非中贸易对非洲经济发展影响的研究

发布时间：2023-05-13 22:28

　　

【文章页数】：232 页

【学位级别】：博士

【文章目录】：
Abstract
Acknowledgement
List of Abbreviations
CHAPTER 1: INTRODUCTION
    1.1 Research Background
    1.2 Statement of the Problem
    1.3 Objectives of the study
    1.4 Research Questions
    1.5 Hypotheses
    1.6 Significance of the study and Feasibility
        1.6.1 Significance of the study
        1.6.2 Feasibility analysis
    1.7 Research method
    1.8 Innovation
    1.9 Limitation of the study and Expected outcome
        1.9.1 Limitation of the study
        1.9.2 Expected outcome
    1.10 Contents arrangement
CHAPTER 2: EMPIRICAL REVIEW OF LITERATURE
    2.1 Impact of Trade on economic growth
        2.1.1 Positive impact of trade on economic growth
        2.1.2 Negative impact of trade on economic growth
    2.2 Impact of trade on manufacturing sector perform
        2.2.1 Positive impact of trade on manufacturing sector performance
        2.2.2 Negative impact of trade on manufacturing sector performance
        2.2.3 Conclusion
CHAPTER 3: THEORIES RELATED TO TRADE AND ECONOMICDEVELOPMENT
    3.1 impact of trade on economic growth
        3.1.1 The Classical Period
        3.1.2 The Neoclassic Period (Post Classical Period)
        3.1.3 Modern Neoclassical Theory
        3.1.4 The "Export-Led Growth" Theory
        3.1.5 New Trade Theory (NTT)
        3.1.6 Endogenous Growth Theory
    3.2 Process leading to economic development
        3.2.1 The Rostow's stages of growth model
        3.2.2 The Harrod-Domar Model
        3.2.3 The Balanced Growth Theory
        3.2.4 The Unbalanced Growth Theory
    3.3 Conclusion
CHAPTER 4: CHINA-AFRICA TRADE RELATIONSHIP
    4.1 Terms of trade between Africa and China
    4.2 China-Africa Trade Balance
    4.3 Trading partners of Africa
    4.4 China's Investments in Africa
    4.5 Imports and Exports products between China and Africa
    4.6 Top African Exporters to China
    4.7 Top African Importers from China
    4.8 Aid and Projects financed by China in Africa
    4.9 Development generated by China in Africa
    4.10 Conclusion
CHAPTER 5: IMPACT OF TRADE WITH CHINA ON THE ECONOMIC GROWTHOF AFRICAN COUNTRIES
    5.1 Review on the literature of trade with China and economic growth in Africa
        5.1.1 Definition of economic growth
        5.1.2 Brief introduction to the economy of Africa
        5.1.3 Top economies of Africa
        5.1.4 Impact of trade with China on economic growth in Africa
    5.2 Data and Methodology
        5.2.1 Variables Description
        5.2.2 Methodology
        5.2.3 Model specification
        5.2.4 Pairwise Granger Causality Tests
    5.3 Empirical results
        5.3.1 Descriptive statistics
        5.3.2 Correlation matrix
        5.3.3 Empirical results
    5.4 Conclusion
CHAPTER 6: IMPACT OF TRADE WITH CHINA ON THE PERFORMANCE OFAFRICA'S MANUFACTURING SECTOR
    6.1 Literature review on trade and Manufacturing sector
        6.1.1 Definition of the manufacturing sector
        6.1.2 Structure of African manufacturing sector
        6.1.3 African top manufacturing countries
        6.1.4 Impact of trade with China in the manufacturing sector of Africa
    6.2 Data and Methodolology
        6.2.1 Variables Description
        6.2.2 Methodology
        6.2.3 Model specification
    6.3 Empirical results and Interpretation
        6.3.1 Empirical results
        6.3.2 Interpretation
        6.3.3 Conclusion
CHAPTER 7: IMPACT OF THE TRADE WITH CHINA ON THE ECONOMICGROWTH: TTHE CASE OF COTE D'IVOTRE
    7.1 China- Cote d'Ivoire Trade Relationship
        7.1.1 Introduction on Cote d'Ivoire
        7.1.2 Top import and export partners of Cote d'Ivoire
        7.1.3 Overview of China-Cote d'Ivoire Trade Relationship
        7.1.4 Recent trade development projects between China and Cote d'Ivoire
        7.1.5 The Belt and Road Initiative in Cote d'Ivoire
        7.1.6 Chinese Foreign Direct Investments in Cote d'Ivoire
    7.2 Data and Methodology
        7.2.1 Variables Description
        7.2.2 Methodology
        7.2.3 Model specification
    7.3 Empirical results
        7.3.1 Descriptive statistics
        7.3.2 Correlation matrix
        7.3.3 Unit root tests
        7.3.4 Lag length selection
        7.3.5 ARDL Bounds test and Analysis based on Narayan(2005) criticalvalues
        7.3.6 Short Run and Long Run results
        7.3.7 Residuals test
        7.3.8 Stability tests
    7.4 Comparison of the China-Cote d'Ivoire trade and China-Africa trade
        7.4.1 Conclusion
        7.4.2 Recommendations
CHAPTER 8: TRADE AND BUSINESS CYCLE SYNCHRONIZATION:EVIDENCEFROM CHINA-COTE D'IVOIRE TRADE
    8.1 Definitions
        8.1.1 Definition and phases of the business cycle
        8.1.2 Definition of business cycle synchronization
    8.2 Literature review
        8.2.1 Trade leads to more synchronization of business cycles
        8.2.2 Trade leads to less synchronization of business cycles
        8.2.3 Intra industry trade
    8.3 Data and Methodology
        8.3.1 Variables Description
        8.3.2 Methodology
    8.4 Empirical results
    8.5 Conclusion
CHAPTER 9: CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
    9.1 Conclusion
    9.2 Recommendations
        9.2.1 Ensure an adequate business environment
        9.2.2 Being more attractive to foreign investments
        9.2.3 Improvement of the population's living conditions
        9.2.4 Development of Intra Industry Trade
        9.2.5 Promotion of Intra African Trade
APPENDIXES
    Appendix 4.1: Top 10 China imports from World in Thousands US$ from 2013 to2018
    Appendix 4.2: Top 10 China exports to the World in Thousands US$ from 2013 to2018
    Appendix 4.3: Belt and Road Initiative projects in Africa
    Appendix 4.4: Major African Exports to China by country
    Appendix 5.1: List of the African countries studied in the panel
    Appendix 5.2: GDP per capita of the African countries of the study from 2004 to2017
    Appendix 5.3: Chinese FDI in the African countries of the study from 2004 to2017
    Appendix 5.4: Population growth of the African countries of the study from 2004to 2017
    Appendix 5.5: Total trade,Imports from China and Exports to China of the Africancountries of the study in Thousands US＄from 2004 to 2017
    Appendix 5.6: Pairwise Granger Causality Tests
    Appendix 7.1: Variables used in the study from 2004 to 2017
    Appendix 9.1: Africa Population Forecast
REFERENCES



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