外资流入、人力资本与我国出口贸易结构分析
发布时间:2018-01-12 10:39
本文关键词:外资流入、人力资本与我国出口贸易结构分析 出处:《商业研究》2017年08期 论文类型:期刊论文
更多相关文章: 外资流入 人力资本异质性 出口结构 动态面板 门槛回归
【摘要】:有效利用外资并发挥人力资本优势、优化出口贸易结构是我国对外开放格局调整面临的重要问题。基于我国30个省1998-2015年的面板数据,本文利用门槛回归模型分析外资流入与人力资本对我国出口贸易结构的影响,发现外资流入在短期中有效促进我国出口贸易结构升级,但就长期而言却会产生负向作用;高技术人力资本在我国出口贸易结构升级扮演重要的角色,而人力资本结构的作用并不理想;外资流入与高技术人力资本结合对出口贸易结构产生正向作用,我国人力资本结构与外资结合适配性良好;对外开放度门槛效应显著存在,外资流入流量对出口贸易结构产生正向影响的门槛较低,而外资流入存量与人力资本异质性对出口贸易结构影响的门槛较为严格。所以,在利用外资以及与外资企业合作方面,我们应均衡外资在产业间的均衡分配,并筛选外资类型与地区发展的契合度,拉动劳动密集型产业向资本密集型产业升级;我国应该充分认清人力资本水平异质性结构对贸易结构的关键作用,加大对人力资本的投资,提高劳动力的技能水平,使得我国出口贸易逐步转向依托高技术人才的创新发展模式,促进贸易结构升级。
[Abstract]:The effective use of foreign capital and human capital play advantage, optimize the structure of export trade is an important problem facing the adjustment of China's opening up pattern. The panel data of 30 provinces in China based on 1998-2015, this paper uses threshold regression model analysis of the inflow of foreign capital and the impact of human capital on China's export trade structure, found that the inflow of foreign capital in the short term effective to promote the upgrading of China's export trade structure, but in the long term it will produce negative effects; high technology human capital in China's export trade structure play an important role, and the role of human capital structure is not ideal; the inflow of foreign capital with high technology and human capital have positive effect on the export trade structure of China's human. The foreign capital structure and with good adaptability; the opening degree of significant threshold effect exists, the inflow of foreign capital flow has a positive impact on the export trade structure of the door The threshold is low, and the effect of the inflow of foreign capital stock and human capital heterogeneity on the export trade structure of the threshold is relatively strict. So, in cooperation with foreign enterprises and foreign capital utilization, we should balance the balanced distribution of foreign investment in the industry, and the development of foreign fit screening type and area, pulling the labor-intensive industries to upgrade the capital intensive industry; China should fully understand the level of human capital heterogeneity structure on the key role of the trade structure, to increase the human capital investment, improve labor skills, so that China's export trade gradually rely on innovation and development mode of high-tech talents, promote the upgrading of trade structure.
【作者单位】: 山东理工大学商学院;
【基金】:国家社科基金一般项目,项目编号:17BJY107 山东省社科基金项目,项目编号:15CJJJ23 山东理工大学青年教师发展支持计划经费资助
【分类号】:F249.2;F752.62;F832.6
【正文快照】: 改革开放以来,我国对外贸易规模呈持续增长趋势,高技术产业的出口交货值占我国出口贸易的比例由1998年的13.4%增加到2015年的36.1%;同时,随着我国劳动力成本的不断提高,低技术含量的制成品出口竞争优势逐渐降低,如果不及时改善出口贸易结构必将影响我国出口贸易竞争力。此外,
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1 王永;许蓝天;;江苏省出口贸易结构变迁对就业的影响效应研究[J];江苏商论;2014年02期
,本文编号:1413911
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