中国直接和间接金融贡献率的实证研究

发布时间：2018-08-06 11:21

【摘要】：本文基于金融发展对经济增长的作用和机理分析,从全国、地区、省际层面,围绕金融发展对经济增长的直接贡献率和间接贡献率问题进行动态和系统分析,遵循"投入—产出"原则,采用基于DEA的非参数Malmquist分解模型,对中国整体、地区、省际的间接金融贡献率进行量化,同时将间接金融贡献率进一步分解为金融配置贡献率与金融创新贡献率。本文研究的主要结论包括:第一,金融发展对经济增长的直接贡献率逐步上升。第二,金融发展对经济增长的间接贡献率提升较为缓慢,表明金融创新还未有效转化为直接生产力,对于经济增长的促进作用较为有限。
[Abstract]:Based on the analysis of the effect and mechanism of financial development on economic growth, this paper makes a dynamic and systematic analysis on the direct and indirect contribution rate of financial development to economic growth from the national, regional and provincial levels. Following the "input-output" principle, the non-parametric Malmquist decomposition model based on DEA is adopted to quantify the indirect financial contribution rate of China as a whole, region and province. At the same time, the indirect financial contribution rate is further decomposed into financial allocation contribution rate and financial innovation contribution rate. The main conclusions of this paper are as follows: first, the direct contribution rate of financial development to economic growth increases gradually. Second, the indirect contribution rate of financial development to economic growth is increasing slowly, which indicates that financial innovation has not been effectively transformed into direct productivity, and its role in promoting economic growth is relatively limited.
【作者单位】：中国人民银行兰州中心支行;
【分类号】：F832

【相似文献】