生产性服务贸易的经济增长效应研究

发布时间：2019-07-02 20:13

【摘要】：20世纪后期,随着经济全球化快速发展,以及全球专业分工不断细化,服务业在经济中地位不断提高,扮演着愈来愈重要的角色,全球经济结构开始向服务型经济转变,加速服务贸易发展。服务贸易迅速成长加快各国经济向服务型经济转型升级的步伐,促进各国经济向可持续、健康方向发展。而且,随着市场开放程度的扩大,生产性服务贸易快速成长,各国服务贸易都开始由原先劳动资源型向资本技术型转变,生产性服务贸易逐步成为成长潜力最大的经济部门,是经济成长的新增长点和接收就业的主要动力,对经济增长起着至关重要的作用。随着国家经济实力不断壮大,物价水平不断上涨,我国失去原材料和劳动力廉价优势,制造业发展受到阻碍,此时正值生产性服务业蓬勃壮大,具有较大发展潜力,是改变国家经济结构和提高国家综合实力的重要力量。因此,我国该怎样抓住机遇,最大地发挥生产性服务业接收就业和刺激经济成长的能力,从而完成我国经济结构优化重组,这是我国当前经济发展的重要问题之一。所以,研究生产性服务贸易与经济增长关系,为刺激我国经济成长和提高国家综合能力有重要意义。本文对生产性服务贸易与经济增长关系的分析是从理论和实证两方面来阐述:首先,从成长历程、特点、趋势、发展现状来认识生产性服务业;其次,理论上分别从直接和间接、进口和出口来探讨生产性服务贸易对经济增长的影响及影响路径;再者,进行进出口技术复杂度测算,建立回归模型,运用计量方法实证检验生产性服务贸易与经济增长关系;最后,根据计量结果以及中国生产性服务贸易现状,为加快本国生产性服务贸易成长,刺激本国经济成长,提出一些相关建议。
[Abstract]:In the late 20th century, with the rapid development of economic globalization and the refinement of the global professional division of labor, the service industry plays a more and more important role in the economy. The global economic structure begins to change to a service-oriented economy and accelerate the development of service trade. The rapid growth of service trade accelerates the pace of transformation and upgrading from national economy to service-oriented economy, and promotes the development of national economy to sustainable and healthy direction. Moreover, with the expansion of market openness and the rapid growth of productive service trade, service trade in various countries has begun to change from labor resources to capital technology. Productive service trade has gradually become the economic sector with the greatest growth potential, is the new growth point of economic growth and the main driving force to receive employment, which plays an important role in economic growth. With the continuous growth of national economic strength and rising price level, China has lost the cheap advantages of raw materials and labor, and the development of manufacturing industry has been hindered. At this time, producer services are booming and have great potential for development. It is an important force to change the national economic structure and improve the comprehensive strength of the country. Therefore, how to seize the opportunity, give full play to the ability of producer services to receive employment and stimulate economic growth, so as to complete the optimization and restructuring of China's economic structure, is one of the important issues in the current economic development of our country. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the relationship between productive service trade and economic growth in order to stimulate China's economic growth and improve the comprehensive capacity of the country. This paper analyzes the relationship between trade in productive services and economic growth from both theoretical and empirical aspects: first, from the growth process, characteristics, trends, development status to understand producer services; secondly, theoretically, directly and indirectly, imports and exports to explore the impact of trade in productive services on economic growth and its impact path; Furthermore, the technical complexity of import and export is measured, the regression model is established, and the econometric method is used to empirically test the relationship between productive service trade and economic growth. Finally, according to the measurement results and the present situation of China's productive service trade, some relevant suggestions are put forward in order to speed up the growth of domestic productive service trade and stimulate the domestic economic growth.
【学位授予单位】：哈尔滨理工大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2016
【分类号】：F752.68

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