虚拟经济与实体经济背离关系研究

发布时间：2018-03-18 14:12

本文选题：虚拟经济　切入点：实体经济　出处：《天津师范大学》2003年硕士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】： 二十世纪八十年代以来，以强化竞争、放松管制为核心的金融全球化浪潮席卷全球，不论是西方发达国家，还是亚洲、拉美的发展中国家和东欧等新兴转型国家，都参与到金融全球化这一行列中来，金融市场一体化形成，虚拟资产24小时不间断地以“光的速度”在全球范围内流动，虚拟经济迅速膨胀，与实体经济的背离程度日趋扩大。虚拟经济这把“双刃剑”一方面使各国经济不同程度地受益，但另一方面虚拟资产价格的破裂给这些国家留下了累累伤痕。1990年的日本，1994年的墨西哥，1997年的东南亚，1998年的俄罗斯，最近的阿根廷及其“多米诺骨牌”效应波及的南方共同体成员国，都无一幸免。因此研究虚拟经济与实体经济背离关系，不仅是世界各国面临的重大课题，而且对我国化解与防范金融风险、防止金融危机、保持虚拟经济和实体经济的健康发展有着十分重要的意义。本文结构安排如下：在第一章中对虚拟经济与实体经济及其相关概念进行界定，在此基础上对虚拟经济与实体经济背离定义进行分析研究，然后对当前国内外在此领域的研究现状进行概括综述，并指出其不足之处，，提出笔者自己的分析思路。第二章对虚拟经济与实体经济的背离进行了实证分析，论证虚拟经济与实体经济之间确实存在背离，且对背离程度用不同的方法进行了核算。第三章在第一、二两章分析的基础上，用数学模型对背离机制进行详细分析，指出虚拟经济与实体经济的经常性背离机制。第四章首先从一般意义上指出传统货币政策在新时期所表现出来的缺陷和不足之处，然后以中国实践为例，分析货币政策与虚拟经济和实体经济背离的关系，对中国货币供应量与背离的关系进行实证分析，指出在经济基础已发生变化的情况下，应把虚拟资产价格纳入货币政策目标，最后对中国货币当局货币政策的制订提出自己的建议。
[Abstract]:Since 1980s, the wave of financial globalization, which focuses on strengthening competition and deregulation, has swept the world, not only in the developed countries of the West, but also in the developing countries of Asia, Latin America and other emerging countries in transition, such as Eastern Europe. All participate in the ranks of financial globalization, the integration of financial markets is formed, virtual assets flow around the world 24 hours without interruption at the speed of light, and the virtual economy expands rapidly. The degree of deviation from the real economy is increasing. On the one hand, the fictitious economy, as a "double-edged sword", benefits the economies of various countries to varying degrees. On the other hand, the collapse of virtual asset prices has left many scars on these countries. Japan in 1990, Mexico in 1994, Southeast Asia in 1997, Russia in 1997. None of the recent Argentina and its "domino" effects have been spared. Therefore, the study of the relationship between the virtual economy and the real economy is not only a major issue facing the countries of the world, Moreover, it is of great significance for our country to defuse and prevent financial risks, prevent financial crisis and maintain the healthy development of virtual economy and real economy. The structure of this paper is as follows: in the first chapter, the definition of virtual economy and real economy and its related concepts are defined, and on this basis, the definition of virtual economy and real economy deviation is analyzed and studied. Then it summarizes the current research situation in this field at home and abroad, points out its shortcomings, and puts forward the author's own analysis ideas. Chapter two makes an empirical analysis on the deviation between virtual economy and real economy. It is demonstrated that there is a real deviation between the virtual economy and the real economy, and the degree of deviation is calculated by different methods. Chapter three, on the basis of the first and second chapters, makes a detailed analysis of the departure mechanism with mathematical model. Chapter 4th points out the defects and deficiencies of the traditional monetary policy in the new period, and then takes the practice of China as an example, and points out the mechanism of frequent deviation between the virtual economy and the real economy. Chapter 4th points out the defects and deficiencies of the traditional monetary policy in the new era. This paper analyzes the relationship between monetary policy, virtual economy and real economy, analyzes the relationship between money supply and deviation in China, and points out that the price of fictitious assets should be included in the monetary policy goal when the economic base has changed. Finally, the author puts forward his own suggestions on the formulation of monetary policy of Chinese monetary authority.
【学位授予单位】：天津师范大学
【学位级别】：硕士
【学位授予年份】：2003
【分类号】：F019

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