我国东部地区经济发展与资源环境关系的统计研究

发布时间：2018-04-05 18:46

本文选题：东部地区　切入点：经济发展　出处：《杭州电子科技大学》2016年硕士论文

【摘要】：近年来,国内外的专家学者就经济发展与环境污染、资源消费之间关系的研究有很多。根据发展经济学理论可知,环境污染会随着经济发展水平的上升出现先恶化后缓和的规律,经济增长会随着资源消费投入量的增加而增加。与此同时,在资源有限的限制条件下,经济发展也会受其影响。本文选取我国东部地区十个省市,选用1997年到2013年国内生产总值(GDP)衡量经济发展指标,衡量环境污染的指标中以工业废水、废气和固体废弃物的排放量最具有代表性。用煤炭消费量、人均用水量、电力消费量三个指标衡量资源消费,以此为基础研究我国东部地区经济发展与环境污染之间的关系,同时以此来判断目前我国东部地区二者之间的进展阶段;研究我国东部地区经济增长与资源消费之间的计量关系,为制定我国东部地区经济发展与环境污染、资源消费同步健康发展提供理论依据。通过经济发展与环境污染指标的散点图轨迹可以看出,我国东部地区环境污染排放量随经济发展表现为先上升后下降的态势,符合环境库兹涅茨曲线;我国东部地区经济发展随资源消费量指标的增加而增加,大致呈一元线性回归关系。然后使用熵值赋权法将工业废水排放量、工业废气排放量、工业废物排放量三个可观测指标整合为一个衡量环境污染的综合指标,将煤炭消费量、人均用水量、电力消费量三个可观测指标整合为一个衡量资源消费的综合指标。以此为基础构建我国东部地区十个省(市)从1997年至2013年间经济发展(GDP)、环境污染综合指标(Pollution)、资源消费综合指标(Resource)的面板数据,用以研究东部地区经济发展与环境污染的关系,经济发展与资源消费量之间的关系。本文通过使用个体固定效应回归模型与时点固定效应回归模型分别对经济发展与环境污染之间的关系、经济发展与资源消费之间的关系展开实证研究,结果表明:我国东部地区各省(市)环境污染与经济发展之间的关系呈倒“U”型曲线,不同省(市)之间非经济因素对环境污染产生的影响差异性非常大,非经济因素自2002年起对环境污染排放量的抑制作用越来越明显;经济发展与资源消费之间呈一元线性回归关系,且各个省(市)经济发展与资源消费呈正相关关系,不同省(市)之间非资源消费因素对经济发展的影响差异性非常大,从1997年至2013年非资源消费因素对经济发展的促进作用逐渐增加。
[Abstract]:In recent years, experts and scholars at home and abroad have studied the relationship between economic development, environmental pollution and resource consumption.According to the theory of development economics, environmental pollution will deteriorate first and then ease with the increase of economic development level, and economic growth will increase with the increase of resource consumption input.At the same time, under the condition of limited resources, economic development will also be affected by it.In this paper, ten provinces and cities in the eastern part of China are selected to measure the economic development index of GDP from 1997 to 2013. Among the indicators of environmental pollution, the discharge of industrial wastewater, waste gas and solid waste is the most representative.Based on the three indexes of coal consumption, per capita water consumption and electricity consumption, the relationship between economic development and environmental pollution in eastern China is studied.At the same time, to judge the progress stage between the two in the eastern region of China, to study the metrological relationship between economic growth and resource consumption in the eastern region of China, in order to formulate the economic development and environmental pollution in the eastern region of China.The resource consumption synchronizes the healthy development to provide the theory basis.According to the track of scattered plot of economic development and environmental pollution index, it can be seen that the emission of environmental pollution in the eastern region of China rises first and then decreases with the economic development, which accords with the environmental Kuznets curve.The economic development in eastern China increases with the increase of resource consumption index, which is approximately a linear regression relationship.Then the entropy weighting method is used to integrate the three observable indexes of industrial wastewater discharge, industrial waste gas discharge and industrial waste discharge into a comprehensive index to measure environmental pollution, and coal consumption, per capita water consumption,The three observable indicators of electricity consumption are integrated into a comprehensive index to measure the consumption of resources.On this basis, the panel data of ten provinces (cities) in eastern China from 1997 to 2013 are constructed to study the relationship between economic development and environmental pollution.The relationship between economic development and resource consumption.By using the individual fixed effect regression model and the time point fixed effect regression model, this paper makes an empirical study on the relationship between economic development and environmental pollution, and between economic development and resource consumption.The results show that the relationship between environmental pollution and economic development in the eastern regions of China is an inverted "U" curve, and the influence of non-economic factors on environmental pollution is very different among different provinces (cities).Since 2002, non-economic factors have been more and more obvious in restraining environmental pollution emissions, and there is a linear regression relationship between economic development and resource consumption, and there is a positive correlation between economic development and resource consumption in various provinces (cities).The influence of non-resource consumption factors on economic development is very different among different provinces (cities). From 1997 to 2013, non-resource consumption factors gradually increase the role of promoting economic development.
【学位授予单位】：杭州电子科技大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F127;F205

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