可持续发展经济理论及指标体系研究

发布时间：2018-01-11 19:06

本文关键词：可持续发展经济理论及指标体系研究　出处：《天津大学》2005年博士论文　论文类型：学位论文

【摘要】： 可持续发展是一个涉及经济、社会、人口、资源、环境、文化等众多领域的全面发展。现代经济发展过程中出现的人口压力、资源耗竭以及环境污染直接导致了可持续发展问题的提出。在众多学者对可持续发展的不倦探索和在已有的各学科理论的滋养下,可持续发展理论已初具雏形,可持续发展观念已被普遍接受。对可持续发展论述的目的,就是要建立了一个清晰的可持续发展框架以便于深入研究。在微观经济分析部分,明确指出主流经济理论中若干非持续性假定;外部性的存在使得社会资源配置效率低下,社会净福利遭受损失,是经济发展不可持续的根源。消除外部性的根本措施是外部成本内在化,产权明晰和政府干预也是重要的手段;对正效用的偏好可以内在地调节代际资源配置不公。宏观经济分析论证了可持续发展的非线性,说明全球同时踏上可持续发展的道路是不现实的。尽管发达国家和发展中国家存在着不同的可持续和发展偏好,但走向联合是必然趋势,拓展的蜈蚣博弈、无名氏定理等对此也予以了证明。运用IS-LM-EE曲线探讨三市场的均衡变动时,明确地反映出货币政策、财政政策和环境政策在宏观经济调控中的相互协调过程。在Romer内生增长理论上构建的反映资本全貌的生产函数是本文的亮点之一。各人均变量变化率、储蓄率、人口增长率、折旧率以及各资本投入弹性之间复杂密切的关系可以在严密的数学推导中反映出来,人均资本增长率和人均收入变化率的取值及变动范围也得到确定。本文构建的增长模型可预见凭直觉难以洞悉的细节,并得出一些与理论和事实相符的结论。该模型是对可持续发展理论的丰富。在对可持续发展指标体系及评价方法论述时,研究显著侧重于GGDP、GS和EF部分,以此为后续的实证研究做充分铺垫。此外,在Weitzman和Hartwick的研究框架下提出了单一绿色国民核算模型。实证部分通过对1991～2003年中国、内蒙古和天津市的经济进行定量评估,得出了许多可供科学决策的依据,开辟了一条可行的核算思路。
[Abstract]:Sustainable development is a comprehensive development involving economy, society, population, resources, environment, culture and so on. Resource depletion and environmental pollution directly lead to the issue of sustainable development. With the tireless exploration of sustainable development by many scholars and the nourishment of existing theories of various disciplines, the theory of sustainable development has begun to take shape. The concept of sustainable development has been widely accepted. The purpose of the discussion of sustainable development is to establish a clear framework of sustainable development for further study. In the part of microeconomic analysis, it points out some assumptions of non-sustainability in mainstream economic theory. The existence of externality causes the low efficiency of social resource allocation and the loss of social net welfare, which is the root of unsustainable economic development. The fundamental measure to eliminate externality is internalization of external cost. The clarity of property rights and government intervention are also important means; The preference for positive utility can internally adjust the unfair allocation of intergenerational resources. Macroeconomic analysis demonstrates the nonlinearity of sustainable development. It shows that it is unrealistic for the world to embark on the road of sustainable development at the same time. Although there are different preferences for sustainability and development in developed and developing countries, it is inevitable to move towards union and expand the centipede game. This is also proved by the Anonymous theorem. When we use the IS-LM-EE curve to study the equilibrium change of the three markets, it clearly reflects the monetary policy. The process of coordination between fiscal policy and environmental policy in macroeconomic regulation and control. One of the bright spots of this paper is the production function which is constructed on the theory of Romer endogenous growth reflecting the whole picture of capital. The rate of change of each variable, the rate of saving, and the rate of population growth are all variable. The complicated and close relationship between depreciation rate and the elasticity of capital input can be reflected in strict mathematical derivation. The growth rate of per capita capital and the change rate of per capita income are also determined. The growth model constructed in this paper can foresee the details which are difficult to understand intuitively. Some conclusions consistent with the theory and facts are obtained. The model is rich in the theory of sustainable development. In the sustainable development indicators system and evaluation methods, the study focused significantly on GGDPGS and EF parts, in order to do the follow-up empirical research. In addition. Under the framework of Weitzman and Hartwick, a single green national accounting model is proposed. The quantitative evaluation of the economy of Inner Mongolia and Tianjin has obtained many scientific basis for decision making and has opened up a feasible way of accounting.
【学位授予单位】：天津大学
【学位级别】：博士
【学位授予年份】：2005
【分类号】：F061.3

【引证文献】