边缘区域主导产业选择与培育研究

发布时间：2018-01-26 18:57

本文关键词： 区域经济边缘区域主导产业政府博弈风险分析　出处：《武汉理工大学》2007年博士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】： 进入九十年代，中国经济已进入到一个新的发展阶段，但生产要素空间结构不合理安排的情况也越来越突出，对中国工业化、城市化未来的进程形成极大阻碍。区域之间发展不均衡是现在我国经济发展的一个现状，这样的状况长期存在，不利于整个国民经济的健康发展和安全。区域主导产业是区域产业系统中的经济主体和骨骼，能否正确地选择和培育区域的主导产业，是实现区域产业结构合理化的前提和关键，关系到区域经济的整体发展方向和发展速度。对于落后的边缘地区而言，，区域内的主导产业选择更决定了该地区在今后的发展过程中的命运。本文从“中心—边缘”入手，全面回顾了国内外的相关研究成果。从区域经济学和产业经济学两个视角，对主导产业的选择、发展、布局、开发和培育理论进行了综述。在总结国内外有关区域主导产业理论的基础上，针对边缘区域主导产业的选择基准、选择原则、约束条件等进行了分析。本文认为区域主导产业与区域支柱产业既有联系又有区别；区域主导产业的选择要定量分析和定性分析相结合，还要考虑区域经济发展所处的阶段等约束条件，同时还要遵循紧扣主导产业选择的基本原则。依据区域主导产业选择的原则，运用AHP(层次分析法)建立了区域主导产业选择的集成模型。通过对我国区域主导产业选择活动的博弈分析，解释了区域政府之间的关系，阐述了可能的均衡结果以及它们在现实中的体现。在博弈模型中，假定了政府是为了实现区域效用最大化的“经济人”，区域间政府通过选择趋同或配套的主导产业形成竞争、合作或竞合关系。并基于此博弈模型构建了边缘区域主导产业选择的风险评价体系。将理论应用于实践，通过对陕西汉中地区的实际情况调研和运用本文提出的理论工具，对陕西汉中地区的主导产业选择进行了实证分析。本文的创新点主要体现在以下几个方面：建立了区域主导产业选择的集成模型；设计了基于边缘区域主导产业选择与发展的地方政府博弈分析模型；构建了边缘区域主导产业选择与发展的风险评价体系；提出了边缘区域主导产业培育与发展的路径和对策建议。
[Abstract]:In 90s, China's economy has entered a new stage of development, but the irrational arrangement of the spatial structure of factors of production has become more and more prominent for China's industrialization. The process of urbanization in the future is greatly hindered. The unbalanced development between regions is a current situation of economic development in China, such a situation exists for a long time. Regional leading industry is the economic main body and skeleton in the regional industrial system. It is the premise and key to realize the rationalization of regional industrial structure, which is related to the overall development direction and speed of regional economy. The choice of leading industries in the region determines the fate of the region in the future development process. This paper starts with "centre-edge", and reviews the related research results at home and abroad. From the two perspectives of regional economics and industrial economics, the selection, development and layout of leading industries are discussed. The theory of development and cultivation is reviewed. On the basis of summing up the theory of regional leading industry at home and abroad, this paper aims at the selection criteria and selection principles of leading industries in marginal regions. The paper points out that the regional leading industry and the regional pillar industry are related and different. The choice of regional leading industry should be combined with quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis, and the constraints of the stage of regional economic development should be considered. According to the principle of regional leading industry selection, the integration model of regional leading industry selection is established by using AHP (Analytic hierarchy process). Through the game analysis of the regional leading industry selection activities in China, this paper explains the relationship between the regional governments, expounds the possible equilibrium results and their embodiment in reality. In the game model. It is assumed that the government is the "economic man" in order to maximize the regional utility, and the inter-regional government forms competition by choosing the leading industries that converge or support each other. Based on this game model, the risk evaluation system of leading industries in marginal regions is constructed. Applying the theory to practice, this paper makes an empirical analysis of the choice of leading industries in Hanzhong area of Shaanxi Province by investigating the actual situation in Hanzhong area of Shaanxi Province and using the theoretical tools proposed in this paper. The innovation of this paper is mainly reflected in the following aspects: The integration model of regional leading industry selection is established. The game analysis model of local government based on the choice and development of leading industries in marginal regions is designed. The risk evaluation system for the selection and development of leading industries in marginal regions is constructed. The paper puts forward the path and countermeasures for the cultivation and development of leading industries in marginal areas.
【学位授予单位】：武汉理工大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2007
【分类号】：F061.5

【引证文献】