金融危机对中国制造业的影响及对策分析

发布时间：2018-03-22 05:05

本文选题：金融危机　切入点：制造业　出处：《山东师范大学》2017年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】：经过近40年的改革开放,我国制造业取得了举世瞩目的成就,“Made In China”享誉全球。中国是一个外向型的制造业大国,2007年美国次贷危机的爆发暴露了制造业发展过程中存在的突出问题,制造业企业受影响严重,产值增幅放缓,国际贸易环境恶化,出口形势严峻,利用外资数量和质量都降低,许多中小企业出现融资难问题。危机之后的一两年内有人对我国制造业的发展做了相关研究,但之后这一问题就很少有人涉及。在当前我国经济新常态背景下,金融危机对我国制造业的影响并不是仅仅停留在危机后的短期时间,到目前为止其影响依然存在,为此当前阶段研究金融危机对我国制造业发展的影响仍旧具有现实意义。金融危机出现后至今,我国制造业的发展状况一直不容乐观,一直存在着缺乏核心技术问题,缺少国际性自主品牌,并且制造业长期来都是加工贸易,过度依赖出口。通过借鉴国内外研究文献,文章选取了贸易渠道、金融渠道、预期渠道以及季风效应来分析金融危机影响中国制造业的传导途径。在理论分析的基础上本文选取了出口、外商投资以及国内消费三个因素进行计量线性回归分析。最终通过实证分析结果发现,这三个因素都对我国制造业的有显著性影响,消费对制造业水平的拉动性最大,是影响制造业发展水平最根本的力量。在金融危机影响中国制造业的贸易和金融途径中,出口对制造业增长的拉动作用要大于外商投资,虽然这两个因素作用都小于消费的带动作用,但是金融危机后,我国制造业的出口和利用外资状况都受到大幅影响,这对制造业整体的发展是一个很严重的打击。最后,通过对前文分析总结,进一步指出当前我国制造业发展受制于人的根本性原因,同时结合文中相关图表的分析以及实证分析的结果,并且联系当前我国制造业发展的实际,提出制造业做强做大的进一步建议和对策。在后金融危机时代,我们应当迎合当前工业4.0大潮流,有效实施“中国制造2025”,推动战略性新兴产业的发展,推进产业结构优化升级,增强自主创新能力,提高产业的核心竞争力,走中国特色新型工业化道路。
[Abstract]:After nearly 40 years of reform and opening up, China's manufacturing industry has made remarkable achievements, and "Made in China" enjoys worldwide reputation. China is an export-oriented manufacturing country. The outbreak of the US subprime mortgage crisis in 2007 exposed the outstanding problems in the process of manufacturing development. Manufacturing enterprises have been seriously affected, the increase in output value has slowed down, the international trade environment has deteriorated, the export situation is grim, and the quantity and quality of foreign capital utilization has decreased. Many small and medium-sized enterprises have difficulty in financing. In the past one or two years after the crisis, some people have made relevant research on the development of China's manufacturing industry, but after that, few people have touched on this issue. In the context of the new normal state of China's economy, The impact of the financial crisis on China's manufacturing industry is not just a short period of time after the crisis. Up to now, its impact still exists. Therefore, it is still of practical significance to study the impact of the financial crisis on the development of manufacturing industry in China at the present stage. Since the emergence of the financial crisis, the development situation of manufacturing industry in China has not been optimistic, and there has been a lack of core technical problems. Lack of international independent brands, and the manufacturing industry has long been processing trade, over-dependent on exports. Through reference to domestic and foreign research literature, the article selected trade channels, financial channels, The expected channel and the monsoon effect are used to analyze the transmission channels of the financial crisis affecting the Chinese manufacturing industry. Based on the theoretical analysis, this paper selects the export. Three factors of foreign investment and domestic consumption are analyzed by linear regression analysis. Finally, through empirical analysis, it is found that these three factors have a significant impact on the manufacturing industry in China, and consumption has the greatest pull on the level of manufacturing industry. It is the most fundamental force that affects the level of manufacturing development. In the trade and financial channels in which the financial crisis has affected China's manufacturing industry, exports play a more important role in the growth of manufacturing than in foreign investment. Although the role of these two factors is less than that of consumption, after the financial crisis, the export and utilization of foreign capital in China's manufacturing industry have been greatly affected, which is a very serious blow to the overall development of the manufacturing industry. Finally, By analyzing and summarizing above, the author further points out the fundamental reasons why the development of manufacturing industry in our country is under the control of people. At the same time, combining with the analysis of relevant charts and the results of empirical analysis in this paper, and connecting with the reality of the development of manufacturing industry in our country at present, In the post-financial crisis era, we should cater to the current trend of industry 4.0, effectively implement "made in China 2025", promote the development of strategic emerging industries, and promote the optimization and upgrading of industrial structure. Strengthen independent innovation ability, improve the core competitiveness of industry, take the new industrialization road with Chinese characteristics.
【学位授予单位】：山东师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F424;F752.62;F832.6

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