人民币加入特别提款权（SDR）货币篮子的政治经济分析

发布时间：2018-06-06 23:35

本文选题：特别提款权(SDR) + 人民币国际化　；参考：《北京外国语大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：2008年国际金融危机使中国深刻认识到,降低对美元的过度依赖,推动人民币逐步国际化是中国经济稳健持续发展的重要战略决策。人民币"入篮"是人民币国际化发展道路上的一个里程碑,反映出人民币正在成为越来越重要的国际货币,标志着国际社会对中国金融改革开放的认可。一方面,将促进中国金融的市场化和国际化进程,带来全新的金融改革机遇与挑战;另一方面,对国际金融经济秩序的优化、完善和变革具有重大意义。2016年的新年献词中,国家主席习近平特别提到,实现人民币国际化,努力将人民币纳入IMF特别提款权货币篮子,梦想总是可以实现的。可见,人民币作为IMF所承认的官方储备货币,对于中国经济发展进程而言,不仅仅是人民币走向国际化的一个标志性事件,更是一个梦想实现的证明,对于人民币成为国际货币,塑造国际经济秩序发挥着至关重要的作用。人民币加入SDR的过程,我们可以将其视为人民币国际化进程中的一个的缩影,中国得益于经济发展的飞速成绩,形成了辐射周边的示范效应。人民币作为一个发展中国家的官方使用货币,其加入SDR货币篮子同时也是国际货币体系的改革路上的重要一笔。在人民币加入国际货币基金组织特别提款权货币篮子问题上,国际货币基金组织总裁拉加德表示,人民币加入该组织符合中国国际实力与影响力的重要表现。本文采用定性分析和定量分析结合的方法,力图在已有的理论分析中寻找新的突破口。在回顾人民币加入SDR货币篮子的进程时,本文主要采用定性分析的方法,阐述人民币能够"入篮"的原因。在分析人民币加入SDR的两方面影响时,本文将着重采用定量分析的方法,运用各项指标数据实证说明人民币"入篮"这一重大事件对国内外的影响。本文分五个部分叙述人民币加入特别提款权(SDR)货币篮子的政治经济分析:第一个部分主要说明SDR自身基本情况,包括形成原因以及历史上SDR货币篮子组成币种变动情况,通过详细的事实陈述,使读者容易了解人民币加入SDR的意义;第二个部分是人民币"入篮"的政治经济动因分析,结合国际政治需求和国内政策需要进一步说明"入篮"意义;第三部分强调人民币加入SDR货币篮子对于国内的政治经济影响,分别体现在对外贸易、对外结算、投资以及资本项目开放观点讨论四个方面,通过各方面数据客观地阐述这一重大事件的国内影响;第四个部分分析了"入篮"对国际社会的政治经济影响,客观地讨论现"入篮"对于国际货币体系改革的作用;最后一个部分是针对前几个部分客观分析的结果提出建设性意见,认为我国应该进一步深入金融体系改革,丰富出口产品多元化结构,稳步开放离岸市场,构建人民币国际循环通道。
[Abstract]:The 2008 international financial crisis has made China realize that reducing its excessive reliance on the US dollar and promoting the gradual internationalization of the RMB is an important strategic decision for China's steady and sustainable economic development. "basket entry" of RMB is a milestone in the development of RMB internationalization, which reflects the fact that RMB is becoming an increasingly important international currency and marks the recognition of China's financial reform and opening up by the international community. On the one hand, it will promote the marketization and internationalization of Chinese finance and bring new opportunities and challenges to financial reform; on the other hand, it will be of great significance to the optimization, perfection and reform of the international financial and economic order. In particular, President Xi Jinping noted that the dream of internationalizing the yuan and trying to include it in the IMF's SDR basket is always achievable. Obviously, as the official reserve currency recognized by the IMF, the RMB is not only a landmark event for the internationalization of the RMB, but also a proof of the realization of the dream for China's economic development. For the RMB to become an international currency, shaping the international economic order plays a vital role. The process of RMB entry into SDR can be regarded as a microcosm of RMB internationalization. China has benefited from the rapid economic development and has formed the radiation peripheral demonstration effect. As the official currency of a developing country, the RMB's entry into the SDR basket is also an important step in the reform of the international monetary system. On the issue of the yuan joining the IMF's special drawing rights basket, IMF Managing Director Christine Lagarde said the yuan's entry was in line with the important performance of China's international power and influence. By combining qualitative analysis with quantitative analysis, this paper tries to find a new breakthrough in the existing theoretical analysis. When reviewing the process of RMB joining the SDR basket, this paper mainly adopts the qualitative analysis method to explain the reason why RMB can enter the basket. In the analysis of the impact of RMB entry into SDR, this paper will focus on the quantitative analysis method, using the index data to demonstrate the impact of the "basket" of RMB on the domestic and foreign. This paper is divided into five parts to describe the political and economic analysis of the RMB joining the SDR basket. The first part mainly explains the basic situation of the SDR itself, including the reasons for its formation and the historical changes in the composition of the SDR basket. Through detailed factual statements, readers can easily understand the significance of RMB joining SDR. The second part is the analysis of the political and economic motivation of RMB "entry into the basket", which further explains the significance of "entry into the basket" in light of international political needs and domestic policies. The third part emphasizes the influence of RMB joining the SDR currency basket on domestic politics and economy, which is reflected in four aspects: foreign trade, settlement abroad, investment and capital account opening. The fourth part analyzes the political and economic impact of "basket entry" on the international community, and discusses objectively the role of "basket entry" in the reform of the international monetary system. The last part is to put forward constructive opinions on the results of the objective analysis of the previous parts. We believe that our country should further deepen the reform of the financial system, enrich the diversified structure of export products, and steadily open the offshore market. Construct the international circulation channel of RMB.
【学位授予单位】：北京外国语大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F832.6

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