利润率下降、部门间利润率差异与经济周期
发布时间：2019-01-04 14:20
【摘要】：次债危机爆发引起马克思主义关于现代经济危机解释的争议。首先,19世纪末英国的数据支持利润率下降导致经济危机产生的观点,但是置盐、哈曼、哈森、弗里曼对这个观点保有争议。其次,二战后美国数据并不支持利润率下降规律;相反,非金融部门单位生产利润和单位劳动成本的增速可能是一致的,二者在长期内是上升的;并且,美国金融部门与非金融部门间利润率差异与新世纪后的经济周期十分契合。最后,文章考察了中国的部门间利润率差异状况。在金融危机期间中国金融部门的利润率呈下降趋势,工业部门的利润率比较稳定。此外,两个部门间利润率差异在不断缩小,并未出现反弹趋势,预示中国经济仍面临一定风险。
[Abstract]:The outbreak of the sub-prime debt crisis caused controversy about the interpretation of the modern economic crisis. First, data from Britain at the end of the 19th century supported the view that falling profit margins had led to the economic crisis, but salt, Haman, Harson, Freeman and Freeman disputed that view. Secondly, the US data after World War II do not support the decline of profit margin; on the contrary, the growth rate of non-financial sector unit production profit and unit labor cost may be consistent, both of which are rising in the long run. Moreover, the profit margin difference between the financial and non-financial sectors in the United States fits well with the economic cycle after the new century. Finally, the article examines the inter-sectoral profit margin differences in China. During the financial crisis, the profit margin of China's financial sector showed a downward trend, while that of the industrial sector was relatively stable. In addition, the margin gap between the two sectors is narrowing, there is no rebound trend, indicating that the Chinese economy still faces some risks.
【作者单位】： 南京大学经济学院;北京大学环境科学与工程学院;深圳市政府发展研究中心;
【分类号】：F831
[Abstract]:The outbreak of the sub-prime debt crisis caused controversy about the interpretation of the modern economic crisis. First, data from Britain at the end of the 19th century supported the view that falling profit margins had led to the economic crisis, but salt, Haman, Harson, Freeman and Freeman disputed that view. Secondly, the US data after World War II do not support the decline of profit margin; on the contrary, the growth rate of non-financial sector unit production profit and unit labor cost may be consistent, both of which are rising in the long run. Moreover, the profit margin difference between the financial and non-financial sectors in the United States fits well with the economic cycle after the new century. Finally, the article examines the inter-sectoral profit margin differences in China. During the financial crisis, the profit margin of China's financial sector showed a downward trend, while that of the industrial sector was relatively stable. In addition, the margin gap between the two sectors is narrowing, there is no rebound trend, indicating that the Chinese economy still faces some risks.
【作者单位】： 南京大学经济学院;北京大学环境科学与工程学院;深圳市政府发展研究中心;
【分类号】：F831
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