空间经济视角的地方政府投资效率影响因素研究
发布时间：2018-07-24 19:09
【摘要】：进入21世纪后,我国经济飞速发展。但随着国内经济结构调整,发展速度变缓,GDP增长率由2010年的10.4%下降到了2016年的6.7%,经济发展形势不容乐观。再加上目前我国很多的行业都存在产能过剩的问题,很多领域相应资源投入并不能变成产出,存在严重的浪费现象。在这种背景下,效率问题的研究就显得非常有必要。而政府投资作为一项基础的社会性投资,对于经济的促进作用不言而喻。在当前规模经济效应越来越明显,地区之间的经济交流也越来越频繁的情况下,本文将以全国三十个省市区为研究对象,先使用DEA模型测算出2010-2015年间全国三十个省市区地方政府的综合投资效率得分值,然后再使用一般Tobit模型分析影响地方政府投资效率的因素,进而再考虑地理空间因素,使用空间Tobit模型分析影响地方政府投资效率的因素,依据分析得出的结果为全国各地的地方政府如何提高投资效率建言献策。首先通过研读相关文献,依据相关理论,构建地方政府投资效率得分评价指标体系,然后基于DEA模型测算出2010-2015年各个省市区的投资效率值,实证结果显示:在研究时间段内每个地方政府的投资效率得分值每年都会变动。综合效率得分值等于1的省市区比较少,说明各个地方政府的资源投入和产出不是完全匹配的,投资存在不少的浪费。这些研究结果表明了研究地方政府投资效率的重要性和必要性。其次,发现在不同的时间段,各个地方政府的投资效率都是不同的,为了验证投资效率形成差异的原因。接下来使用一般Tobit模型对地方政府投资效率的影响因素进行实证分析,分析结果显示:投资效率主要受技术进步、地区产业结构、地区市场特征这三个方面影响。从这些研究结果可以得出,提高技术、加大创新、提高劳动生产率、控制投入和加强监管等措施可以提高政府投资效率。再次,由于发现地方政府投资效率之间存在地域性差异,进一步考虑空间因素对于投资效率的影响。通过对Moran’s I指数,LM统计量等一系列的检验,得出了地方政府投资效率之间存在正向的空间相关性。然后使用空间效应下的Tobit模型分析影响地方政府投资效率的原因,得出了如下结论:地方政府投资效率不仅受技术进步、地区产业结构、地区市场特征这三方面因素影响还和空间经济因素有很大的关系。技术进步可以提高劳动生产力、优化产业结构,提升规模效率。产业升级具有溢出效应,溢出效应可以提高地方政府的投资效率,所以相关政府部门应该加大产业升级力度。同时政府投资应该简化决策流程,控制成本,并同时加大教育方面的投入,适当的引进人才,提升国民技术水平和创新精神。同时政府在城镇化的建设过程中,前期需要调研,规划、防止资源错配,注重效率的提高。各个相邻政府之间应该提升市场潜能,提升区域间要素的流动性,形成规模经济、互帮互助,提高各个地方政府的投资效率。最后,在总结全文的基础上,提出提升地方政府投资效率的对策与建议。
[Abstract]:After entering twenty-first Century, China's economy developed rapidly. However, with the adjustment of the domestic economic structure, the speed of development slowed, the growth rate of GDP decreased from 10.4% in 2010 to 6.7% in 2016. The economic development situation was not optimistic. In addition, many industries in our country now have the question of overcapacity, and the corresponding resource input in many fields can not be turned into production. There is a serious waste phenomenon. In this context, the research of efficiency is very necessary. And the role of government investment as a foundation of social investment is self-evident. In the current scale economic effect is more and more obvious, the economic exchange between regions is more and more frequent, this article will be Taking thirty provinces and municipalities in China as the research object, the DEA model is used to calculate the overall investment efficiency score of the local governments of thirty provinces and municipalities in the past 2010-2015 years, and then the general Tobit model is used to analyze the factors that affect the efficiency of local government investment, and then the spatial factors are considered, and the spatial Tobit model is used to analyze the impact of the factors. The factors of local government investment efficiency are based on the results of the analysis. First of all, the evaluation index system of local government investment efficiency is constructed by studying relevant literature and based on relevant theories, and then based on the DEA model to calculate the investment of every province and city in 2010-2015 years. The results show that each local government's investment efficiency score changes every year in the study period. The overall efficiency score is equal to 1 of the provincial and urban areas, which shows that the local government's resources and output are not completely matched, and the investment has not little waste. These results show the research area. The importance and necessity of the efficiency of government investment. Secondly, it is found that the investment efficiency of each local government is different in different time periods. In order to verify the reasons for the difference of investment efficiency, the influence factors of local government investment efficiency are empirically analyzed using the general Tobit model, and the results show that the efficiency of investment is: investment efficiency It is mainly influenced by the three aspects of technological progress, regional industrial structure and regional market characteristics. From the results of these studies, it can be concluded that improving technology, increasing innovation, increasing labor productivity, controlling investment and strengthening supervision can improve the efficiency of government investment. Again, there is a regional difference between the local government investment efficiency and the discovery of local government investment efficiency. The effect of spatial factors on investment efficiency is further considered. Through a series of tests on Moran 's I index and LM statistics, the positive spatial correlation exists between the investment efficiency of local government and the Tobit model under the effect of space effect is used to analyze the reasons for the efficiency of local government investment, and the following conclusions are drawn: The investment efficiency of local government is not only influenced by the three factors such as technological progress, regional industrial structure and regional market characteristics, but also has a great relationship with the spatial economic factors. Technology progress can improve labor productivity, optimize industrial structure and improve scale efficiency. Industrial upgrading has spillover effect and spillover effect can improve local government. Investment efficiency, so the relevant government departments should increase the strength of industrial upgrading. At the same time, government investment should simplify the decision-making process, control the cost, and increase the investment in education, appropriately introduce talents, improve the national technical level and innovation spirit. Meanwhile, the government needs research, planning and prevention in the process of urbanization. Resources mismatch, pay attention to the improvement of efficiency. Each neighboring government should enhance the market potential, enhance the liquidity of the interregional elements, form a scale economy, help each other, improve the investment efficiency of the local governments. Finally, on the basis of the full text, the paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions for the improvement of the investment efficiency of the government.
【学位授予单位】：上海师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F812.45
本文编号：2142356
[Abstract]:After entering twenty-first Century, China's economy developed rapidly. However, with the adjustment of the domestic economic structure, the speed of development slowed, the growth rate of GDP decreased from 10.4% in 2010 to 6.7% in 2016. The economic development situation was not optimistic. In addition, many industries in our country now have the question of overcapacity, and the corresponding resource input in many fields can not be turned into production. There is a serious waste phenomenon. In this context, the research of efficiency is very necessary. And the role of government investment as a foundation of social investment is self-evident. In the current scale economic effect is more and more obvious, the economic exchange between regions is more and more frequent, this article will be Taking thirty provinces and municipalities in China as the research object, the DEA model is used to calculate the overall investment efficiency score of the local governments of thirty provinces and municipalities in the past 2010-2015 years, and then the general Tobit model is used to analyze the factors that affect the efficiency of local government investment, and then the spatial factors are considered, and the spatial Tobit model is used to analyze the impact of the factors. The factors of local government investment efficiency are based on the results of the analysis. First of all, the evaluation index system of local government investment efficiency is constructed by studying relevant literature and based on relevant theories, and then based on the DEA model to calculate the investment of every province and city in 2010-2015 years. The results show that each local government's investment efficiency score changes every year in the study period. The overall efficiency score is equal to 1 of the provincial and urban areas, which shows that the local government's resources and output are not completely matched, and the investment has not little waste. These results show the research area. The importance and necessity of the efficiency of government investment. Secondly, it is found that the investment efficiency of each local government is different in different time periods. In order to verify the reasons for the difference of investment efficiency, the influence factors of local government investment efficiency are empirically analyzed using the general Tobit model, and the results show that the efficiency of investment is: investment efficiency It is mainly influenced by the three aspects of technological progress, regional industrial structure and regional market characteristics. From the results of these studies, it can be concluded that improving technology, increasing innovation, increasing labor productivity, controlling investment and strengthening supervision can improve the efficiency of government investment. Again, there is a regional difference between the local government investment efficiency and the discovery of local government investment efficiency. The effect of spatial factors on investment efficiency is further considered. Through a series of tests on Moran 's I index and LM statistics, the positive spatial correlation exists between the investment efficiency of local government and the Tobit model under the effect of space effect is used to analyze the reasons for the efficiency of local government investment, and the following conclusions are drawn: The investment efficiency of local government is not only influenced by the three factors such as technological progress, regional industrial structure and regional market characteristics, but also has a great relationship with the spatial economic factors. Technology progress can improve labor productivity, optimize industrial structure and improve scale efficiency. Industrial upgrading has spillover effect and spillover effect can improve local government. Investment efficiency, so the relevant government departments should increase the strength of industrial upgrading. At the same time, government investment should simplify the decision-making process, control the cost, and increase the investment in education, appropriately introduce talents, improve the national technical level and innovation spirit. Meanwhile, the government needs research, planning and prevention in the process of urbanization. Resources mismatch, pay attention to the improvement of efficiency. Each neighboring government should enhance the market potential, enhance the liquidity of the interregional elements, form a scale economy, help each other, improve the investment efficiency of the local governments. Finally, on the basis of the full text, the paper puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions for the improvement of the investment efficiency of the government.
【学位授予单位】：上海师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2017
【分类号】：F812.45
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