贸易开放对经济的增长：尼日利亚的证据

发布时间：2022-08-13 13:07

　　本研究的重点是1986年至2016年期间贸易自由化政策的采用对尼日利亚经济的影响。贸易自由化处理的是打破壁垒,将世界市场融入全球经济。尽管全球化对整个世界经济产生了积极影响,但尼日利亚经济无法超越其目前的状态,这是一个非常严肃的研究案例。这项研究利用了国家和国际数据库的二次数据。采用普通最小二乘法对多元线性回归模型中的数据进行分析。为了评估贸易改革政策与3个经济部门对经济的影响,第一个模型是以GDP作为经济增长的代表变量,以农业、工业、服务部门增值和1986年SAP贸易改革的虚拟变量作为解释变量。为了进一步研究支持这3个经济部门的几个关键宏观经济指标对增长的影响,第二个模型也以GDP为因变量,而FDI、贸易开放性、资本形成、出口、进口、服务业增加值百分比GDP和1986年SAP贸易改革的虚拟变量作为解释变量。模型1的OLS分析结果表明,尽管农业和工业的表现低于预期,但3个经济部门对经济增长都有积极和显著的影响。模型2的结果表明,FDI、贸易开放、资本形成和SAP贸易改革与经济增长呈负相关,而出口、进口和服务业增值与经济产出呈正相关,只有FDI不显著。这些发现的含义是,贸易自由化并未显著... 

【文章页数】：94 页

【学位级别】：硕士

【文章目录】：
ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
ABSTRACT
摘要
LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS
CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION
    1.1 Background
    1.2 Statement of the Problem
    1.3 Objectives
    1.4 Significance of the Study
    1.5 Scope of the Study
    1.6 Structure of the Research
CHAPTER 2 LITERATURE REVIEW
    2.1 Overview
        2.1.1 Theoritical Literature Review
        2.1.2 Review of Empirical Literature
CHAPTER 3 THE NIGERIAN ECONOMY AND TRADE POLICY DEVELOPMENTS
    3.1 Analysis of the Nigerian Economy
        3.1.1 Specific Sector Analysis: Agriculture
        3.1.2 Specific Sector Analysis: Industry
        3.1.3 Specific Sector Analysis: Service
    3.2 Dynamics of Trade Policies in Nigeria
        3.2.1 The Pre-SAP Trade Policy Regime (1960 - 1986)
        3.2.2 SAP Era Trade Policies 1986-2001
        3.2.3 Current Trade Reform Initiatives
CHAPTER 4 METHODOLOGY
    4.1 Data
    4.2 Description and Justification of Variables
        4.2.1 Gross Domestic Product
        4.2.2 Imports (IM)
        4.2.3 Exports (EX)
        4.2.4 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI)
        4.2.5 Capital Formation (CPF)
        4.2.6 Trade Openness (OP)
        4.2.7 Service Value Added (SER)
        4.2.8 Trade Liberalization Reform (RD)
    4.3 Model Specifications
    4.4 Data Analysis & Estimation Method
        4.4.1 Descriptive Analysis
        4.4.2 Linear Regression Analysis
        4.4.3 Economic A Priori Expectation
    4.5 Evaluation of Model
        4.5.1 Statistical Criteria
        4.5.2 Econometric Criteria
CHAPTER 5 INTERPRETATION & ANALYSIS OF RESULTS
    5.1 Interpretation Of Results for Model 1
        5.1.1 Model (1) Evaluation : Statistical Criteria
        5.1.2 Model Evaluation : Econometric Criteria
    5.2 Interpretation Of Results for Model 2
        5.2.1 Model Evaluation : Statistical Criteria
        5.2.2 Model Evaluation : Econometric Criteria
    5.3 DISCUSSION & ANALYSIS OF RESULTS
        5.3.1 Economic A Priori Expectation Analysis (Model1)
        5.3.2 Economic A Priori Expectation Analysis (Model2)
        5.3.3 Import
        5.3.4 Exports
        5.3.5 Foreign Direct Investment
        5.3.6 Capital Formation
        5.3.7 Service Value Added
        5.3.8 Trade Openness
        5.3.9 Trade Reform Dummy
    5.4 Summary of Findings
CHAPTER 6 CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATION
    6.1 Conclusion
    6.2 Policy Recommendation
REFERENCES
Appendix Ⅰ
Appendix Ⅱ
APPENDIX Ⅲ



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