欧元危机的性质、前景及其中的劳动生产率因素
发布时间:2018-05-08 03:26
本文选题:欧元危机 + 政治冲击 ; 参考:《国际经济评论》2017年03期
【摘要】:欧元是世界第二大货币,欧元区的经济发展和凝聚力是其货币实力的主要支撑。2009年欧债危机爆发后,欧债危机引发的希腊退欧风险对欧洲货币联盟的基础造成冲击,进而引发欧元的存在性危机和治理框架危机。2016年英国公投脱欧,以及难民危机背景下不断高涨的反全球化和反一体化民粹主义浪潮,再次拷问欧元的长期前景。表面上看,目前关于欧元命运的担忧源于政治冲击,实际上问题根源仍然在经济层面。欧元区多数成员国的中下层民众生活水平无法得到改善,既源于欧债危机后全球经济增速放缓的影响,更源于欧元区内劳动生产率增长的停滞和国家间劳动生产率的分化。欧元治理框架的完善在一定程度上能够提高欧元的信用水平,但要从根本上解决欧元的存在性危机,关键还在于能否提高区域内劳动生产率增速,纠正区域经济发展失衡,并实现繁荣共享。
[Abstract]:The euro is the second largest currency in the world, and the economic development and cohesion of the euro zone is the main support for its monetary strength. After the European debt crisis broke out in 2009, the risk of Greece leaving the European Union caused by the European debt crisis had an impact on the foundation of the European Monetary Union. In turn, the euro's existential crisis and governance framework crisis. Britain's referendum on Brexit in 2016 and the rising wave of anti-globalisation and anti-integration populism in the context of the refugee crisis have again tortured the euro's long-term prospects. On the face of it, the current concerns about the fate of the euro stem from political shocks, and in fact the root of the problem remains at the economic level. The poor living standards of the lower and middle class in most euro zone member states can not be improved either because of the impact of the global economic slowdown after the European debt crisis, but also because of the stagnation of labor productivity growth in the euro zone and the division of labor productivity between countries. The perfection of the euro governance framework can improve the credit level of the euro to a certain extent, but in order to fundamentally solve the existing crisis of the euro, the key lies in whether the growth rate of labor productivity in the region can be increased and the imbalance of regional economic development can be corrected. And achieve prosperity and sharing.
【作者单位】: 中国社会科学院俄罗斯东欧中亚研究所;辽宁大学;
【分类号】:F821.5
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本文编号:1859767
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