位授予单位】：首都经济贸易大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F752.68

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