中国流动人口空间格局演变及影响因素分析

发布时间：2018-06-24 10:12

本文选题：流动人口 + 空间格局　；参考：《华东师范大学》2017年硕士论文

【摘要】：改革开放以来,随着中国社会经济的快速发展、城镇化的推进以及户籍制度的改革,各区域间的人口流动日趋活跃,流动人口规模迅速扩大。现有关于流动人口空间格局及其演变机制的相关研究大多以省级、地级市尺度展开,而县级尺度下的研究较为欠缺。本文基于2000、2010年两次人口普查数据资料,采用GIS空间统计分析法和空间计量模型,在县级空间尺度下探讨中国流动人口空间分布状况,并对其空间分布格局的演变特征及其影响因素进行分析。以期进一步深化对人口流动迁移及其制约机制的认识,同时为流动人口服务管理和区域发展提供参考。研究发现:(1)流动人口空间分布格局具有较强的稳定性,2000～2010年期间,流动人口在东、中、西、东北4大区域的比例保持稳定,东部地区是流动人口的主要流入地,东部地区的长三角、珠三角、京津冀等城市群是省际流动人口的主要集聚区,省内流动人口较为零散的分布在各省省会城市,流动人口分布重心有向西北方向移动趋势。(2)中国流动人口在空间分布上存在关联性,表现出明显的空间集聚特征。随着时间的推移,其空间集聚程度和关联性有趋于增强的态势,流动人口在东南沿海有集中区连片化发展趋势,内陆地区的部分省会城市也吸纳了大量的流动人口,流动人口内陆化趋势也逐渐显现。(3)伴随着长三角、京津冀等城市群的迅速发展,推动着流动人口重心向东北方向移动,也推动着流动人口集聚类型的转变,从珠三角的单核心演变为珠三角、长三角、京津冀的多核心模式。(4)工资水平和区域就业能力是影响流动人口流入的主要因素,产业结构、固定资产投资、公共服务等也是吸引流动人口流入的重要"拉力",社会经济各要素在不同的地区间对流动人口规模有着不同的影响方向和力度。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, with the rapid development of China's social economy, the promotion of urbanization and the reform of the household registration system, the population flow among regions is becoming more and more active, and the scale of floating population is expanding rapidly. Most of the existing researches on the spatial pattern of floating population and its evolution mechanism are carried out on the scale of provincial and prefectural level, but the research on the scale of county level is relatively lacking. Based on the data of two censuses in 2000 and 2010, this paper discusses the spatial distribution of floating population in China on the scale of county level by using GIS spatial statistical analysis method and spatial metrological model. The evolvement characteristics of its spatial distribution pattern and its influencing factors are analyzed. In order to further deepen the understanding of population migration and its restriction mechanism, at the same time provide reference for the service management and regional development of floating population. The results show that: (1) the spatial distribution pattern of floating population has strong stability. During the period from 2000 to 2010, the proportion of floating population in the east, middle, west and northeast regions remains stable, and the eastern region is the main place where the floating population flows. The Yangtze River Delta, the Pearl River Delta, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and other urban agglomerations in the eastern region are the main gathering areas for the interprovincial floating population, and the floating population in the provinces is scattered in the provincial capital cities. The center of gravity of floating population tends to move northwestward. (2) there is a correlation in spatial distribution of floating population in China, showing obvious spatial agglomeration characteristics. With the passage of time, its spatial agglomeration degree and relevance tend to increase, the floating population in the southeast coastal areas have a trend of continuous development, inland parts of the provincial capital cities have also absorbed a large number of floating population, Along with the rapid development of the Yangtze River Delta, Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei and other urban agglomerations, the floating population center of gravity moves to the northeast direction, but also promotes the migration of migrant population agglomeration type. From the single core of the Pearl River Delta to the multi-core model of the Pearl River Delta, the Yangtze River Delta, the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei. (4) wage level and regional employability are the main factors affecting the inflow of floating population, industrial structure, fixed assets investment, Public service is also an important "pulling force" to attract the floating population. The factors of social economy have different influence direction and intensity on the floating population in different regions.
【学位授予单位】：华东师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：C924.2

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