碳排放与经济增长:空间动态效应与EKC再检验

发布时间：2018-03-01 10:23

本文关键词： 碳排放经济增长空间动态效应 EKC拐点　出处：《山西财经大学学报》2013年12期 　论文类型：期刊论文

【摘要】：基于我国2001～2010年的面板数据,构建了空间动态面板误差模型,对碳排放与经济增长之间的关系进行了再研究,并从模型设定、样本容量、宏观波动性、控制变量等多个角度进行了稳健性检验。研究结果表明,碳排放具有显著的空间依赖性和动态效应,且存在EKC拐点,但目前碳排放与经济增长之间的关系仅存在于EKC拐点的左侧,跨过这个拐点的可能性非常小,可能将长期处于近似的线性正相关状态,即经济增长伴随着高碳排放。稳健性分析进一步支持了研究结论的可信性。此外,研究结果还显示",污染物天堂"假说在我国成立。
[Abstract]:Based on the panel data from 2001 to 2010 in China, the spatial dynamic panel error model is constructed, and the relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth is studied again. The results show that carbon emissions have significant spatial dependence and dynamic effect, and there are EKC inflection points. But the current relationship between carbon emissions and economic growth is only on the left side of the EKC inflection point, and the likelihood of crossing this inflection point is very small, and it is likely to remain in an approximate linear positive correlation for a long time. That is, economic growth is accompanied by high carbon emissions. Robust analysis further supports the credibility of the findings. In addition, the results also show that the "pollution paradise" hypothesis is established in China.
【作者单位】：湖南大学金融与统计学院;
【基金】：国家社会科学基金重点项目“能源消费、碳排放与经济增长的一般均衡分析与政策优化”(12AJL007)
【分类号】：X196;F124;F224

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