产业多样化分工、产业专业化分工与山西经济增长

发布时间：2018-04-05 16:30

本文选题：产业多样化分工　切入点：产业专业化分工　出处：《山西财经大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：在近两年全国经济增速趋缓的大背景下,山西经济增长出现了断崖式下滑,全省经济增速在2014、2015连续两年排名全国末尾。从产业维度来看,产业结构单一,主导产业依赖资源禀赋,让山西经济颇受投资和外部经济环境的影响,难以抵抗经济危机。在当前“供给侧”改革的大环境下,探究山西经济如何改变传统的要素投入驱动经济增长的模式,从经济增长内生性的角度来研究山西经济便显得尤为重要。本文选择从分工角度来研究经济增长的内生性,从产业分工的两个方面—产业多样化分工与产业专业化分工入手,分析在产业层面上,哪种分工经济更有助于山西经济增长的内生性。基于分工理论和经济增长理论等,本文梳理了产业多样化分工和产业专业化分工对经济增长内生性的作用机制,分析了促进和抑制产业分工的向心力和离心力;完成对山西产业多样化分工、产业专业化分工和经济增长内生性的指标量化,分别得出1990-2014年间山西区位商,熵值及全要素生产率;对山西产业专业化分工指标区位商与经济增长指标人均GDP做出拟合,发现山西产业专业化分工与经济增长水平呈“U”型曲线关系;最后构建经济增长内生性函数,通过时间序列模型,计量得出产业多样化分工与产业专业化分工对山西经济增长内生性的贡献率。本文实证结果表明,1990-1997年以及2002-2014年间,产业专业化分工与产业多样化分工对山西经济增长的内生性贡献率走势趋异,两种分工经济之间难以协同;在2002年至2014年间,山西产业专业化分工对经济增长内生性的贡献率由43.17%降至37.13%,且下降趋势仍在继续,同期产业多样化分工对经济增长的内生性贡献率由28.91%升至32.66%,且增长趋势仍在继续;产业专业化分工贡献率虽然在2010-2014年间仍高于产业多样化分工贡献率近4个百分点,但已较基期1990-1993年间二者差值缩小近7个百分点。在山西省产业专业化分工短期内对经济增长有促进作用,但无法引致广泛的产业联动效应,所以其正外部性效应不强,经济内生作用不明显。从产业多样化分工和产业专业化分工对山西经济增长内生性的贡献率的趋势对比来看,产业多样化分工对山西经济增长的内生性的促进作用较大,产业专业化分工难以有效促进经济增长的内生性。本文认为发展产业多样化是未来促进山西经济增长内生的方向。
[Abstract]:Against the backdrop of slowing national economic growth in the past two years, Shanxi's economic growth has declined precipitously, and the province's economic growth rate has been at the bottom of the national rankings for the second consecutive year in 20142015.From the industrial dimension, the industrial structure is single, leading industry depends on resource endowment, which makes Shanxi economy quite affected by investment and external economic environment, so it is difficult to resist the economic crisis.In the current "supply-side" reform environment, it is particularly important to explore how to change the traditional mode of factor input driving economic growth in Shanxi economy, and to study Shanxi economy from the perspective of endogenous economic growth.This paper chooses to study the endogeneity of economic growth from the angle of division of labor, starting with the two aspects of industrial division of labor-industrial diversification division and industrial specialization division, and analyzes the industrial level.Which division of labor economy is more conducive to the endogenous growth of Shanxi economy.Based on the theory of division of labor and the theory of economic growth, this paper combs the mechanism of industrial diversification division and industrial specialization division on the endogenous economic growth, and analyzes the centripetal force and centrifugal force to promote and restrain the industrial division of labor.To complete the division of industrial diversification, industrial specialization and endogenous economic growth indicators quantification, respectively from 1990 to 2014, Shanxi location quotient, entropy and total factor productivity;By fitting the regional quotient of the division of labor index of Shanxi industry specialization with the per capita GDP of economic growth index, it is found that there is a "U" curve relationship between the division of labor division of industry specialization and the level of economic growth in Shanxi Province, and finally, the endogenous function of economic growth is constructed.Based on the time series model, the contribution rate of industrial diversification division and industrial specialization division to Shanxi's economic growth is obtained.The empirical results show that from 1990 to 1997 and from 2002 to 2014, the endogenous contribution rate of industrial specialization division and industrial diversification division to Shanxi's economic growth tends to be different, and it is difficult to coordinate between the two kinds of division of labor economy.The contribution rate of industrial specialization division to economic growth was reduced from 43.17% to 37.13%, and the downward trend continued. In the same period, the endogenous contribution rate of industrial diversification division to economic growth increased from 28.91% to 32.6661%, and the growth trend continued.Although the contribution rate of industrial specialization in 2010-2014 is still higher than that of industrial diversification by nearly 4 percentage points, the difference between them has been reduced by nearly 7 percentage points compared with the base period 1990-1993.The division of industrial specialization in Shanxi Province can promote the economic growth in a short period of time, but it can not lead to extensive industrial linkage effect, so its positive externality effect is not strong, and the economic endogenous effect is not obvious.From the trend comparison of the contribution rate of industrial diversification division and industrial specialization division to Shanxi's economic growth, the industrial diversification division of labor plays a greater role in promoting Shanxi's economic growth endogenously.Industrial specialization is difficult to effectively promote the endogenous economic growth.This paper believes that the development of industrial diversification is the direction of promoting economic growth in Shanxi.
【学位授予单位】：山西财经大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F124.1;F121.3

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